Awkward-Decisionmaking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$912

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$101

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 07-04 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$0

Other

47% 50% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	+105	$101	96¢	$101	$-0	07-04 01:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$-0	23¢	$-0	+$0	06-02 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+100	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	07-02 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$101	105	+105	open	—	07-04 01:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	04-22 18:44
ethereum above 2400 on march 29	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	03-28 20:36
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 480 499	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-15 09:59
will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	04-11 10:28
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-15 10:01
will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-04 10:26
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	04-11 10:28
bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	06-15 21:57
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	2	$43	43	+43	open	—	04-04 10:40
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	03-28 20:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	05-11 08:33
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-28 09:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-28 09:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-11 08:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-28 09:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	05-11 08:34
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-28 20:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-28 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-28 09:54
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-03 19:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	1	$8	8	+8	Jannik Sinner	+$0	05-11 08:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-22 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on April 29?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-28 09:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-22 18:41
will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-04 10:26
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 14corbelow	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 10:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:43
lol gz dfm 2026 04 04	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-04 10:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:27:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x247ea5…
07-02 01:36:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf7b346…
06-15 21:57:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x810bd0…
06-02 09:31:10	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xff0f53…
05-22 09:16:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2ba2f0…
05-18 11:00:34	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x982c24…
05-11 08:34:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6dc7cd…
05-11 08:34:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e5b34…
05-11 08:33:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd4c8af…
05-11 08:31:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe060cd…
05-11 08:25:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x96e08a…
05-03 19:46:30	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16eea5…
05-03 19:45:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d2000…
05-03 19:43:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd087b7…
04-28 09:58:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fddc9…
04-28 09:57:52	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x25e6bd…
04-28 09:57:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08338d…
04-28 09:56:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b6950…
04-28 09:55:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ca408…
04-28 09:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on April 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x779c28…
04-28 09:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a6357…
04-22 18:52:48	lol dp ozo 2026 04 22	Ozarox Esports	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a9847…
04-22 18:44:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xc311aa…
04-22 18:41:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6492e6…
04-15 10:02:22	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0bcf61…
04-15 10:01:44	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe62d3c…
04-15 10:01:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa67161…
04-15 09:59:54	atp rinderk fonseca 2026 04 15	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x09d1c4…
04-15 09:59:34	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 480 499	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xac98c4…
04-11 10:29:41	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 13 828 312	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc59cf3…
04-11 10:29:01	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0723f7…
04-11 10:28:43	will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xfec073…
04-11 10:28:13	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x1d8db3…
04-04 10:40:45	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x68037a…
04-04 10:26:51	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4792f2…
04-04 10:26:35	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee395…
04-04 10:26:19	lol gz dfm 2026 04 04	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x194269…
04-04 10:26:01	will annual inflation increase by 3pt0 in march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e2d46…
04-04 10:24:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6fd717…
03-28 20:36:06	ethereum above 2400 on march 29	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x89e9b0…
03-28 20:33:58	btc updown 5m 1774729800	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x8a3d05…
03-28 20:33:18	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39bf93…
03-28 20:32:04	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x01ae10…