Apt-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-14 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 55% +$16

Sports

45% 80% +$176

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$166	200	0	+200	Thunder	+$34	05-12 02:09
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$115	160	0	+160	Knicks	+$45	05-06 03:00
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$100	200	0	+200	Knicks	+$100	05-08 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$53	100	0	+100	Up	+$47	05-11 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$52	100	0	+100	Up	+$48	05-12 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-12 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	Down	$-49	05-13 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$52	05-12 03:57
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$46	200	0	+200	Spurs	$-46	05-12 09:22
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	01-05 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$40	05-08 02:05
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$40	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 08:18
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	01-06 02:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	01-06 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$35	70	0	+70	Down	+$35	05-07 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$30	60	0	+60	Up	$-30	05-08 02:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$27	70	0	+70	Cavaliers	+$43	05-13 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$26	50	0	+50	Up	+$24	05-07 05:59
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$6	0	50	-50	open	—	01-05 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 08:18:34	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc99fde…
05-13 02:46:50	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0xb488f7…
05-13 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xbc5782…
05-12 09:22:23	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x561024…
05-12 05:17:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x887600…
05-12 03:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x4c93b7…
05-12 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd2451a…
05-12 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0x4c07b1…
05-12 02:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe715e1…
05-12 02:09:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x25a795…
05-12 01:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x501c1d…
05-11 03:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xea4a53…
05-11 03:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xec5bbe…
05-11 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x938466…
05-11 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x24495f…
05-11 03:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x84cd3c…
05-11 03:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x3c68b4…
05-08 02:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x697ad0…
05-08 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xb99571…
05-08 02:01:26	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1e05af…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xe199ba…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xb5df6a…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x60973c…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x5d8e79…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x4c59e6…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x286c01…
05-07 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x13f4df…
05-07 05:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x739bb5…
05-07 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xa2d284…
05-07 03:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbea713…
05-06 03:00:20	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	160	72¢	$115	0xb89fb9…
01-06 22:13:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x26c9dc…
01-06 02:14:55	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x0b29be…
01-05 09:24:31	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0x2c5182…
01-05 08:42:21	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xb2daf3…
01-05 07:31:21	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x30d41e…
01-04 03:43:19	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xefcac6…
01-01 07:22:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x8c2154…
01-01 07:21:23	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xeeaa43…