Shady-Overexertion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$298

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-18 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% 17% $-168

Crypto

34% 25% $-88

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	4	$143	1,290	0	+1,290	Up	$-143	05-11 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$80	173	0	+173	Up	$-80	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-06 07:44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$12	25	25	+0	open	—	05-05 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-11 11:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	2	$8	19	0	+19	Down	$-8	05-11 11:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	2	$7	86	0	+86	Up	$-7	05-06 09:11
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$5	981	0	+981	Up	$-5	05-05 17:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$5	71	0	+71	Up	$-5	05-06 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$3	60	0	+60	Up	$-3	05-06 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-3	05-06 07:58
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 15:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 11:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$2	150	0	+150	open	—	05-14 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-06 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 19:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 17:22:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x985dfe…
05-14 18:27:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x173a38…
05-11 17:12:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	125	21¢	$26	0x3b3e7c…
05-11 17:06:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	347	16¢	$56	0xb3511e…
05-11 16:21:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0xcdfa2f…
05-11 16:18:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	680	7¢	$50	0x49a624…
05-11 11:47:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9f03eb…
05-11 11:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x9742c4…
05-11 11:44:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2064a4…
05-11 11:43:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b8c40…
05-06 14:38:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x62b6a7…
05-06 10:49:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xacafd8…
05-06 09:54:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x51fcaa…
05-06 09:11:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x574ee6…
05-06 08:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb04070…
05-06 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x44ffff…
05-06 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x56e4a2…
05-06 08:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20d1fc…
05-06 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2293d6…
05-06 07:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44bd9c…
05-06 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x17bdab…
05-06 07:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2a98a6…
05-06 07:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc64fab…
05-06 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	45¢	$40	0xf6f723…
05-06 07:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x9e1bed…
05-06 07:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5011ac…
05-06 07:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd741d9…
05-06 07:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x37d9ba…
05-06 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb01881…
05-06 07:08:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4c0798…
05-06 07:04:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xaf5ac3…
05-05 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d0b02…
05-05 19:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe55350…
05-05 19:33:54	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x2fa806…
05-05 17:59:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7b10a2…
05-05 17:57:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x56044b…
05-05 17:41:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	356	1¢	$2	0xb76f66…
05-05 17:28:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4aaaad…
05-05 15:39:44	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc1fb3a…
05-05 15:01:58	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x748a41…
05-05 13:44:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xaf768c…
05-05 13:39:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x08a062…
05-05 12:38:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf0bf69…