Babyish-Underwear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$101

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$35.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$105

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

36% — —

Other

26% — —

Tech

15% — —

Sports

15% 0% $-1

Crypto

7% 38% +$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+141	$100	74¢	$105	+$5	07-01 12:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
italy nordio reform referendum passes	28	$4.1K	2,398	2,400	-2	open	—	03-23 18:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$2.7K	1,571	1,571	+0	open	—	04-24 12:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$2.6K	1,461	1,461	+0	open	—	04-23 21:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	9	$2.5K	1,699	1,257	+442	open	—	02-26 14:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	6	$2.5K	1,532	1,532	+0	open	—	02-15 08:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$1.9K	1,291	1,287	+5	open	—	04-21 22:49
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$1.6K	810	810	+0	open	—	02-16 20:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$1.5K	765	765	+0	open	—	04-08 06:07
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$1.3K	1,016	401	+615	open	—	03-24 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$1.2K	795	795	+0	open	—	03-31 20:32
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	7	$1.1K	1,826	1,725	+101	open	—	02-15 08:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.1K	608	585	+23	open	—	02-06 07:47
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.0K	579	579	+0	open	—	02-10 21:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$826	543	543	+0	open	—	04-02 13:10
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$694	192	730	-538	open	—	01-30 16:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$662	441	441	+0	open	—	03-23 14:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	13	$640	815	802	+12	open	—	04-17 15:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$625	599	599	+0	open	—	04-05 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$500	555	0	+555	Up	+$55	05-05 22:01
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	7	$386	238	238	+0	open	—	04-17 21:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$361	246	246	+0	open	—	02-02 18:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$329	190	190	+0	open	—	04-05 22:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$276	160	160	+0	open	—	03-23 14:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$262	154	153	+0	open	—	04-17 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$250	152	152	+0	open	—	05-01 20:15
btc updown 5m 1776459600	3	$225	324	106	+218	open	—	04-17 21:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$220	0	227	-227	open	—	01-09 20:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$219	137	137	+0	open	—	05-11 19:54
btc updown 15m 1770413400	2	$212	127	126	+1	open	—	02-06 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$200	271	0	+271	Up	+$71	05-05 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:49:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x3a4ba8…
05-20 21:22:56	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x7b172f…
05-17 16:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x41a4f6…
05-17 16:12:19	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x6ceb3e…
05-17 16:12:10	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	171	8¢	$14	0x2df676…
05-11 19:54:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	137	87¢	$119	0x58077c…
05-11 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x1601ac…
05-08 22:16:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8b5f1c…
05-05 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb0f9a5…
05-05 22:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	438	91¢	$400	0x4dd515…
05-05 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	125	9¢	$11	0x5986a4…
05-05 21:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xf04dd9…
05-05 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	138	7¢	$10	0x7a421f…
05-05 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	138	22¢	$30	0x8ac89f…
05-05 21:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	113	26¢	$30	0x2fc379…
05-05 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8929d7…
05-05 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x5a757a…
05-05 20:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0x4cda93…
05-05 20:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	132	69¢	$91	0xa95695…
05-05 20:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xa66718…
05-02 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf0817a…
05-01 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0xee425d…
05-01 20:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xf06eb3…
05-01 20:07:28	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb93191…
04-24 12:39:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x5f4b9e…
04-24 12:36:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,124	88¢	$984	0x5ef1a7…
04-23 21:50:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,123	91¢	$1,022	0xb2c5ad…
04-23 21:44:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	985	100¢	$983	0x4cc6dd…
04-23 12:50:08	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xea7512…
04-23 12:49:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe24a9d…
04-23 10:53:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x988944…
04-23 09:53:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	985	91¢	$897	0x29c122…
04-23 05:54:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	70¢	$122	0x42a54a…
04-23 05:52:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb61396…
04-23 05:46:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	456	73¢	$333	0x3ad738…
04-22 20:46:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc3b669…
04-22 20:39:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	72¢	$126	0xe745e3…
04-22 20:24:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xa84268…
04-22 12:09:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a60c9…
04-22 12:07:56	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf8bd19…
04-21 22:49:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb0d4be…
04-21 22:49:42	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x98559f…
04-21 22:48:14	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdfa6f8…
04-21 22:46:24	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	1,270	79¢	$1,004	0x137c7d…
04-21 22:22:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x281002…
04-21 22:21:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x32e387…
04-21 22:03:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1,134	69¢	$778	0x839727…
04-21 21:56:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa7c323…
04-21 21:09:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	79¢	$214	0xa49432…
04-17 21:53:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	79	65¢	$51	0xe671d1…
04-17 21:51:04	Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	79	87¢	$68	0x579691…
04-17 21:49:54	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x892d63…
04-17 21:34:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x9334b9…
04-17 21:31:36	btc updown 5m 1776461400	Up	SELL	105	28¢	$29	0x205c06…
04-17 21:30:38	btc updown 5m 1776461400	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x1ef289…
04-17 21:22:38	btc updown 5m 1776460800	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x27e2a5…
04-17 21:22:00	btc updown 5m 1776460800	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xbd233f…
04-17 21:07:08	btc updown 5m 1776459600	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x5268c6…
04-17 21:04:50	btc updown 5m 1776459600	Down	BUY	218	9¢	$20	0x085ccb…
04-17 21:03:28	btc updown 5m 1776459600	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb04782…
04-17 15:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	63	8¢	$5	0xd7f05f…
04-17 13:55:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	153	79¢	$121	0xed2c9f…
04-17 13:34:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0xf6d82e…
04-17 13:33:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	739	18¢	$132	0xe70525…
04-16 21:31:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x6ca4ec…
04-16 10:51:22	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xfe31ed…
04-14 21:32:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	103	14¢	$14	0x5e810d…
04-10 10:38:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	154	92¢	$141	0x995a92…
04-09 16:46:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x18911b…
04-09 16:44:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9114f7…
04-09 16:43:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x2ac8c6…
04-08 11:21:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x65bbfe…
04-08 10:56:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8ad46f…
04-08 10:38:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x97eb3a…
04-08 06:15:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	242	11¢	$27	0xa56348…
04-08 06:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	105	46¢	$48	0x79ad47…
04-08 06:07:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x2bcf47…
04-07 19:49:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x313be2…
04-07 19:47:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x318bf5…
04-07 19:44:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf9594c…
04-07 19:40:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x527c1a…
04-07 19:40:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe9464e…
04-05 22:31:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	190	94¢	$179	0x039dad…
04-05 16:05:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x007c89…
04-05 12:36:51	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe40b8d…
04-05 12:36:29	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf5ef43…
04-05 08:47:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xd871c1…
04-05 00:55:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	263	92¢	$242	0x6e163f…
04-05 00:54:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	305	8¢	$24	0x4e5a22…
04-05 00:37:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3b7b4b…
04-04 21:00:51	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xc91cd5…
04-04 20:54:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5c48a7…
04-04 20:54:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x2b014c…
04-04 20:52:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x9c93f7…
04-04 20:48:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x025083…
04-04 20:10:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x94ae77…
04-04 18:24:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	718	99¢	$709	0x8b9b44…
04-04 18:23:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	718	99¢	$709	0xeab354…
04-04 15:33:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb5173…
04-04 15:30:55	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0x51c6b2…