Disastrous-Cross — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-20 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 67% $-7

Sports

8% 0% $-5

Other

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 01:30
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	3	$5	27	27	+0	open	—	05-18 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$5	7	2	+5	open	—	05-15 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-12 16:06
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	12	0	+12	Cavaliers	$-5	05-11 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-12 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-12 16:02
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 22:45
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	05-20 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-11 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 21:19
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$3	6	1	+5	open	—	05-15 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 20:50
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 06:25
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 07:09
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-18 21:27
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boisson	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 08:36
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-18 13:57
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 04:56:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb9791…
05-19 08:36:07	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boisson	Lois Boisson	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfea297…
05-19 07:04:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xfd707e…
05-19 06:25:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98472c…
05-19 06:24:10	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0fa6d0…
05-19 04:11:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4a1f33…
05-18 21:27:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x176067…
05-18 21:19:18	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x707223…
05-18 21:11:08	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xccdb79…
05-18 14:09:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf793c…
05-18 13:57:28	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ab747…
05-18 13:45:42	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbfb85c…
05-18 07:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x950995…
05-18 07:05:32	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc4f998…
05-17 22:56:13	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb2b529…
05-17 22:45:37	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe1858f…
05-17 22:43:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdbcf8b…
05-17 20:49:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4058ef…
05-15 21:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6a2deb…
05-15 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c8f1e…
05-15 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd6ef9b…
05-15 21:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x447b13…
05-15 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5cd7ee…
05-15 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7eae68…
05-15 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x922ae1…
05-15 20:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d335a…
05-15 20:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5e78d2…
05-15 20:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc02f0…
05-15 20:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xee83f2…
05-15 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe67834…
05-12 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x05863c…
05-12 16:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b2f78…
05-12 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08d0e2…
05-12 15:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x412072…
05-12 15:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x38b035…
05-12 15:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x56c2f8…
05-12 15:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaf11e9…
05-12 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6f4b72…
05-12 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa463d7…
05-12 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xca6883…
05-12 15:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e7e9e…
05-11 21:31:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb32afc…
05-11 21:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5c50f5…
05-11 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2191ad…
05-11 21:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb4ed5a…
05-11 01:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x261a8b…
05-11 01:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9e92d5…
05-11 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x3068df…
05-11 01:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x732426…
05-11 01:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x74eb2d…
05-11 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xca20d4…
05-11 01:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd16535…
05-11 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5f8417…
05-11 01:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xaa376d…
05-11 00:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec305f…
05-11 00:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x410536…
05-11 00:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea5f5b…
05-11 00:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a9ff0…