Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$886

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$57.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$314

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-12 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% $-3,874

Politics

24% 100% +$4,760

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	8	$8.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-07 00:57
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	7	$6.6K	10,048	0	+10,048	open	—	04-20 20:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$6.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-12 07:20
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	28	$6.4K	7,008	3,494	+3,514	open	—	04-02 09:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	29	$5.4K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	04-13 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-24 19:47
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	8	$3.9K	8,049	0	+8,049	Yes	$-3,874	03-30 04:08
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	14	$3.1K	7,858	0	+7,858	Yes	+$4,760	03-27 03:55
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-25 02:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-25 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-24 19:53
Nothing Ever Happens: March	5	$1.4K	1,628	814	+814	open	—	03-24 22:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$1.1K	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	03-24 21:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 02:16
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	22	$989	1,684	0	+1,684	open	—	03-31 18:24
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$427	500	0	+500	open	—	03-24 02:22
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$420	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-24 20:17
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	20	$335	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-25 15:38
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-04 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:20:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	955	65¢	$621	0x1d21e4…
05-12 06:47:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	835	65¢	$543	0x00ce71…
05-12 06:37:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	223	65¢	$145	0xda8053…
05-11 21:34:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x598ddd…
05-11 21:34:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,688	65¢	$3,697	0x2cbb3e…
05-11 21:34:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xe352c6…
05-11 21:34:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x8e5867…
05-11 21:15:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,191	65¢	$1,424	0x17ef12…
04-20 20:30:34	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	3,757	63¢	$2,367	0x8df3f6…
04-13 23:26:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	729	77¢	$561	0x42dc45…
04-13 23:21:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x9f6feb…
04-13 23:12:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xa03063…
04-13 23:09:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x2775dd…
04-13 22:43:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x845a27…
04-13 22:43:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x45bc2f…
04-13 22:40:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x070e7d…
04-13 22:39:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	77¢	$51	0x37b263…
04-13 22:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd0866f…
04-13 22:27:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x683ab4…
04-13 22:20:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xf5f1cc…
04-13 22:17:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x256fe9…
04-13 22:17:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8375be…
04-13 22:11:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x79104a…
04-13 22:08:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	217	77¢	$167	0x537ea4…
04-13 22:02:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xd14320…
04-13 22:02:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x5a8d55…
04-13 22:02:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x00362a…
04-13 22:00:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0xa4fcb8…
04-13 21:47:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x76441e…
04-13 21:47:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4450a0…
04-13 21:35:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	77¢	$1,155	0x0b88c2…
04-13 21:32:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x980c28…
04-13 21:29:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xab6496…
04-13 21:21:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x6a102f…
04-13 21:19:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x7644b9…
04-13 21:14:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,174	77¢	$1,674	0xf261ee…
04-13 21:11:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x959b8a…
04-13 21:09:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x00ec96…
04-08 02:16:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	837	35¢	$291	0x974dca…
04-08 02:13:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	92	35¢	$32	0xcc8ee2…
04-08 02:12:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x237556…
04-08 02:10:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9bac3e…
04-08 02:10:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	58	35¢	$20	0x700e3e…
04-07 00:57:05	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x99df34…
04-04 23:39:55	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5b11fb…
04-02 09:37:45	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	2,294	59¢	$1,351	0x514c87…
04-02 09:37:35	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x32f13b…
04-02 09:36:11	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xf5e4a3…
04-02 09:35:57	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x7ed7f8…
04-02 09:33:31	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x1d2d33…
04-02 09:33:25	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0xe074e2…
04-02 09:33:19	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0xa456d7…
04-02 09:32:31	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x9640d2…
04-02 09:32:29	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x6c94f0…
04-02 09:32:29	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x17ea28…
04-02 09:32:27	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	202	59¢	$119	0xc5a1ce…
04-02 09:32:27	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x86ae90…
04-02 09:32:27	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	403	59¢	$237	0x831baf…
04-02 09:32:21	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x91b24c…
04-02 09:32:15	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xecdd1c…
04-02 09:32:11	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x907aef…
04-02 09:32:11	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	126	59¢	$74	0x61bd5c…
04-02 09:32:07	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x2c0d4d…
03-31 18:24:09	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfb4c46…
03-30 04:08:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	783	48¢	$376	0x1fe53a…
03-30 04:02:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe2311b…
03-29 23:59:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,154	48¢	$554	0xa004a9…
03-29 22:48:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x9c150a…
03-29 22:40:48	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	459	48¢	$220	0xb0cb4c…
03-29 17:49:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	4,945	48¢	$2,374	0x15862e…
03-29 12:23:20	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	41	52¢	$22	0xd0fb1c…
03-28 11:18:55	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x590eb5…
03-28 02:15:15	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	1,149	59¢	$678	0x7efac0…
03-27 16:44:13	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7c551a…
03-27 16:23:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6d396a…
03-27 06:13:31	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x078bed…
03-27 05:37:19	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	233	63¢	$147	0xd3522f…
03-27 03:55:57	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3,500	42¢	$1,470	0x9ce421…
03-27 03:55:41	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	504	41¢	$207	0xcab7ae…
03-27 03:55:11	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	1,557	40¢	$618	0xe1216b…
03-27 03:34:59	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	549	50¢	$274	0xc85eef…
03-27 02:06:23	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe95c2f…
03-26 23:46:59	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	2,475	64¢	$1,584	0xd87ba6…
03-26 12:00:07	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x18db09…
03-26 11:22:23	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc4c8b8…
03-26 04:43:21	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x8d0b5a…
03-26 04:41:29	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa6db34…
03-26 04:41:21	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x729d77…
03-26 04:39:15	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0e413c…
03-26 04:13:37	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xfa1b7f…
03-26 04:13:37	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbaad8f…
03-25 17:19:33	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	753	64¢	$485	0xf00004…
03-25 17:05:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	153	72¢	$110	0x00aa7e…
03-25 17:04:13	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	3,048	70¢	$2,134	0xf4f124…
03-25 17:03:35	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	1,247	64¢	$804	0x2f548d…
03-25 17:02:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xf528c6…
03-25 17:00:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	612	64¢	$392	0xe43916…
03-25 17:00:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x23f608…
03-25 16:57:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x19301d…
03-25 16:55:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe3e5ba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	19	$344.4K	5,697	05-15 17:00
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	19	$186.9K	11,996	05-22 12:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	19	$117.3K	8,768	05-03 12:30
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	19	$27.5K	2,237	04-27 15:52
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$5.58M	9,922	05-15 00:58
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	18	$15.9K	3,270	05-07 01:07
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	17	$48.2K	919	05-21 14:36
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	17	$33.3K	329	05-15 06:28