Verifiable-Symptom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$247

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-14 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 38% $-6

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	40	$68	152	80	+72	open	—	05-03 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$21	15	15	+1	open	—	04-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	9	$8	35	0	+35	Down	$-8	05-06 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$5	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$4	5	3	+2	Up	+$0	05-11 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 18:01
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House press briefing?	2	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	04-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$4	5	2	+3	Up	$-2	05-11 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-11 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-11 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-11 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-12 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-06 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3d64ec…
05-14 17:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e682b…
05-14 17:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c5d51…
05-14 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e51d5…
05-13 01:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c5a43…
05-12 14:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb8099f…
05-12 14:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x088e6b…
05-12 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65425a…
05-12 14:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xffb7a7…
05-12 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdcd6c4…
05-12 13:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c9941…
05-12 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfab090…
05-12 02:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x502739…
05-12 02:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd71bd9…
05-11 11:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb84461…
05-11 11:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17d478…
05-11 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x88d860…
05-11 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x67aec2…
05-11 08:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x23fc52…
05-11 08:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x242032…
05-11 08:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x54e515…
05-11 08:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x663cd0…
05-11 08:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xead698…
05-11 07:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd0cd35…
05-11 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb4ca35…
05-11 07:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x0b860a…
05-11 07:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe33997…
05-11 06:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd75dd4…
05-11 06:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x2ecfcf…
05-11 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xaa7eea…
05-11 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8f2c01…
05-11 06:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd63253…
05-11 05:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4878f9…
05-11 05:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x31fee6…
05-11 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8a0df4…
05-11 04:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x240558…
05-11 03:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1317cc…
05-06 12:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa10602…
05-06 12:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc151b4…
05-06 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x46d393…
05-06 08:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x7589a4…
05-06 08:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xfde781…
05-06 08:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xda8725…
05-06 08:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x88188b…
05-06 08:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x492e92…
05-06 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8cdce6…
05-06 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f3ea6…
05-06 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3e6cd4…
05-06 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x3758d7…
05-05 06:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x96ba8b…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xae74ff…
05-03 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc79a37…
05-03 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x8ab8fa…
05-03 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x324fb1…
05-03 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5de823…
05-03 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5a21f…
05-03 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5f8737…
05-03 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f8737…
05-03 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfd42d8…
05-03 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd57677…
05-03 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x36813f…
05-03 11:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd11fd0…
05-03 11:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x54de13…
05-03 11:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd0e51d…
05-03 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe89fae…
05-03 11:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x725999…
05-03 11:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4e7524…
05-03 11:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6bb9cb…
05-03 11:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8686c8…
05-03 11:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8686c8…
05-03 11:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xee5ce8…
05-03 11:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xa5e04c…
05-03 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xec365a…
05-03 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xaa6bf4…
05-03 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x829fd6…
05-03 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x7e3880…
05-03 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7975a1…
05-03 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe6c6c2…
05-03 11:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe95b83…
05-03 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xdce3df…
05-03 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xdce3df…
05-03 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd81f1d…
05-03 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5e029b…
05-03 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5a5d64…
05-03 11:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe09724…
05-03 11:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd9ca92…
05-03 11:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd9ca92…
05-03 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5a8b19…
05-03 11:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x578944…
05-03 11:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe04e92…
05-03 11:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x79856f…
05-03 11:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x2f8686…
05-03 11:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0721f5…
05-03 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xf7892e…
05-03 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x2ca373…
05-03 08:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x16690a…
04-25 20:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x87c284…
04-25 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9a4a5…
04-25 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x83445f…
04-25 19:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x813eac…