Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.41K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.94K

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$181.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.42K

Open exposure

$41.1K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-15 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$2,842

Other

44% 92% +$4,569

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+20,436	$16,911	92¢	$18.7K	+$1,788	09-22 19:40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+5,800	$5,046	96¢	$5.6K	+$539	09-08 19:50
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+6,200	$5,094	80¢	$5.0K	-$103	09-08 19:52
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,500	$3,080	86¢	$3.0K	-$88	10-13 23:53
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,000	$3,000	74¢	$2.9K	-$60	09-20 23:26
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$2,886	97¢	$2.9K	+$17	10-13 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	+2,300	$2,070	86¢	$2.0K	-$104	10-13 22:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,951	$1,106	54¢	$1.1K	-$47	10-15 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	3	$18.6K	18,260	753	+17,508	No	+$458	03-17 01:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$16.9K	20,436	0	+20,436	open	—	09-22 19:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$12.9K	14,350	0	+14,350	No	+$1,483	03-11 17:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$12.7K	14,184	0	+14,184	No	+$1,504	03-23 17:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$11.9K	11,888	0	+11,888	Yes	+$36	04-07 00:17
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$10.0K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$462	01-10 17:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$6.7K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$287	01-18 12:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$6.4K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$632	08-10 15:13
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$6.0K	6,130	0	+6,130	No	+$116	09-03 04:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$6.0K	6,200	0	+6,200	No	+$197	08-26 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1	$6.0K	6,100	0	+6,100	No	+$98	09-08 19:50
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$5.2K	5,597	0	+5,597	No	+$348	03-02 23:42
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	2	$5.1K	6,200	0	+6,200	open	—	09-08 19:52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,800	0	+5,800	open	—	09-08 19:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,060	0	+5,060	No	+$55	06-18 17:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$4.9K	4,991	0	+4,991	No	+$61	08-10 15:14
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$201	06-22 02:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$4.0K	5,460	0	+5,460	Yes	+$1,447	07-27 19:33
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$3.8K	3,920	0	+3,920	No	+$118	07-15 17:08
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$3.4K	4,509	0	+4,509	No	+$1,067	05-27 23:59
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	1	$3.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	10-13 23:53
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	1	$3.1K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	10-14 03:19
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$3.0K	3,200	0	+3,200	Yes	+$160	05-22 17:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	No	+$92	05-13 16:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$3.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	09-20 23:26
Netanyahu out by April 30?	11	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$108	03-22 04:16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-13 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	10-13 22:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.5K	3,210	0	+3,210	No	-$1,541	09-09 19:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$1.1K	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	10-15 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 17:47:25	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,951	57¢	$1,106	0xf2450c…
10-14 03:19:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3,200	96¢	$3,072	0x337334…
10-13 23:53:42	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	88¢	$3,080	0x434837…
10-13 22:20:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,300	90¢	$2,070	0xc3557a…
10-13 19:01:24	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,886	0xb3224a…
09-22 19:40:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,116	93¢	$1,968	0x5b9b71…
09-20 23:26:05	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	75¢	$3,000	0xe9866d…
09-09 19:55:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,210	48¢	$1,541	0x43aad0…
09-08 19:52:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,500	87¢	$3,045	0x0630fe…
09-08 19:52:07	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,400	84¢	$2,016	0x4738f3…
09-08 19:50:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	6,100	98¢	$6,002	0xad27be…
09-08 19:50:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5,800	87¢	$5,046	0xc410dc…
09-03 04:39:37	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6,130	98¢	$6,014	0x6f0e5b…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,200	97¢	$6,003	0xcbaf99…
08-22 06:55:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,800	81¢	$3,078	0xc1f653…
08-10 15:14:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	4,991	99¢	$4,931	0xf37d92…
08-10 15:13:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	7,000	91¢	$6,368	0x63df6f…
07-27 19:33:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,460	74¢	$4,013	0x06b708…
07-25 05:33:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	279	92¢	$256	0xe093d2…
07-15 17:08:35	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	3,920	97¢	$3,802	0x9d607f…
06-22 02:45:56	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4,749	96¢	$4,559	0x1eea66…
06-22 00:20:07	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9f7703…
06-22 00:19:43	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0x5f93a2…
06-18 17:27:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,060	99¢	$5,005	0x0ca4be…
05-27 23:59:57	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	4,000	76¢	$3,040	0xae0a58…
05-22 17:20:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	3,200	95¢	$3,040	0x46bf1e…
05-21 17:43:00	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	509	79¢	$402	0xf4e65a…
05-13 16:46:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,100	97¢	$3,008	0x92834b…
05-12 18:34:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14,820	80¢	$11,898	0x2d3194…
04-07 00:17:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11,888	100¢	$11,853	0x0fb0da…
03-23 17:00:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,184	92¢	$2,000	0x6dab3e…
03-22 04:16:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	2,165	96¢	$2,087	0xf44297…
03-22 04:11:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0xc44a05…
03-22 03:57:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0xf29008…
03-22 03:54:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$161	0x5310d3…
03-22 03:47:01	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x7930bf…
03-22 03:46:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b1309…
03-22 03:20:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6c5b07…
03-22 03:20:25	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xecb052…
03-22 03:17:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x1db116…
03-22 03:11:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	197	96¢	$190	0xd0e31b…
03-22 03:10:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xd343d1…
03-22 03:10:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0xf2b83d…
03-22 03:10:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10,000	89¢	$8,900	0x797c4c…
03-17 01:34:15	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	753	100¢	$750	0x5d636f…
03-11 17:10:29	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	7,468	99¢	$7,376	0x3f82a5…
03-11 17:09:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8,000	95¢	$7,616	0xbabd30…
03-02 23:42:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd50017…
03-02 23:42:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	5,588	94¢	$5,240	0x88ceba…
03-02 23:41:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6,350	83¢	$5,252	0xd61afb…
01-24 11:54:18	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	10,793	97¢	$10,424	0xbc9571…
01-18 12:22:48	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,000	96¢	$6,713	0x89a16b…
01-10 17:53:48	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	10,500	96¢	$10,038	0x7293a1…