Which-Pack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-30 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 75% +$13

Tech

24% — —

Politics

18% — —

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX		-1	$-1	88¢	$-1	$-0	05-30 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	2	$3	0	8	-8	open	—	05-30 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	14	0	+14	Down	+$12	05-09 16:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-30 09:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-30 09:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 09:29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 12:13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-22 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 17:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 07:40
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-30 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-13 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:29:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x205a80…
05-30 09:29:15	Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x406e05…
05-30 09:29:06	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6c612a…
05-30 09:29:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe7749c…
05-30 09:28:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6532d8…
05-30 09:28:31	Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x08c99f…
05-25 07:40:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9e821b…
05-22 10:49:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x15d7b0…
05-20 16:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd769c4…
05-19 18:58:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b478b…
05-17 12:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc4c01b…
05-13 17:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x4a08b2…
05-10 08:40:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a7185…
05-09 17:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4309ed…
05-09 17:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x11d930…
05-09 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x93f6d2…
05-09 16:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8e7512…