Ill-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-06 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 32% $-19

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772499000	2	$499	406	402	+4	open	—	03-03 00:55
btc updown 5m 1772498400	2	$280	188	185	+3	open	—	03-03 00:46
btc updown 5m 1773414600	4	$278	271	125	+146	open	—	03-13 15:15
btc updown 5m 1773414900	3	$274	254	152	+102	open	—	03-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$272	224	224	+0	Up	+$172	05-05 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$181	152	152	+0	Up	+$121	05-05 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$150	2,129	0	+2,129	Down	$-150	05-06 13:38
btc updown 5m 1773414000	3	$132	427	93	+334	open	—	03-13 15:05
btc updown 5m 1773413700	5	$130	1,152	0	+1,152	open	—	03-13 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$105	721	0	+721	Down	$-105	05-06 13:47
btc updown 5m 1773415200	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	03-13 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$85	66	66	+0	Up	+$45	05-06 13:55
btc updown 5m 1773414300	3	$80	688	0	+688	open	—	03-13 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$47	37	37	+0	Up	+$27	05-05 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$46	40	40	+0	Down	+$34	05-06 14:20
will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	2	$40	1,666	0	+1,666	open	—	01-07 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$40	138	0	+138	Down	$-40	05-05 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$40	134	0	+134	Down	$-40	05-06 14:01
btc updown 5m 1772498100	2	$35	356	0	+356	open	—	03-03 00:38
btc updown 5m 1773417300	2	$29	164	0	+164	open	—	03-13 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$25	103	0	+103	Up	$-25	05-06 14:31
btc updown 5m 1773418500	2	$25	195	0	+195	open	—	03-13 16:17
btc updown 5m 1773418200	2	$25	122	0	+122	open	—	03-13 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$15	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$22	512	0	+512	Down	$-22	05-05 13:28
btc updown 5m 1773415500	1	$20	77	0	+77	open	—	03-13 15:27
btc updown 5m 1773432300	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	03-13 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	43	0	+43	Down	$-10	05-05 13:56
btc updown 5m 1773432000	2	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-13 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	45	0	+45	Down	$-10	05-05 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdf0191…
05-06 19:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf28134…
05-06 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x7b818a…
05-06 15:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xee0e99…
05-06 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x827bb7…
05-06 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x5ae67f…
05-06 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb9c7c2…
05-06 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2b3ef1…
05-06 14:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1f649e…
05-06 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x8605d5…
05-06 14:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x744cec…
05-06 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe3b9ac…
05-06 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xdf5110…
05-06 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xfb8341…
05-06 13:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe56d0d…
05-06 13:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x7f4f5d…
05-06 13:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbe67a4…
05-06 13:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfdc914…
05-06 13:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xafd082…
05-06 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x423a8e…
05-06 13:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xdd5d14…
05-05 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xd7700f…
05-05 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4a9edc…
05-05 14:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xc6025d…
05-05 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x94ccd6…
05-05 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	224	99¢	$222	0xa7b10c…
05-05 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x08d54c…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x979969…
05-05 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x408f14…
05-05 13:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xbdad7a…
05-05 13:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa4cf53…
05-05 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	152	99¢	$151	0xe3a464…
05-05 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x3c4ad3…
05-05 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xeaaa93…
05-05 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1ef4ff…
05-05 13:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3131cf…
05-05 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5f3b56…
05-05 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x565f50…
05-05 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	262	4¢	$10	0xee8d09…
05-05 13:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x2c0dab…
05-05 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x39db42…
03-13 20:17:09	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Down	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x37a38e…
03-13 20:06:37	btc updown 5m 1773432300	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xe47c71…
03-13 20:04:41	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfb0668…
03-13 20:04:27	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x900182…
03-13 16:43:07	btc updown 5m 1773420000	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf3d2b8…
03-13 16:17:19	btc updown 5m 1773418500	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x146372…
03-13 16:16:51	btc updown 5m 1773418500	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x891a2c…
03-13 16:14:25	btc updown 5m 1773418200	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe44c34…
03-13 16:12:05	btc updown 5m 1773418200	Down	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0x30848a…
03-13 15:55:57	btc updown 5m 1773417300	Up	BUY	63	15¢	$9	0xd7d567…
03-13 15:55:47	btc updown 5m 1773417300	Up	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0xeefee7…
03-13 15:54:11	btc updown 5m 1773417000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdd98c1…
03-13 15:27:15	btc updown 5m 1773415500	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x19baf6…
03-13 15:21:01	btc updown 5m 1773415200	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd8e3ba…
03-13 15:20:15	btc updown 5m 1773414900	Up	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x3a13be…
03-13 15:16:35	btc updown 5m 1773414900	Up	BUY	154	67¢	$104	0xb67da9…
03-13 15:16:21	btc updown 5m 1773414900	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x28402f…
03-13 15:15:09	btc updown 5m 1773414600	Up	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xf54d48…
03-13 15:14:55	btc updown 5m 1773414600	Up	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0xab34d7…
03-13 15:12:53	btc updown 5m 1773414600	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd0cead…
03-13 15:12:45	btc updown 5m 1773414600	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x2ebd36…
03-13 15:07:33	btc updown 5m 1773414300	Down	BUY	449	7¢	$30	0xd544f2…
03-13 15:07:17	btc updown 5m 1773414300	Down	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xfb4e1f…
03-13 15:06:57	btc updown 5m 1773414300	Down	BUY	123	24¢	$30	0xcdc08b…
03-13 15:05:19	btc updown 5m 1773414000	Down	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x002926…
03-13 15:04:47	btc updown 5m 1773414000	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xc0856f…
03-13 15:01:39	btc updown 5m 1773414000	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x3ccfa9…
03-13 14:58:05	btc updown 5m 1773413700	Up	BUY	455	4¢	$20	0x0a9d98…
03-13 14:57:45	btc updown 5m 1773413700	Up	BUY	235	13¢	$30	0xda8e64…
03-13 14:57:25	btc updown 5m 1773413700	Up	BUY	188	11¢	$20	0xa3554b…
03-13 14:57:03	btc updown 5m 1773413700	Up	BUY	174	17¢	$30	0x106c11…
03-13 14:56:29	btc updown 5m 1773413700	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0ca8a3…
03-03 00:55:27	btc updown 5m 1772499000	Up	SELL	402	99¢	$399	0x0f4ed0…
03-03 00:51:53	btc updown 5m 1772499000	Up	BUY	406	25¢	$100	0x19cf9f…
03-03 00:46:37	btc updown 5m 1772498400	Up	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0xa0c5fa…
03-03 00:40:39	btc updown 5m 1772498400	Up	BUY	188	51¢	$96	0xb6e8a0…
03-03 00:38:07	btc updown 5m 1772498100	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8a09e4…
03-03 00:37:21	btc updown 5m 1772498100	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x6ac12f…
01-07 18:31:23	will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	No	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0xbb896d…
01-07 18:31:15	will israel strike gaza on january 8 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x22b901…
01-07 18:30:31	will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	No	BUY	866	2¢	$20	0x48d6b3…