Hopeful-Variety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$248

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 36% $-38

Sports

14% 60% +$287

Other

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	29	$690	570	570	+0	Down	+$176	05-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	6	$663	724	724	+0	Down	+$144	05-07 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$655	611	527	+85	Down	+$182	05-05 05:44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$645	704	502	+202	Timberwolves	+$219	05-05 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$596	495	495	+0	Up	+$114	05-05 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$581	975	774	+201	Down	$-84	05-05 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$439	570	352	+218	Down	$-113	05-05 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$434	317	317	+0	Up	+$124	05-05 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$273	222	222	+0	Up	+$73	05-05 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$231	237	217	+21	Down	+$15	05-05 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$215	685	351	+333	Down	+$35	05-05 05:58
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	3	$169	179	179	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$79	05-04 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$156	582	0	+582	Down	$-156	05-07 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$135	671	0	+671	Down	$-135	05-07 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	Down	$-100	05-07 00:29
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$70	86	86	+0	Kansas City Royals	+$20	05-05 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	9	$63	264	0	+264	Down	$-63	05-05 05:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2	$58	176	176	+0	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	$-2	05-06 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$50	223	0	+223	Down	$-50	05-07 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$34	239	0	+239	Down	$-34	05-05 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 00:17
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$30	188	0	+188	Golden Knights	$-30	05-05 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$30	103	0	+103	Up	$-30	05-05 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$30	145	0	+145	Down	$-30	05-05 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$27	82	0	+82	Down	$-27	05-05 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$25	107	0	+107	Down	$-25	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$25	81	0	+81	Down	$-25	05-05 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	Down	$-20	05-05 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$10	333	0	+333	Down	$-10	05-05 06:24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$2	9	9	+0	Chicago Cubs	$-0	05-07 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 01:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x727076…
05-07 01:33:29	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x7879d0…
05-07 00:44:32	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x94dcbd…
05-07 00:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	582	27¢	$156	0xf4fcae…
05-07 00:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	223	22¢	$50	0xa78ff9…
05-07 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x753026…
05-07 00:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x897d56…
05-07 00:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x679ff2…
05-07 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	261	23¢	$60	0x09e9a7…
05-07 00:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	151	73¢	$110	0x03f547…
05-07 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x840c2c…
05-07 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	135	65¢	$88	0x76b0db…
05-07 00:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	135	44¢	$60	0x18c2c8…
05-07 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	439	47¢	$206	0xa1236c…
05-07 00:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	439	34¢	$150	0x665dd7…
05-06 22:12:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	SELL	176	16¢	$28	0x6409f5…
05-06 20:01:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xae4a0e…
05-05 06:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x20a483…
05-05 06:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	83	48¢	$40	0xdaa409…
05-05 06:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	133	62¢	$83	0x41af81…
05-05 06:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x3d9d68…
05-05 06:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x22370c…
05-05 06:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x1f0b5a…
05-05 06:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x004d78…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xdf1fc3…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xd2cb21…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x867eac…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0x359597…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x2e010f…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xffa850…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xe9630b…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xcd3624…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xc628b3…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	78	76¢	$59	0xc2e698…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xc2770e…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xa3620a…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x91a280…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0x908666…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x8f1661…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x8c6b22…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x7d08c8…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x7ce875…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6e3f40…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x6a0037…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x4574b9…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x36e0a9…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3108f0…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x2b0416…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x174ce6…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x0317f9…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x0104e0…
05-05 06:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x9e7dbc…
05-05 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	115	49¢	$57	0x0a591d…
05-05 05:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xc9ae7d…
05-05 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	143	29¢	$41	0x501308…
05-05 05:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	208	40¢	$84	0xf513b8…
05-05 05:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xb8259f…
05-05 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x33cc3b…
05-05 05:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x1932bf…
05-05 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	149	20¢	$30	0xe04015…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xec3614…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xe2644a…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xa16e69…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x99ab5c…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x918471…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x6c839f…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08857e…
05-05 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x04d948…
05-05 05:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	527	79¢	$418	0xea77c6…
05-05 05:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	527	43¢	$226	0x460ced…
05-05 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x5e11f5…
05-05 05:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	740	32¢	$237	0x5b9184…
05-05 05:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	876	34¢	$297	0xa60684…
05-05 05:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0x38e9b7…
05-05 05:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	495	72¢	$355	0x6f235a…
05-05 05:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	495	49¢	$241	0xf216e7…
05-05 05:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0xa90b97…
05-05 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	317	88¢	$279	0xa5be86…
05-05 05:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	317	49¢	$155	0xd3cb1e…
05-05 05:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	122	7¢	$9	0xded36d…
05-05 05:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0x360345…
05-05 04:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5140a9…
05-05 04:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	218	60¢	$130	0xd5eb42…
05-05 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	352	46¢	$163	0xb4848a…
05-05 04:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	352	41¢	$146	0x8a0b49…
05-05 04:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x6419d2…
05-05 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3fe875…
05-05 04:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x601884…
05-05 04:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	222	78¢	$173	0x708852…
05-05 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x0a6034…
05-05 04:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xbc747f…
05-05 04:18:02	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x1c20e3…
05-05 04:04:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc56a39…
05-05 04:01:24	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x5b2afc…
05-05 03:59:44	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	502	86¢	$432	0x54e4cd…
05-05 03:28:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	502	36¢	$183	0x5fb6a7…
05-05 00:26:06	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	SELL	86	52¢	$45	0xc182aa…
05-05 00:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0xa2651f…
05-05 00:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xd59b35…
05-05 00:14:56	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xab9c56…