Watery-Lobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-11 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 17% $-13

Crypto

19% 75% $-2

Sports

16% — —

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$391	400	400	+0	open	—	03-02 11:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$302	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 15:27
bl2 scp bra 2026 03 07 spread home 1pt5	3	$295	150	150	+0	open	—	03-07 14:01
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 tot	1	$262	265	0	+265	open	—	02-07 13:19
elc wba hul 2026 03 14 hul	3	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-14 16:47
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	3	$163	165	0	+165	open	—	02-13 13:58
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	4	$141	100	100	+0	open	—	03-11 03:40
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	03-11 12:30
rut up or down on march 11 2026	2	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	03-11 14:36
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	02-09 13:31
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	03-03 16:31
nba cha ind 2026 02 26	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	02-26 14:07
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$94	100	100	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 07:31
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$81	50	50	+0	Up	$-5	05-08 07:21
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 07:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$80	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 11:49
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$77	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 06:56
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$72	146	0	+146	open	—	05-21 10:29
nba nop det 2026 03 26	1	$70	194	0	+194	open	—	03-26 12:55
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	1	$70	137	0	+137	open	—	02-23 13:26
sea nap ver 2026 01 07 nap	1	$67	90	0	+90	open	—	01-07 15:03
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 24?	5	$64	50	50	-0	open	—	04-24 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	9	$60	120	0	+120	Up	+$0	05-13 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	9	$59	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	05-13 05:55
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	1	$59	99	0	+99	open	—	03-21 17:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-21 10:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 06:44
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	03-22 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 06:19:28	eth updown 5m 1781158500	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xf32bbb…
06-11 06:12:45	eth updown 5m 1781158500	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf33d1c…
06-11 06:10:07	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xcd55a8…
06-11 06:10:07	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xab1be8…
06-11 06:10:07	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3f6a69…
06-11 06:10:06	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x62836d…
06-11 06:10:06	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x2a2b2d…
06-11 06:09:21	eth updown 5m 1781158200	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x514cf8…
06-11 06:05:28	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xea2c6d…
06-11 06:05:28	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x24fbe6…
06-11 06:05:27	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xa1dcdb…
06-11 06:00:13	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62e0d9…
06-11 05:59:40	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x547eac…
06-11 05:59:37	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x02eb05…
06-11 05:59:30	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x42fb4d…
06-11 05:59:28	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x1221e3…
06-11 05:59:19	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x07ad28…
06-11 05:58:15	eth updown 5m 1781157600	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x98d30c…
06-11 05:57:03	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x9fe7eb…
06-11 05:55:15	eth updown 5m 1781157900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x79910a…
06-11 05:55:06	eth updown 5m 1781157300	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x9c7442…
06-11 05:55:03	eth updown 5m 1781157300	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x49e0b9…
06-11 05:54:58	eth updown 5m 1781157300	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x39ab29…
06-11 05:53:12	eth updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x9e99ba…
06-11 05:30:06	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x617c54…
06-11 05:30:04	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf3eafe…
06-11 05:29:37	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5a9b02…
06-11 05:29:36	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x64b8f7…
06-11 05:29:36	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2fc844…
06-11 05:29:36	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x075b1a…
06-11 05:29:34	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc5c811…
06-11 05:29:19	eth updown 5m 1781155800	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xeba355…
06-11 05:25:04	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x151954…
06-11 05:25:03	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd98f89…
06-11 05:25:03	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbcd5b…
06-11 05:25:03	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x95d79c…
06-11 05:25:03	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x55311c…
06-11 05:25:03	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x007e61…
06-11 05:25:01	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3c78b4…
06-11 05:25:00	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40d1a9…
06-11 05:24:57	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x980f55…
06-11 05:22:15	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7f4b4c…
06-11 05:20:13	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x74ddee…
06-11 05:19:57	eth updown 5m 1781155200	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x21b99f…
06-11 05:17:07	eth updown 5m 1781155200	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x1cd1af…
06-11 05:15:13	eth updown 5m 1781155500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e9250…
06-11 05:15:03	eth updown 5m 1781154900	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xa05eed…
06-11 05:15:00	eth updown 5m 1781154900	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x65673d…
06-11 05:14:45	eth updown 5m 1781154900	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x52ba6c…
05-21 10:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5def7c…
05-21 10:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x93682f…
05-21 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xd0c1c2…
05-21 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x43a4d1…
05-21 10:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x289b0a…
05-21 10:26:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x84a734…
05-21 10:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xe50b6a…
05-21 10:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf640a2…
05-21 10:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xef7a69…
05-21 10:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xff13f0…
05-21 10:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xa94c25…
05-21 10:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x6f9a57…
05-21 10:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x4a3f08…
05-21 10:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1f7709…
05-21 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x65c3a4…
05-21 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x3534ef…
05-21 10:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb29e9f…
05-21 10:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xf93a2e…
05-21 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5229fe…
05-21 10:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3d8013…
05-21 10:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x445040…
05-21 10:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd9060…
05-21 10:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf431c…
05-21 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x65bb93…
05-21 10:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xec9c59…
05-21 10:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xa53028…
05-21 10:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xf409e3…
05-21 10:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9aacc4…
05-21 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x32f1dc…
05-21 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x79a5d4…
05-21 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4084a5…
05-21 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x285788…
05-21 09:24:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x06c9ec…
05-21 09:07:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xa6e7d8…
05-21 08:12:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x926830…
05-21 06:45:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x91eee7…
05-21 06:44:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x5fca16…
05-21 05:57:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x0bef97…
05-21 05:27:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x925fd3…
05-21 05:09:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x607257…
05-21 04:30:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xf64a94…
05-13 06:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xa5c4ff…
05-13 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6daefb…
05-13 06:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xff6bed…
05-13 06:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd85071…
05-13 06:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x6a9595…
05-13 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf9b577…
05-13 06:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x910e00…
05-13 06:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x42a7b2…
05-13 06:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xab71a2…
05-13 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0xe1be09…