Gray-Variation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-04 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-0

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$357	179	179	+0	open	—	03-12 18:03
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$184	93	93	+0	open	—	03-12 11:03
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-11 03:42
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$174	87	87	+0	No	$-0	03-10 11:40
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	03-10 03:58
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	open	—	02-14 06:30
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	04-19 08:21
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	1	$79	128	0	+128	open	—	03-13 05:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-20 10:44
nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	1	$47	123	0	+123	open	—	03-17 07:10
nba orl atl 2026 03 16	1	$39	70	0	+70	open	—	03-16 08:59
nba orl mia 2026 03 14	1	$37	61	0	+61	open	—	03-14 05:41
nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	1	$35	59	0	+59	open	—	03-15 08:48
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	1	$27	47	0	+47	open	—	03-26 08:45
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	2	$26	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 02:55
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	1	$24	79	0	+79	open	—	03-18 05:16
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-17 00:06
nba chi mem 2026 03 28	1	$23	36	0	+36	open	—	03-28 09:20
nhl phi wsh 2026 03 31	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-31 02:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 06:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-06 06:16
mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	2	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	07-04 11:48
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-21 00:40
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 07:08
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 02:38
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$8	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 04:26
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-06 06:26
nba mia tor 2026 04 07	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 06:10
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 04:01
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-08 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 11:48:52	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	San Francisco Giants	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xe7e802…
06-18 06:23:10	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	San Francisco Giants	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x9036fb…
06-17 00:06:56	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1dfd45…
06-08 06:44:34	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb89a80…
05-26 02:38:18	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c5283…
05-22 06:50:07	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x38e5e6…
05-16 04:26:00	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xa03d96…
05-06 06:16:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd0b53a…
04-20 10:44:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x35601e…
04-20 07:31:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x27ce72…
04-19 08:21:58	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6ddcf0…
04-19 07:18:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x0f71d6…
04-08 05:48:13	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Hawks	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x9cd4b6…
04-08 04:01:45	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Maple Leafs	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x1708c2…
04-07 07:08:25	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Blue Jackets	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x913702…
04-07 06:10:05	nba mia tor 2026 04 07	Heat	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5b5dd0…
04-06 06:26:41	nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	Lightning	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x2002c0…
04-02 09:30:49	nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02	Rangers	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1e0522…
03-31 02:31:11	nhl phi wsh 2026 03 31	Flyers	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x76189f…
03-29 02:55:10	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2db876…
03-29 02:54:26	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xa0c972…
03-28 09:20:39	nba chi mem 2026 03 28	Bulls	BUY	36	62¢	$23	0x66aba7…
03-26 08:45:29	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	Yes	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x17841c…
03-21 00:40:43	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xff8503…
03-18 05:16:39	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	No	BUY	79	30¢	$24	0xf64291…
03-17 07:10:31	nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	Kraken	BUY	123	38¢	$47	0x101b7f…
03-16 08:59:31	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x2ad3f3…
03-15 08:48:57	nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	Canadiens	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x0ec61f…
03-14 05:41:49	nba orl mia 2026 03 14	Heat	BUY	61	61¢	$37	0x82b372…
03-13 05:27:17	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Raptors	BUY	128	62¢	$79	0xa0f9bf…
03-12 18:03:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0ae51f…
03-12 11:49:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xdcf9f6…
03-12 11:03:23	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0x328312…
03-12 10:05:57	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x91fae0…
03-11 03:42:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf9195c…
03-11 02:16:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x25041d…
03-10 11:40:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x26dfac…
03-10 10:18:33	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5abcd7…
03-10 09:39:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x1f4344…
03-10 08:26:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3f5814…
03-10 03:58:15	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$52	0x277200…
03-07 15:45:49	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x958fcc…
02-14 06:30:37	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xae7aba…