Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
68
lifetime
Volume
$303
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$24
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-30 02:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
41%
Crypto
10% 71% $-4
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 07-01 02:17
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 84¢ $3 $-0 07-01 02:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-03 08:10
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-17 05:11
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:20
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-03 08:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-03 08:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-16 02:59
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 06-30 02:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:18
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:23
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-01 02:17
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-01 02:17
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-01 02:17
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-29 03:05