Upright-Possibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-29 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	808	808	+0	open	—	03-29 17:25
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$1.5K	811	811	+0	open	—	03-29 15:30
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	3	$1.5K	817	817	+0	open	—	03-29 14:24
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	5	$1.5K	769	769	+0	open	—	03-29 18:55
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$1.4K	720	720	+0	Yes	$-1	03-29 19:30
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	7	$312	2,139	2,139	+0	open	—	03-29 18:22
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	4	$185	1,092	1,092	+0	No	$-1	03-29 16:51
will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$136	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	03-29 23:25
Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?	4	$118	939	939	+0	open	—	03-29 16:41
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	3	$59	921	620	+301	open	—	03-30 03:44
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$48	662	662	+0	open	—	03-29 19:06
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$27	499	499	+0	open	—	03-29 23:58
will bitcoin reach 69k on march 29	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-29 14:08
will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 29	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	03-29 13:43
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 09:27
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 06:57
Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	2	$14	305	305	+0	open	—	03-29 23:46
sea sas com 2026 04 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-17 14:59
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-17 05:54
eth updown 15m 1769444100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-26 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 09:27:57	LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7c6cd6…
05-24 06:57:35	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x73a488…
05-17 05:54:09	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xa2722f…
04-17 14:59:54	sea sas com 2026 04 17 spread home 1pt5	Como 1907	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x845411…
03-30 03:44:36	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	SELL	345	2¢	$7	0x26b096…
03-29 23:58:36	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xe8e6e6…
03-29 23:58:36	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	492	3¢	$13	0x8f633a…
03-29 23:55:00	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	499	3¢	$14	0x4b6b0c…
03-29 23:46:58	Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	305	2¢	$7	0x84ec8f…
03-29 23:43:56	Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	305	2¢	$7	0xe764b2…
03-29 23:25:24	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	856	6¢	$50	0x9d16a3…
03-29 23:25:24	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	316	6¢	$18	0x48ee61…
03-29 23:22:12	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	1,015	6¢	$59	0xc7b389…
03-29 23:22:12	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$9	0xa9f2d3…
03-29 19:30:38	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	720	96¢	$691	0x64d817…
03-29 19:25:40	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	720	96¢	$692	0x0f759d…
03-29 19:19:30	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	SELL	275	3¢	$9	0xbfc9f8…
03-29 19:12:30	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	921	5¢	$42	0x19f6c1…
03-29 19:06:34	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	662	4¢	$24	0xd9bc8a…
03-29 19:01:30	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	662	4¢	$24	0xc30e16…
03-29 18:55:40	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x415360…
03-29 18:54:44	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xec79ce…
03-29 18:54:44	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	677	94¢	$637	0x5538e3…
03-29 18:50:46	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	321	95¢	$305	0xff71ef…
03-29 18:50:46	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	448	95¢	$425	0x4a9a7a…
03-29 18:22:16	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	169	7¢	$12	0x5dfdae…
03-29 18:21:16	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	175	7¢	$13	0x2cb94c…
03-29 18:18:24	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	344	7¢	$25	0x86ea5a…
03-29 17:25:34	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	808	97¢	$787	0xddc026…
03-29 17:21:28	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x26df7c…
03-29 17:21:26	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0xe70449…
03-29 17:21:26	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	642	97¢	$625	0x43e8df…
03-29 17:14:24	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	886	7¢	$64	0xaf55b2…
03-29 17:14:24	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	909	7¢	$65	0xae853d…
03-29 17:10:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	1,758	7¢	$130	0xf47a6e…
03-29 17:10:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0xdcab4c…
03-29 16:51:32	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	8¢	$27	0xcec14c…
03-29 16:51:32	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x138777…
03-29 16:51:32	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	745	8¢	$63	0x06a8c7…
03-29 16:48:46	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,092	8¢	$93	0x4ab8a9…
03-29 16:41:54	Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	792	6¢	$49	0xce1b10…
03-29 16:41:54	Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	147	6¢	$9	0xa1777b…
03-29 16:38:04	Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	792	6¢	$51	0x1bbb0f…
03-29 16:38:02	Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0x3f2747…
03-29 15:30:28	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	811	95¢	$772	0xfa738b…
03-29 15:27:36	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	730	95¢	$694	0xee1ecf…
03-29 15:27:36	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xda12dc…
03-29 14:24:40	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	817	94¢	$766	0x16fba6…
03-29 14:20:46	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0xedfec8…
03-29 14:20:46	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	756	94¢	$709	0x4f66b8…
03-29 14:08:32	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 29	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x669733…
03-29 13:43:46	will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 29	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xcd3bca…
01-26 16:27:09	eth updown 15m 1769444100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x34ca91…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	14	$3.51K	367	04-25 05:22
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	12	$77.0K	1,496	04-26 14:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	12	$22.9K	645	04-22 20:48
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	12	$11.0K	641	04-07 20:43
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	12	$8.36K	1,089	04-28 09:57
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	12	$7.97K	232	04-22 09:26
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	12	$2.01K	105	04-26 14:39
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	12	$1.32K	379	04-28 10:31