Recent-March — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$450

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-17 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

55% 0% $-12

Politics

27% — —

Other

17% 0% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$67	112	+112	open	—	01-31 09:38
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	1	$40	65	+65	open	—	02-09 10:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$34	46	+46	open	—	02-20 08:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$22	28	+28	open	—	07-17 12:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-11 07:18
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	1	$19	45	+45	open	—	02-16 06:56
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$19	31	+31	open	—	04-10 10:31
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	1	$18	19	+19	open	—	03-23 04:12
nba min dal 2026 03 30	1	$18	25	+25	open	—	03-30 08:15
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$15	27	+27	open	—	03-23 04:09
nba cle det 2026 02 27	1	$15	48	+48	open	—	02-27 08:36
lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	1	$13	32	+32	open	—	02-16 11:41
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$12	30	+30	Pistons	$-12	05-07 15:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	04-21 09:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$11	65	+65	No	$-11	05-07 15:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	05-20 05:26
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	06-02 04:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$10	67	+67	open	—	06-17 08:43
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-10 10:32
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$10	71	+71	open	—	05-13 02:30
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	06-02 04:19
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$9	22	+22	open	—	05-16 02:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$9	14	+14	open	—	04-21 09:26
lol wb blg 2026 02 27	1	$8	35	+35	open	—	02-27 08:33
lol dnf kt 2026 04 18	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	04-18 09:21
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	1	$7	15	+15	open	—	06-11 07:18
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$7	19	+19	open	—	05-20 05:25
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	04-18 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 12:38:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x7cd53f…
06-17 08:43:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbeee3d…
06-11 07:18:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x45bf24…
06-11 07:18:06	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xa682b8…
06-02 04:21:16	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3b806c…
06-02 04:19:26	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x33fcf4…
05-20 05:26:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2c8f0a…
05-20 05:25:42	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xc36991…
05-16 02:08:46	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x753fe0…
05-13 02:30:41	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xeb9767…
05-07 15:37:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0xc2f504…
05-07 15:36:33	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x63a648…
04-21 09:26:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xd80370…
04-21 09:25:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa8359c…
04-18 09:22:40	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3460d6…
04-18 09:21:32	lol dnf kt 2026 04 18	KT Rolster	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x980550…
04-10 10:32:03	nba cle atl 2026 04 10	Hawks	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7e036b…
04-10 10:31:01	nba det cha 2026 04 10	Hornets	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x4e219c…
03-30 08:15:44	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x77d092…
03-23 04:12:01	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x05f5ac…
03-23 04:09:25	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Lakers	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x156087…
02-27 08:36:43	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Cavaliers	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xd79154…
02-27 08:33:07	lol wb blg 2026 02 27	Weibo Gaming	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xda3a3e…
02-20 08:57:16	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0x32dc73…
02-16 11:41:17	lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	Team Vitality	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xaf8bd5…
02-16 06:56:31	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xaf63df…
02-09 10:33:53	nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	Bulls	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0xb18faf…
01-31 09:38:26	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	112	60¢	$67	0xa90e0c…