Forked-Conduct — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$8.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-25 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 64% $-2

Other

14% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.1K	795	455	+340	open	—	04-12 19:10
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$774	445	333	+111	open	—	04-12 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$491	496	0	+496	open	—	05-16 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$474	609	461	+148	open	—	05-17 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$300	345	0	+345	open	—	05-18 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	3	$266	374	120	+254	open	—	05-17 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$244	289	149	+140	open	—	05-16 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$222	328	26	+302	open	—	05-17 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$219	139	139	+0	open	—	05-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$200	221	0	+221	open	—	05-17 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$200	279	0	+279	open	—	05-16 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$175	258	228	+29	Down	$-36	05-12 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$169	198	57	+142	open	—	05-17 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$140	163	0	+163	open	—	05-17 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$136	108	105	+3	open	—	04-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$132	125	125	+0	open	—	05-20 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$129	191	109	+82	open	—	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$118	112	70	+42	open	—	05-17 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	05-21 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$100	163	0	+163	open	—	05-16 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$83	54	54	+0	open	—	05-15 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$81	85	79	+5	open	—	04-27 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$73	59	59	+0	Up	+$13	05-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$69	77	77	+0	Up	+$29	05-11 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$68	45	45	+0	open	—	05-16 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$67	39	39	+0	open	—	05-16 17:57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$62	61	61	+0	open	—	05-25 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$61	79	41	+38	Up	+$1	05-12 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	05-17 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$59	66	40	+26	open	—	05-16 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 16:35:03	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	61	28¢	$17	0x8b4ec0…
05-25 15:05:16	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x1e5ad9…
05-25 15:04:47	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0x3ed713…
05-21 16:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xb04598…
05-20 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	125	26¢	$32	0x340ed7…
05-20 16:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xc2cd5d…
05-18 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	139	86¢	$119	0xf292f8…
05-18 19:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x39f6bf…
05-18 19:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xf40ab5…
05-18 19:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x3802de…
05-17 18:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0xb9bec3…
05-17 18:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x33cbcb…
05-17 18:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0xc4c124…
05-17 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x8ff9ad…
05-17 18:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0xc11167…
05-17 18:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe65930…
05-17 18:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	221	90¢	$200	0x170503…
05-17 17:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x53f153…
05-17 17:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xebc936…
05-17 17:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x770f02…
05-17 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x5c710d…
05-17 17:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	109	26¢	$29	0x0c9841…
05-17 17:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x38fd21…
05-17 16:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe96849…
05-17 16:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	234	73¢	$170	0xc17777…
05-17 16:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x62f637…
05-17 16:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0xbf3a6f…
05-17 16:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x754f15…
05-17 16:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x93b543…
05-17 16:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	57	68¢	$39	0xfa9bbd…
05-17 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x770e34…
05-17 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x240105…
05-17 13:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	148	75¢	$110	0xab8b70…
05-17 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	461	10¢	$46	0x4179d3…
05-17 13:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	461	69¢	$317	0x1afedb…
05-17 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xf73cc8…
05-17 12:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xd9d3cf…
05-17 12:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0x75697b…
05-17 12:26:25	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x85768b…
05-17 12:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0b55dd…
05-17 12:24:47	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x14d0bf…
05-17 12:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0xb34bed…
05-17 12:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x5fbb07…
05-17 12:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xe7e2b9…
05-17 11:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x86538d…
05-17 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x4309d3…
05-17 11:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x357f96…
05-17 11:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x58e9b0…
05-17 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xb48c89…
05-17 10:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x6e1c88…
05-16 19:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	279	72¢	$200	0xc8a26f…
05-16 18:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x44f599…
05-16 18:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x8e47eb…
05-16 17:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x087409…
05-16 17:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8e674f…
05-16 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x76ab0c…
05-16 17:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x75ea28…
05-16 17:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	496	99¢	$491	0x4d5fba…
05-16 17:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x65b6c5…
05-16 16:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xdfc510…
05-16 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xa48f57…
05-16 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb9cb02…
05-16 16:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x501a68…
05-16 16:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x5e62f8…
05-16 16:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8af49b…
05-16 16:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6ee1f6…
05-16 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x01547c…
05-16 15:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xaeddd9…
05-16 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x1c9c03…
05-16 15:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	49	5¢	$3	0xb3235d…
05-16 15:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x8f6706…
05-16 15:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x3f451b…
05-16 15:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	149	30¢	$44	0xc3e3dc…
05-16 15:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x80e5e1…
05-16 14:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x112358…
05-16 14:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xc022da…
05-16 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xa41b81…
05-16 13:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xcadbb4…
05-16 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xfd2445…
05-16 13:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x97aa07…
05-16 13:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xcacf53…
05-16 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x3865db…
05-16 12:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x4e5bf7…
05-16 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf1f7d8…
05-16 11:59:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x8ae374…
05-16 11:57:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xffffe5…
05-16 11:57:33	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xd3ac00…
05-16 11:47:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x219405…
05-16 11:47:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa7f707…
05-16 11:46:53	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf36d5e…
05-16 11:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x58cd20…
05-16 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb97249…
05-16 10:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x2d9f1e…
05-15 23:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xa509a7…
05-15 23:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x84fe85…
05-15 22:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x97da2c…
05-15 22:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x09e212…
05-15 22:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5f621c…
05-15 22:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xb5294c…
05-14 19:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x29987d…