Serene-Dogsled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$941

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Down	$-25	05-13 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$23	27	21	+6	open	—	05-14 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$18	26	16	+10	open	—	05-14 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$17	510	10	+500	open	—	05-14 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$15	12	5	+7	Down	$-5	05-13 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc87387…
05-15 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x88fb62…
05-15 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x901b47…
05-15 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb9c3bd…
05-15 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa80c64…
05-15 14:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x59b563…
05-15 10:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x978e10…
05-15 10:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x359cae…
05-15 08:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2f95ce…
05-15 08:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x5585dd…
05-15 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd78b9d…
05-14 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa61b2…
05-14 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf37ed1…
05-14 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x07d465…
05-14 20:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x73cb26…
05-14 20:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa5099a…
05-14 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x07e3f7…
05-14 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0bcda3…
05-14 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x87d34e…
05-14 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9fd60…
05-14 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f9fd1…
05-14 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x734f11…
05-14 20:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xce9606…
05-14 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd0220f…
05-14 19:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x5068db…
05-14 19:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd87e43…
05-14 19:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed41d2…
05-14 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x39fd10…
05-14 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x08f67c…
05-14 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x9161b6…
05-14 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfcf8a2…
05-14 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8cf185…
05-14 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8c5a4d…
05-14 17:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf61064…
05-14 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x148751…
05-14 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09858c…
05-14 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x0097b8…
05-14 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9a1035…
05-14 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27251d…
05-14 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf0aa9e…
05-14 16:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcaea8f…
05-14 15:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x12474d…
05-14 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98682d…
05-14 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe1eb7a…
05-14 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9030c…
05-14 15:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc6f4c9…
05-14 15:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb0d9ea…
05-14 15:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x180083…
05-14 15:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb979fa…
05-14 15:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x268184…
05-14 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc50ff1…
05-14 14:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xff8ac2…
05-14 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x18e60c…
05-14 12:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82d485…
05-14 12:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x400f42…
05-14 12:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x71f8f8…
05-14 12:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x077d70…
05-14 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe63fa0…
05-14 12:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc82eeb…
05-14 12:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x63cb7f…
05-14 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0e4971…
05-14 12:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xf3ffdb…
05-14 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0b7cba…
05-14 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7c8a36…
05-14 12:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x9b2aa4…
05-14 11:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf00f67…
05-14 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc55472…
05-14 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x804ddf…
05-14 11:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x008c15…
05-14 11:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x102290…
05-14 11:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa6a981…
05-14 11:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x85416e…
05-14 10:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xacf4d8…
05-14 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe4a449…
05-14 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x868e5f…
05-14 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x22aad5…
05-14 10:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x153107…
05-14 10:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf6f286…
05-14 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xad3b18…
05-14 10:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc131ff…
05-14 08:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xb4ead6…
05-14 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb94e3a…
05-14 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x781cfa…
05-14 08:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd3a585…
05-14 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9605fe…
05-14 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1a8379…
05-14 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01a7b5…
05-14 08:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x51838d…
05-14 08:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdd72c2…
05-14 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x05441d…
05-14 08:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe19c28…
05-14 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x117d44…
05-14 07:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb6a1b0…
05-14 07:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xef4941…
05-14 07:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfb4913…
05-14 07:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xefe980…
05-14 06:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x9edd6f…
05-14 06:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xda558e…
05-14 06:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe7b301…
05-14 06:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x2208c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	85	$42.9K	5,658	05-15 18:17
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	85	$37.3K	1,726	05-15 18:17
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	85	$36.4K	1,651	05-15 18:17
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	85	$29.2K	3,794	05-15 18:17
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	85	$25.5K	834	05-15 18:15
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	85	$25.3K	4,804	05-15 18:18
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	85	$25.1K	3,945	05-15 18:18
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	85	$24.8K	1,001	05-15 18:15