Quirky-Multimedia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$959

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-08 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 68% $-12

Other

18% — —

Sports

14% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$134	193	17	+175	open	—	01-31 13:45
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$78	300	0	+300	open	—	02-10 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$75	111	44	+68	open	—	05-04 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$63	48	48	+0	open	—	05-03 15:29
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$59	81	4	+77	open	—	01-29 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$48	39	75	-36	open	—	05-04 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$46	67	29	+38	open	—	05-04 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 05:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$29	1,308	1,308	+0	open	—	02-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$25	172	0	+172	open	—	05-03 15:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$23	55	55	+0	open	—	02-03 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 11:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 10:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 05:41
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$11	58	0	+58	open	—	02-03 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2f8eba…
05-05 06:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x200721…
05-05 06:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x186974…
05-05 06:51:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x8a16dc…
05-05 06:50:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5259b2…
05-05 06:47:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x77b85e…
05-05 06:47:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb77643…
05-05 06:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x524a6a…
05-05 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2a4906…
05-05 06:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe95332…
05-05 06:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0x55a339…
05-05 06:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd89d39…
05-05 06:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x91d2e9…
05-05 06:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x3b123d…
05-05 06:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc85efa…
05-05 06:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x842b07…
05-05 06:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf6d894…
05-05 06:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xa10efa…
05-05 06:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbf6f66…
05-05 06:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xa13a9d…
05-05 06:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x679016…
05-05 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xb16794…
05-05 06:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xffca1a…
05-05 06:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x79e8d9…
05-05 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1e8585…
05-05 05:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4cc373…
05-05 05:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x57222f…
05-05 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x40bdc1…
05-05 05:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf71c8a…
05-05 05:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x47e8c8…
05-05 05:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdb9b1e…
05-05 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb643ed…
05-05 05:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x526b30…
05-05 05:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa347ef…
05-05 05:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xfe7c19…
05-05 05:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb98af5…
05-05 05:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x71b2d7…
05-05 05:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x19465f…
05-05 05:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4d6e9d…
05-04 11:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xf864d0…
05-04 11:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9197b3…
05-04 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xb91f12…
05-04 11:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb41aa3…
05-04 11:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x449eaa…
05-04 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5616c3…
05-04 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x9087cb…
05-04 11:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	44	58¢	$25	0xca7a97…
05-04 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa4dca3…
05-04 11:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd7956c…
05-04 11:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	29¢	$8	0x50fa38…
05-04 11:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9cab4a…
05-04 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0xf98697…
05-04 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xace5e2…
05-04 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaa3e79…
05-04 11:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf90fce…
05-04 10:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3d52f0…
05-04 10:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x49c79a…
05-04 10:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa3f792…
05-04 10:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x3775a5…
05-04 10:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0c8f0b…
05-04 10:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xc911c7…
05-04 10:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xc2f7e2…
05-04 10:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcaa741…
05-04 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x20320b…
05-04 10:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x346aa2…
05-04 10:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x8dd44b…
05-04 10:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2fd0c…
05-04 10:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xae4d4e…
05-04 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x39f942…
05-04 00:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6abe76…
05-04 00:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xacfba5…
05-04 00:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xe13df9…
05-04 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe7e3f9…
05-04 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x781c24…
05-03 15:44:08	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x93af60…
05-03 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	172	15¢	$25	0x5ac909…
05-03 15:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5c4784…
05-03 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd51bfc…
05-03 15:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbf21f3…
05-03 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x7389f1…
05-03 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xf9f6c6…
02-10 07:37:35	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x14ee97…
02-03 16:03:02	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0x52205e…
02-03 15:56:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	55	21¢	$11	0x2f368f…
02-03 15:56:00	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x43e5a0…
02-03 15:54:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,308	1¢	$12	0x86b10e…
02-03 03:44:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,308	1¢	$17	0xf3e5b6…
01-31 13:45:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xccda6f…
01-31 13:34:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa72820…
01-29 09:08:30	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x57bc7a…
01-29 09:04:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xcfda78…
01-28 06:38:09	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa405d0…
01-28 06:36:43	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x4702b7…
01-28 06:34:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3774be…
01-28 05:46:35	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8157a9…