Flickering-Gathering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-21 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% 0% —

Other

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$788	394	394	+0	open	—	02-24 11:43
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$672	337	337	+0	No	$-0	04-05 13:44
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$640	321	321	+0	open	—	04-02 17:24
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$626	314	314	+0	open	—	03-20 11:59
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$550	276	276	+0	open	—	03-27 13:40
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$540	271	271	+0	open	—	03-26 06:05
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$436	218	218	+0	open	—	02-21 18:04
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	02-27 20:11
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	02-15 01:06
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	02-14 14:54
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	02-28 17:57
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$359	180	180	+0	open	—	03-24 02:51
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	04-07 06:09
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	03-17 03:16
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	02-13 06:40
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$334	168	168	+0	No	+$0	04-11 18:56
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-30 21:31
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$320	160	160	+0	open	—	03-28 22:00
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	02-24 22:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	04-14 17:38
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	03-21 01:48
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$312	156	156	+0	open	—	04-08 22:48
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$304	152	152	+0	open	—	02-27 13:19
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$298	149	149	+0	open	—	03-04 15:04
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	03-26 12:22
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$288	144	144	+0	open	—	03-28 09:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$286	143	143	+0	open	—	05-21 11:35
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	03-14 16:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	04-07 08:14
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	03-24 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 11:35:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xf4192f…
05-21 08:25:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xb6b6f8…
05-17 17:53:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x759bb5…
05-17 05:27:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x249b98…
04-30 07:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0962d9…
04-28 20:44:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x21ec12…
04-16 18:11:20	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x1a1c70…
04-16 10:27:50	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5b216c…
04-14 17:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x0f50d3…
04-14 10:18:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x4cd946…
04-11 18:56:15	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xbd7f81…
04-11 04:33:21	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0xcd4541…
04-08 22:48:45	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0xfb5b60…
04-08 16:03:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x763777…
04-07 08:14:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xcf305f…
04-07 06:09:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x4917d9…
04-07 06:09:39	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$174	0x52064e…
04-06 23:54:37	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0xfe5863…
04-05 21:19:17	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xcb240f…
04-05 17:40:19	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xaf6038…
04-05 13:44:43	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x9d8bb0…
04-05 10:05:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x58e509…
04-02 17:24:17	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xed3c07…
04-02 13:59:43	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x85449d…
03-30 21:31:25	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xb72e97…
03-30 13:31:59	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xda1c7f…
03-28 22:00:16	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x8ede4d…
03-28 17:45:57	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xa67a7e…
03-28 09:49:41	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x76293e…
03-28 01:18:57	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x6e1e70…
03-27 18:58:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0x3e4f77…
03-27 13:40:39	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x55f045…
03-27 13:40:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x0dcde1…
03-27 07:21:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x0385e1…
03-27 01:00:47	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xe1e7e1…
03-26 18:42:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x823caf…
03-26 12:22:09	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x2f84c8…
03-26 06:05:57	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xedfec6…
03-26 06:05:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xfd02ef…
03-25 23:42:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x5774aa…
03-25 04:31:33	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0xd7606a…
03-24 22:11:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x71237e…
03-24 09:13:15	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xae02d2…
03-24 02:51:59	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xd50699…
03-24 02:51:43	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0xbb90a6…
03-23 22:57:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x1b90f6…
03-23 20:32:41	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x9cc5ee…
03-23 14:15:37	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xa55b79…
03-22 19:18:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x450b1c…
03-22 13:05:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x81a2b4…
03-21 01:48:57	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xb59773…
03-20 18:53:55	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xd4ea07…
03-20 11:59:55	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x23ad9b…
03-19 22:28:13	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x3f9264…
03-19 02:16:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x5c9031…
03-18 19:27:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x5ef54d…
03-17 09:56:33	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xf67e8d…
03-17 03:16:57	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x0746fc…
03-17 03:16:43	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xdd210d…
03-16 20:37:51	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x6c947c…
03-14 16:44:11	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xd3a237…
03-14 15:35:41	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x779c5e…
03-12 20:23:27	nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	Hawks	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x15a32e…
03-12 14:30:07	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x6b50a7…
03-11 14:34:47	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x30d521…
03-10 16:46:29	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Bucks	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4ecf32…
03-10 16:45:59	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Celtics	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0xf3f58f…
03-04 15:04:33	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0xf0c59a…
03-04 07:59:19	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xc5464a…
03-03 22:53:51	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x12dbba…
03-03 22:53:21	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0xf5e095…
03-03 14:47:11	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0xc07d15…
03-03 14:46:39	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x80a9dc…
02-28 17:57:03	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x8a76ef…
02-28 03:19:05	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xa03654…
02-27 20:11:45	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xee9cc4…
02-27 13:19:47	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x56f07e…
02-27 13:19:31	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x8f34f3…
02-27 06:30:50	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xc5c144…
02-26 16:31:54	nba hou orl 2026 02 26	Magic	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x33a8f2…
02-26 16:31:24	nba nop uta 2026 02 26	Jazz	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x170f09…
02-24 22:14:00	Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x319380…
02-24 11:43:30	Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x0009d6…
02-24 11:43:14	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xc0ee44…
02-23 17:45:10	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xa659c0…
02-22 20:01:58	bitcoin above 74k on february 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd2d98b…
02-22 20:01:38	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca016f…
02-21 18:04:54	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x951a7f…
02-17 20:01:55	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0xdf5c44…
02-15 01:06:15	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x79db4e…
02-14 14:54:33	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xebcc1e…
02-14 14:54:17	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x0fc82c…
02-13 22:07:03	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x8167a0…
02-13 06:40:53	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0xff0632…
02-12 22:48:41	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xf9c3bb…
02-12 22:48:21	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x49f786…
02-12 07:59:17	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xcd53de…