Expert-Conflict — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-31 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$40

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$974	520	520	+0	open	—	05-31 03:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$900	474	474	+0	open	—	05-12 03:27
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	2	$881	495	495	+0	open	—	05-30 02:52
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	1	$487	518	0	+518	open	—	05-31 03:36
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	1	$442	450	0	+450	Real Betis Balompié	+$8	05-12 03:35
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	1	$441	485	0	+485	open	—	05-30 02:54
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)	1	$433	466	0	+466	Stade Brestois 29	+$33	05-13 03:41
lal elc val 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$323	340	0	+340	open	—	04-11 03:03
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	2	$150	150	150	+0	open	—	05-07 20:20
cs2 mornin lvg 2026 03 11	2	$115	523	0	+523	open	—	03-11 07:13
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)	2	$85	851	0	+851	open	—	04-30 10:58
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)	2	$53	883	0	+883	open	—	04-29 03:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	5	$45	865	865	+0	open	—	04-29 03:02
lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 03:36:58	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	CD Castellón	BUY	518	94¢	$487	0x9da33e…
05-31 03:31:06	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	520	94¢	$489	0x5bcfcf…
05-31 02:37:33	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	520	93¢	$485	0x64c63c…
05-30 02:54:31	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	485	91¢	$441	0xf9ddf3…
05-30 02:52:42	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	SELL	495	89¢	$441	0xa7b974…
05-30 02:13:53	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	495	89¢	$441	0x256676…
05-13 03:41:30	Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)	Stade Brestois 29	BUY	466	93¢	$433	0x18f36b…
05-12 03:35:04	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	450	98¢	$442	0x9391e8…
05-12 03:27:23	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	474	94¢	$448	0x59a5d2…
05-12 02:05:21	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	474	95¢	$452	0x97aa8e…
05-07 20:20:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0x50f852…
05-04 09:44:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x1564d8…
04-30 10:58:02	Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)	RC Strasbourg Alsace	BUY	393	10¢	$39	0x2ce29e…
04-30 10:57:28	Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)	RC Strasbourg Alsace	BUY	458	10¢	$46	0xb6159f…
04-29 03:11:46	Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Riyadh Saudi Club	BUY	446	6¢	$27	0xd4e871…
04-29 03:09:04	Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Riyadh Saudi Club	BUY	437	6¢	$26	0x7696db…
04-29 03:02:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x356393…
04-29 03:01:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	3¢	$11	0x15893b…
04-29 03:01:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	3¢	$11	0xcc058b…
04-29 02:17:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	3¢	$11	0xc11698…
04-29 02:17:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	3¢	$12	0x7c5c01…
04-11 03:03:59	lal elc val 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Elche CF	BUY	340	95¢	$323	0x88a7da…
04-11 02:58:57	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Deportivo Alavés	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb34dd2…
04-11 02:58:43	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb156f2…
03-11 07:13:05	cs2 mornin lvg 2026 03 11	Morningstar	BUY	261	22¢	$57	0xf9715c…
03-11 07:13:03	cs2 mornin lvg 2026 03 11	Morningstar	BUY	262	22¢	$58	0xdf44b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Famous-Quit 0x772b…0bb9	8	$4.57K	12	05-31 04:50
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	7	$10.3K	84	05-31 18:13
Narrow-Glutamate 0xe165…4144	6	$3.33K	9	05-30 02:48
Phony-Requirement 0xbbd9…7776	6	$3.19K	9	05-13 04:10
Fabulous-Good 0xcb7b…ff55	6	$2.11K	12	05-31 04:55
Jubilant-Secretion 0x48a2…ad60	6	$1.26K	11	05-13 03:43
Fuzzy-Popsicle 0x9136…a0fd	5	$2.80K	7	05-31 04:50
Violent-Mathematics 0x77f0…2655	5	$2.00K	10	05-13 03:41