Soft-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-29 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 71% $-4

Politics

4% — —

Other

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 06:44
btc updown 5m 1776065100	3	$27	22	16	+7	open	—	04-13 07:31
btc updown 5m 1775642400	2	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-08 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$25	19	14	+5	open	—	04-30 06:54
btc updown 5m 1774441800	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 12:34
btc updown 5m 1776080700	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-13 11:49
btc updown 5m 1776257100	3	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-15 12:50
btc updown 5m 1774455000	3	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	03-25 16:14
btc updown 5m 1774522800	3	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-26 11:03
btc updown 5m 1776928500	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-23 07:20
btc updown 5m 1774459200	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-25 17:24
btc updown 5m 1775024700	4	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 06:40
btc updown 5m 1776071700	2	$17	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 09:20
btc updown 5m 1776927300	2	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 07:00
btc updown 5m 1776162600	2	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-14 10:34
btc updown 5m 1774453200	2	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-25 15:45
eth updown 5m 1774274100	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	03-23 13:58
btc updown 5m 1774608300	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 10:49
btc updown 5m 1775629200	2	$14	56	0	+56	open	—	04-08 06:24
btc updown 5m 1774454400	3	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	03-25 16:04
btc updown 5m 1775031000	2	$13	18	0	+18	open	—	04-01 08:14
btc updown 5m 1774875900	2	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	03-30 13:09
btc updown 5m 1775646900	2	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 06:32
btc updown 5m 1775469900	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-06 10:09
btc updown 5m 1775806500	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-10 07:39
btc updown 5m 1776339900	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-16 11:49
btc updown 5m 1774511100	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-26 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:44:43	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfb5439…
05-20 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x343b0f…
05-12 11:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x512b07…
05-12 11:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc5272b…
05-12 11:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x262b28…
05-11 11:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x982cac…
05-07 09:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xdee262…
05-07 09:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9637f5…
05-07 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x19baa4…
05-07 09:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x13f9ac…
05-07 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc8954e…
05-07 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x811893…
05-07 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x532449…
05-07 08:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x06d8ab…
05-05 10:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xe775c2…
05-05 10:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x61aa45…
05-05 10:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x731192…
05-05 10:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x447d15…
05-05 10:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x104b45…
04-30 11:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5fab4c…
04-30 11:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x032b69…
04-30 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7b24e4…
04-30 11:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xa8550b…
04-30 11:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd7cd17…
04-30 11:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x514579…
04-30 11:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb6ac5b…
04-30 11:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbee3db…
04-30 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x208c3d…
04-30 07:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xafa5e2…
04-30 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc81688…
04-30 07:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2b9bff…
04-30 06:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x1d9724…
04-30 06:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7bb203…
04-30 06:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb69858…
04-30 06:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd04948…
04-30 06:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x885db3…
04-30 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x67a8d8…
04-30 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5a16b8…
04-30 06:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x7d9efb…
04-30 06:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbcf0f7…
04-30 06:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x316a49…
04-30 06:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x78630d…
04-30 06:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x08deb8…
04-30 06:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x68093e…
04-30 06:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x246a90…
04-30 06:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xea1199…
04-30 06:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x72e177…
04-30 06:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9ce488…
04-30 06:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x85d8b4…
04-30 06:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x169cae…
04-30 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x515e39…
04-30 06:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe15494…
04-30 06:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x9f5897…
04-30 06:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x63ecaa…
04-30 06:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x587992…
04-30 06:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x515626…
04-27 07:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf6fb5b…
04-27 07:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5ab950…
04-27 07:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3100d2…
04-27 07:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa1cc8f…
04-23 07:20:04	btc updown 5m 1776928500	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x289266…
04-23 07:10:14	btc updown 5m 1776927900	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xd546bc…
04-23 07:00:02	btc updown 5m 1776927300	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd7d9fc…
04-23 06:59:48	btc updown 5m 1776927300	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x0190ca…
04-18 21:22:54	2026 soccer copa del rey winner atltico madrid	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x01a006…
04-18 21:22:42	2026 soccer copa del rey winner real sociedad	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe06951…
04-18 21:22:36	2026 soccer copa del rey winner atltico madrid	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdfeefe…
04-17 08:14:52	btc updown 5m 1776413400	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x894d1d…
04-16 11:49:54	btc updown 5m 1776339900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x108cac…
04-16 11:49:42	btc updown 5m 1776339900	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x959945…
04-16 10:29:56	btc updown 5m 1776335100	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7f2bdc…
04-16 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1776324000	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x878923…
04-16 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1776324000	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6e7e4d…
04-16 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1776324000	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x655834…
04-16 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1776324000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x519f57…
04-16 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1776324000	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x4134ce…
04-15 12:55:00	btc updown 5m 1776257400	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x40ec0b…
04-15 12:52:56	btc updown 5m 1776257400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xca51f5…
04-15 12:50:02	btc updown 5m 1776257100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f02df…
04-15 12:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776257100	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x63115a…
04-15 12:49:52	btc updown 5m 1776257100	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x793b08…
04-15 10:39:02	btc updown 5m 1776249300	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf72335…
04-14 12:59:43	btc updown 5m 1776171300	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xdab6f3…
04-14 11:19:35	btc updown 5m 1776165300	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x2abf07…
04-14 10:34:57	btc updown 5m 1776162600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0df0fb…
04-14 10:34:47	btc updown 5m 1776162600	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xcc8b6e…
04-14 10:20:01	btc updown 5m 1776161700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ec6b9…
04-14 10:14:33	btc updown 5m 1776161400	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xe79de8…
04-14 09:28:35	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd7d54c…
04-14 09:27:43	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 scb	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdfee66…
04-14 09:24:01	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdc0d4b…
04-14 06:49:31	btc updown 5m 1776149100	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x102fd8…
04-13 11:49:55	btc updown 5m 1776080700	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe7ea90…
04-13 11:49:47	btc updown 5m 1776080700	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x469a12…
04-13 09:20:01	btc updown 5m 1776071700	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x318cbb…
04-13 09:19:47	btc updown 5m 1776071700	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xe903b6…
04-13 07:31:39	btc updown 5m 1776065100	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x426073…
04-13 07:29:35	btc updown 5m 1776065100	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfc5d0c…
04-13 07:28:59	btc updown 5m 1776065100	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x5541d9…
04-10 07:50:01	btc updown 5m 1775807100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x697746…