Wild-Casualty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$491

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-19 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 88% $-199

Other

1% 100% +$8

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$1.0K	1,011	1	+1,010	open	—	05-19 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	05-19 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-19 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-18 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-18 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-19 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-19 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-18 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-19 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	05-18 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1000	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	05-19 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$1000	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	05-18 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$999	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	05-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	05-18 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$800	808	0	+808	Down	+$8	05-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	05-18 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$800	810	0	+810	Down	+$10	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$700	707	0	+707	Up	+$7	05-06 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$700	707	0	+707	Up	+$7	05-08 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$700	707	0	+707	Up	+$7	05-08 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$700	707	0	+707	Up	+$7	05-08 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	05-07 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$548	447	447	+0	Up	$-252	05-10 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$501	501	0	+501	open	—	05-18 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-16 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-16 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-17 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-17 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-16 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 14:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x19aa86…
05-19 12:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x155518…
05-19 11:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x965a1d…
05-19 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xfd71cc…
05-19 11:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf632ef…
05-19 11:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9a7cc6…
05-19 10:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x24dae7…
05-19 08:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,059	94¢	$999	0x7b883d…
05-19 05:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xf4e290…
05-19 05:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0x337b29…
05-18 16:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	501	100¢	$501	0x93ade7…
05-18 16:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x029dc4…
05-18 15:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xb8406d…
05-18 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x8e41f8…
05-18 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x6d8bc2…
05-18 13:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x5a9b2b…
05-18 13:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x0bee89…
05-18 13:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x77fd0a…
05-18 06:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0xf96ab6…
05-17 07:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x98c7f0…
05-17 05:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x0b1757…
05-17 05:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x8cf7f9…
05-16 10:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xd209d0…
05-16 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0xb6e30b…
05-16 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x0e1a84…
05-16 08:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xdafcc0…
05-16 07:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0x136285…
05-16 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3497fb…
05-16 06:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x740e6e…
05-15 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x631279…
05-15 13:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xbc0d56…
05-10 03:51:08	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x584bb9…
05-10 03:51:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	115	90¢	$103	0x359384…
05-10 03:50:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x1294ac…
05-10 03:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	447	33¢	$148	0x1a4b5c…
05-10 03:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	447	89¢	$400	0xd49473…
05-08 09:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	808	99¢	$800	0x271f81…
05-08 09:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0x0b2b36…
05-08 08:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xdbfbd2…
05-08 08:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xf1566e…
05-07 11:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xf878c5…
05-06 18:30:53	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe583cb…
05-06 18:21:54	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7cc134…
05-06 17:52:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xadc78d…
05-06 17:49:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3e60a1…
05-06 17:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xfbf050…
05-05 16:46:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xad7d2c…
05-05 16:44:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x106525…
05-05 16:44:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xea36c5…
05-05 16:43:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x01d197…
05-05 16:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	810	99¢	$800	0x70829f…
05-05 15:40:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xf58e4b…