Calculating-Intensity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.83K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

205

Trades

1,764

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-06 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-1,827

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$1000	1,310	0	+1,310	Down	$-1,000	05-06 00:37
btc updown 5m 1776402600	3	$934	648	623	+25	open	—	04-17 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	27	$897	1,150	0	+1,150	Up	+$253	05-05 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	16	$770	1,013	0	+1,013	Down	+$243	05-05 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$696	1,423	0	+1,423	Down	$-696	05-06 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	23	$629	817	0	+817	open	—	05-04 15:47
btc updown 5m 1776401400	3	$600	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	04-17 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	31	$546	700	0	+700	open	—	04-29 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$400	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	04-29 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$400	615	0	+615	open	—	04-25 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$223	420	0	+420	open	—	04-25 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$203	257	0	+257	Up	+$54	05-04 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$200	253	0	+253	Up	$-200	05-05 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$192	243	0	+243	Down	$-192	05-05 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$184	236	0	+236	Down	+$52	05-05 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$180	234	0	+234	Up	+$54	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$179	236	0	+236	Down	$-179	05-05 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$177	224	0	+224	Down	+$47	05-05 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$166	219	0	+219	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	7	$163	209	0	+209	Down	+$46	05-05 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	14	$155	201	0	+201	Up	+$46	05-05 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$151	196	0	+196	open	—	05-04 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$149	196	0	+196	open	—	05-04 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	5	$149	196	0	+196	Up	$-149	05-05 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$148	202	0	+202	open	—	05-03 23:56
btc updown 5m 1776610200	5	$110	685	0	+685	open	—	04-19 14:53
btc updown 5m 1776456600	1	$100	580	0	+580	open	—	04-17 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$100	251	0	+251	open	—	04-25 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-25 00:22
btc updown 5m 1776455700	1	$100	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	04-17 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	786	50¢	$396	0xadbe26…
05-06 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	118	52¢	$62	0x163388…
05-06 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	519	46¢	$238	0x0f5db0…
05-06 00:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	987	76¢	$747	0xf94548…
05-06 00:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	323	78¢	$253	0x853237…
05-05 23:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	236	76¢	$179	0x29205c…
05-05 23:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$41	0x873d07…
05-05 23:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x30c472…
05-05 23:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x51d28a…
05-05 23:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	236	78¢	$184	0x5a2b71…
05-05 23:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	76¢	$125	0x740c36…
05-05 23:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x0365ef…
05-05 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf8cbfe…
05-05 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x29dc2e…
05-05 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x0d08ea…
05-05 23:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x61c41f…
05-05 23:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb01002…
05-05 23:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x052f7a…
05-05 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x55af9d…
05-05 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe5376e…
05-05 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xd5993b…
05-05 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb374e0…
05-05 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x399106…
05-05 22:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xec68f7…
05-05 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xbb1089…
05-05 22:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3504bf…
05-05 21:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x50ed2e…
05-05 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x151aa4…
05-05 21:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9874da…
05-05 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x9d11c8…
05-05 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	78¢	$26	0xd9101f…
05-05 21:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0x17dd36…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	77¢	$37	0x3ec8d0…
05-05 21:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe7e27a…
05-05 21:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x0525a2…
05-05 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2385c9…
05-05 20:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6d73ed…
05-05 20:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x014be7…
05-05 20:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xe91d76…
05-05 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	79¢	$44	0x6b2898…
05-05 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0xb42e76…
05-05 20:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xb2b3bd…
05-05 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xb1f372…
05-05 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x236d8b…
05-05 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x069fc7…
05-05 19:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd1ca64…
05-05 19:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x000cf5…
05-05 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x702cc1…
05-05 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xf104e1…
05-05 19:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x054335…
05-05 18:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0xf390b3…
05-05 18:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcbd17b…
05-05 18:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfb7eab…
05-05 18:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x88ef97…
05-05 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5b4eeb…
05-05 18:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x80a1fa…
05-05 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7a59c7…
05-05 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x3bb047…
05-05 17:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x2ac486…
05-05 17:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xc8bd47…
05-05 17:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xdfe8f6…
05-05 17:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5ee3b9…
05-05 17:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0xfd7fba…
05-05 17:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xc0fc6a…
05-05 17:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb39a88…
05-05 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x88da1f…
05-05 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x53d877…
05-05 17:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7cc9fb…
05-05 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	155	77¢	$120	0x32c62a…
05-05 17:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	77¢	$43	0xbc5510…
05-05 17:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0x809ada…
05-05 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x5b67b1…
05-05 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb25277…
05-05 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x789835…
05-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xe1bee4…
05-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xcdc38c…
05-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xbdc4a2…
05-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xbd0a35…
05-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0f2af0…
05-05 17:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x83f416…
05-05 16:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x88b6e6…
05-05 16:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xbe9d40…
05-05 16:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xf8178f…
05-05 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfcc9f0…
05-05 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb2c244…
05-05 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x22e0c5…
05-05 16:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xed79a1…
05-05 16:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xcacf17…
05-05 16:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xf5fe6b…
05-05 16:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9a41a7…
05-05 15:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x5e02f7…
05-05 15:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	78¢	$44	0x656a87…
05-05 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x652dd5…
05-05 15:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x078359…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa099a3…
05-05 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0x5aae27…
05-05 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5ba7f9…
05-05 15:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xd30317…
05-05 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x119aae…
05-05 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x00e996…