Serene-Dogsled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-21 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Down	$-25	05-13 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$23	27	21	+6	open	—	05-14 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$18	26	16	+10	open	—	05-14 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$17	510	10	+500	open	—	05-14 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$15	12	5	+7	Down	$-5	05-13 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:11:15	bitcoin up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9237e9…
07-21 16:31:31	bitcoin up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x36849c…
07-21 08:27:12	bitcoin up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x704492…
07-20 18:02:12	bitcoin up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xca330b…
07-20 16:48:15	bitcoin up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x74dfec…
07-20 12:38:46	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe3d15d…
07-20 11:51:03	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbbb662…
07-19 06:17:45	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xb789ea…
07-18 17:28:09	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x18ec25…
07-18 17:21:43	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5d67db…
07-18 17:13:24	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5158c8…
07-18 17:02:28	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9fdc82…
07-14 10:07:32	bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa52388…
07-14 10:06:10	bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x69b42d…
07-14 07:23:44	bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xabab4f…
07-13 17:49:16	bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x605198…
07-13 16:15:34	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb86260…
07-13 16:13:10	bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab391c…
07-13 09:46:23	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe0ac0e…
07-13 09:46:23	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x70e3b1…
07-13 07:10:07	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5ed06d…
07-12 14:48:37	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcfc595…
07-12 14:42:04	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x9dae6e…
07-12 10:50:46	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf3bad5…
07-12 09:48:55	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc53a37…
07-12 09:41:59	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x106460…
07-12 09:41:41	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc121e8…
07-12 09:37:14	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x16f929…
07-12 09:23:44	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x560c9d…
07-11 05:48:46	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x44e83e…
07-11 05:44:34	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xceb377…
07-10 20:34:28	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6727cf…
07-10 16:08:55	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x02bc5e…
07-10 16:02:59	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x086cc1…
07-09 19:02:10	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2ead3b…
07-09 15:27:22	btc updown 4h 1783598400	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0fcc6f…
07-09 14:43:50	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x340160…
07-07 16:50:17	btc updown 4h 1783440000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4752b…
07-07 12:49:14	btc updown 4h 1783425600	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xebba42…
07-06 17:20:22	btc updown 4h 1783353600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe90a03…
07-06 17:16:34	btc updown 4h 1783353600	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3b5646…
07-06 17:14:23	btc updown 4h 1783353600	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8ca7c7…
07-03 17:54:49	btc updown 4h 1783094400	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3b1ebc…
07-02 19:45:41	btc updown 4h 1783008000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x23c25b…
07-02 17:52:35	btc updown 4h 1783008000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x156db3…
07-02 14:44:17	btc updown 4h 1782993600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8439b5…
07-01 17:24:08	btc updown 4h 1782921600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x855e32…
07-01 13:45:28	btc updown 4h 1782907200	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xbdbb05…
07-01 12:51:29	btc updown 4h 1782907200	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7a20d2…
07-01 12:09:56	btc updown 4h 1782907200	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa45627…
07-01 12:09:07	btc updown 4h 1782907200	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x3743c2…
07-01 12:07:52	btc updown 4h 1782907200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x14cae9…
07-01 10:16:23	btc updown 4h 1782892800	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x832ec7…
06-30 12:54:23	btc updown 4h 1782820800	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xceb37a…
06-30 10:26:19	btc updown 4h 1782806400	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38feb5…
06-30 09:01:58	btc updown 4h 1782806400	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x679c0d…
05-15 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc87387…
05-15 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x88fb62…
05-15 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x901b47…
05-15 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb9c3bd…
05-15 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa80c64…
05-15 14:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x59b563…
05-15 10:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x978e10…
05-15 10:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x359cae…
05-15 08:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2f95ce…
05-15 08:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x5585dd…
05-15 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd78b9d…
05-14 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa61b2…
05-14 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf37ed1…
05-14 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x07d465…
05-14 20:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x73cb26…
05-14 20:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa5099a…
05-14 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x07e3f7…
05-14 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0bcda3…
05-14 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x87d34e…
05-14 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9fd60…
05-14 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f9fd1…
05-14 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x734f11…
05-14 20:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xce9606…
05-14 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd0220f…
05-14 19:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x5068db…
05-14 19:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd87e43…
05-14 19:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed41d2…
05-14 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x39fd10…
05-14 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x08f67c…
05-14 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x9161b6…
05-14 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfcf8a2…
05-14 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8cf185…
05-14 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8c5a4d…
05-14 17:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf61064…
05-14 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x148751…
05-14 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09858c…
05-14 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x0097b8…
05-14 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9a1035…
05-14 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27251d…
05-14 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf0aa9e…
05-14 16:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcaea8f…
05-14 15:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x12474d…
05-14 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98682d…
05-14 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe1eb7a…