Jealous-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$60.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-21 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$11

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Nothing		-35	$-33	94¢	$-33	$-0	05-30 01:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	117	$14.2K	7,747	8,799	-1,052	open	—	03-15 00:49
GTA VI released before June 2026?	90	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	05-10 19:59
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17 total 157pt5	2	$3.0K	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	03-18 02:32
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	10	$2.1K	1,738	1,738	+0	open	—	04-29 09:49
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	30	$2.1K	4,947	6,924	-1,977	open	—	03-15 05:16
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	6	$1.9K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	+$10	05-06 10:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$1.8K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	02-20 20:30
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	17	$1.5K	1,565	1,515	+50	open	—	03-15 11:00
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	4	$1.4K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	06-22 01:18
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	33	$1.4K	1,706	1,706	+0	open	—	03-07 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	open	—	04-28 14:01
bitcoin above 94k on january 9	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	open	—	01-09 12:51
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	7	$1.1K	555	555	+0	open	—	03-28 14:57
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.0K	569	569	+0	open	—	03-14 21:30
cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	9	$1.0K	799	277	+522	open	—	03-31 17:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.0K	521	521	+0	open	—	05-05 21:39
andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	2	$877	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	03-17 15:15
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	14	$828	64	1,538	-1,473	open	—	02-22 09:16
googl up or down on april 14 2026	10	$772	1,016	998	+18	open	—	04-14 00:00
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	13	$684	666	616	+50	open	—	03-15 10:59
will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	8	$677	341	341	+0	open	—	03-28 17:54
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	1	$640	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-18 23:28
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	3	$580	674	674	+0	open	—	04-07 01:49
nvda up or down on april 10 2026	43	$561	600	517	+83	open	—	04-10 13:31
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$521	332	332	+0	open	—	02-19 23:55
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	7	$517	54	609	-555	open	—	01-07 18:30
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	2	$503	719	0	+719	open	—	04-02 01:05
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$499	250	250	+0	open	—	03-18 20:21
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$491	302	302	-0	open	—	02-28 09:13
nothing ever happens january 581	28	$469	526	336	+189	open	—	01-09 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 01:18:10	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,111	64¢	$710	0xa5af7b…
06-21 17:01:47	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	273	64¢	$174	0xadcd7f…
06-21 17:01:22	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	212	64¢	$135	0x0e565d…
06-21 16:34:11	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x773b2f…
06-19 23:16:49	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xc7aec7…
06-19 21:17:32	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xdfeeab…
06-12 03:19:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x7e8ccc…
06-12 03:18:34	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	138	45¢	$62	0x0ecac7…
06-12 03:18:30	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x8d6b10…
06-12 02:31:18	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	83	35¢	$29	0x557ec8…
06-12 02:29:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0xc59f02…
06-12 02:29:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x11afb6…
06-07 11:23:12	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x0c0811…
06-01 01:59:18	New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbbafc5…
05-31 20:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xaa9251…
05-31 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x3ad2b7…
05-31 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0b6c15…
05-31 20:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6c2563…
05-31 20:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfed418…
05-31 20:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xaa0b26…
05-31 20:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x66866b…
05-31 20:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x63cfd6…
05-31 20:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x47635a…
05-31 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xc0cfc1…
05-31 20:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb9d30f…
05-31 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9ce319…
05-31 20:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdc20f3…
05-31 20:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xba74b9…
05-31 20:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6560dd…
05-31 20:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x571898…
05-31 20:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6943fc…
05-31 20:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf514f6…
05-31 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbe2db9…
05-31 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x8bf6c9…
05-31 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x67e0e4…
05-31 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x237a1e…
05-31 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x9d890c…
05-31 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5abc41…
05-31 07:55:53	New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xcb1e2f…
05-31 00:02:34	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x48050d…
05-31 00:02:34	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x42316e…
05-30 01:56:09	Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Nothing	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xff6a65…
05-20 18:45:13	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xe02e8f…
05-16 21:56:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	272	76¢	$207	0xaacb54…
05-16 00:13:35	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xfddd21…
05-15 23:42:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	272	76¢	$207	0xe99a25…
05-10 19:59:01	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8ffb48…
05-09 18:11:23	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x02faf0…
05-09 11:34:34	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x059249…
05-09 10:23:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xf99124…
05-09 10:01:49	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x55653e…
05-06 10:57:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	950	52¢	$494	0x250fe0…
05-06 10:55:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	700	51¢	$357	0xbc28f2…
05-06 10:24:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xb4b3d7…
05-06 10:24:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xf7c96b…
05-06 10:24:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x629b82…
05-05 21:39:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	310	97¢	$300	0xc766f8…
05-05 21:39:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9246fa…
05-05 13:54:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0xd325b8…
05-03 12:08:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xc745db…
05-02 17:46:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,900	51¢	$969	0x3978c3…
05-02 13:01:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5b097e…
04-29 09:49:48	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	386	79¢	$305	0xa6e463…
04-29 08:31:50	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xdac469…
04-29 08:16:32	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$19	0x89d33f…
04-28 21:49:48	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	386	76¢	$293	0xaa3179…
04-28 14:48:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,305	2¢	$20	0xd53a23…
04-28 14:45:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$10	0x2b248b…
04-28 14:45:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	605	2¢	$9	0xe6f603…
04-28 14:01:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	632	96¢	$608	0xd7a263…
04-28 13:43:54	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x97a15e…
04-28 12:49:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	632	96¢	$608	0xd47e75…
04-27 08:10:12	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc9d0ba…
04-27 08:09:14	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x01708c…
04-27 08:08:10	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x28499f…
04-27 08:08:08	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xcdfcbb…
04-27 08:08:08	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x5acd27…
04-27 08:07:26	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe3e4ae…
04-27 08:07:26	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x8e25a8…
04-27 08:07:26	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0b724f…
04-27 08:07:24	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xfd74c8…
04-27 01:25:44	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xf5af22…
04-26 21:29:54	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xed6c9b…
04-26 21:29:52	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x9cfdb3…
04-25 18:47:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x116e2b…
04-25 18:36:48	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xea05bd…
04-25 17:45:06	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xcbec09…
04-25 06:50:58	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	223	98¢	$219	0xfa30e4…
04-20 13:10:42	spy closes above 695 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xeba38e…
04-20 13:01:06	spy closes above 695 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x2c26ad…
04-20 11:43:06	spy closes above 695 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0x152c36…
04-20 09:44:32	xauusd up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb051de…
04-20 09:44:12	xauusd up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	70	81¢	$57	0x413132…
04-20 04:11:46	xauusd up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0x77b98b…
04-20 02:08:02	spy closes above 695 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$26	0x6b7853…
04-20 02:07:44	spy closes above 695 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8426f4…
04-20 01:37:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	123	78¢	$96	0x5e2a21…
04-20 01:28:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xdeec83…
04-20 01:28:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2be005…
04-20 01:18:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x05d74f…