Appropriate-Loaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-24 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$1

Politics

19% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	3	$374	250	125	+125	open	—	04-13 13:18
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$317	213	108	+106	open	—	02-27 04:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$252	126	126	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	05-19 14:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$228	115	115	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$225	114	114	+0	open	—	03-14 09:17
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	3	$215	114	114	+0	open	—	03-01 02:06
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	02-28 02:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$210	110	110	+0	open	—	02-28 23:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$126	126	0	+126	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$126	126	0	+126	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	04-30 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-27 13:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-23 15:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-18 06:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-16 04:59
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-14 04:49
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-10 03:29
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	04-07 23:51
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	04-06 07:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	05-19 14:54
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	04-01 05:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	05-24 15:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$124	0	124	-124	open	—	05-23 14:42
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	03-31 05:03
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	03-30 05:10
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	1	$120	124	0	+124	open	—	03-28 16:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-27 13:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-26 13:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-24 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:46:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x8b4f26…
05-23 14:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xfcdcac…
05-19 14:54:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x11bf2b…
05-19 14:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xdbeaa8…
05-19 13:33:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x237d8d…
05-11 01:44:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x712a8d…
05-08 00:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xa592ed…
05-07 00:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x05efeb…
05-05 06:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8c0703…
04-30 14:39:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xb902df…
04-27 13:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1cba41…
04-23 15:54:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xdfbe69…
04-18 06:48:12	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x772bdd…
04-16 04:59:00	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x30862a…
04-14 04:49:33	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xe5993e…
04-13 13:18:45	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xf26137…
04-13 04:26:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x598a96…
04-11 23:52:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x132385…
04-10 03:29:29	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5e260e…
04-07 23:51:45	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xc60402…
04-06 07:54:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x437cd5…
04-01 05:00:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x1dfd4b…
03-31 05:03:11	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x352007…
03-30 05:10:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x8c3065…
03-28 16:21:13	dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	Tundra Esports	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x1a8cae…
03-27 13:40:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x874bb4…
03-26 13:19:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe512d0…
03-24 11:13:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x39342c…
03-23 12:30:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2c7120…
03-21 07:23:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7ee4a8…
03-20 18:29:27	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd8bfc3…
03-20 04:19:17	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	119	99¢	$117	0x757b1f…
03-19 01:00:29	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x7ee42e…
03-18 04:34:11	nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	Lightning	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xcf75f3…
03-16 02:07:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 17	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x6e6001…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x8c86c5…
03-14 09:18:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0xf9a9ca…
03-14 09:17:09	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0x21179d…
03-12 14:13:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x95eb98…
03-10 05:11:37	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xccd257…
03-09 05:28:29	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa78814…
03-07 12:09:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x74384b…
03-06 03:55:09	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x6fd1bc…
03-04 01:39:59	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x4454ca…
03-02 14:20:17	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x71dcdc…
03-02 02:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x6b499a…
03-01 02:06:21	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0xcccedd…
03-01 01:43:59	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xe8f088…
03-01 00:43:51	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	BUY	114	91¢	$104	0x865f7b…
02-28 23:47:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$104	0x9fbfef…
02-28 22:35:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0x34521a…
02-28 03:28:45	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x1e1923…
02-28 02:23:13	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfeafbb…
02-28 02:23:03	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8b2524…
02-28 02:22:21	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x05f4f9…
02-28 02:21:59	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6c9fbd…
02-28 02:12:53	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xd672d0…
02-27 10:38:03	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7624c0…
02-27 04:13:50	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x120bd9…
02-26 10:34:02	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x1814d7…
02-26 04:38:24	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0xcc62a6…
02-25 12:37:26	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x8c3cdc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Ecstatic-Hand 0x7d28…3952	45	$6.74K	56	05-24 15:46
Fluid-Sentencing 0xe089…acdc	45	$6.50K	55	05-24 15:46
Embarrassed-Minor 0xb439…2410	44	$6.55K	55	05-24 15:47
Thick-Tog 0x46ff…376d	44	$6.50K	54	05-24 15:46
Necessary-Synod 0x4757…d752	44	$6.43K	54	05-24 15:45
Unripe-Chow 0x1f07…a7c6	43	$6.25K	52	05-24 15:46
Lumpy-Haunt 0x9855…b1b1	43	$5.75K	52	05-24 15:45
Unhealthy-Celebrity 0x9bdf…11f2	42	$6.05K	51	05-24 15:46