Alarmed-Conversation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

216

Trades

1,032

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-30 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$103

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$438	560	560	+0	open	—	05-20 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$323	235	235	+0	open	—	05-30 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$299	332	332	+0	open	—	05-20 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$221	190	190	+0	open	—	05-20 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$203	216	216	+0	open	—	05-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	9	$171	268	227	+42	Up	+$11	05-12 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$169	166	166	+0	open	—	05-20 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$167	168	168	+0	open	—	05-20 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$141	230	230	+0	open	—	05-30 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$119	129	129	+0	open	—	05-20 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$117	78	78	+0	Up	+$37	05-12 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$115	75	75	+0	Up	+$35	05-12 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$106	101	100	+0	open	—	05-15 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$99	104	104	+0	open	—	05-30 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$98	151	151	+0	Up	+$38	05-12 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$95	116	116	+0	Down	+$57	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$95	84	84	+0	open	—	05-20 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$93	92	92	+0	open	—	05-15 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$92	86	86	+0	open	—	05-20 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$90	101	101	+0	open	—	05-30 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$89	59	59	+0	Up	+$29	05-12 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$85	47	47	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$85	81	81	+0	open	—	05-20 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$85	86	86	+0	open	—	05-20 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$81	105	61	+44	open	—	05-30 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$80	114	114	+0	open	—	05-20 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$80	56	56	+0	Up	+$30	05-13 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$80	61	61	+0	Down	+$40	05-12 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x834fc0…
05-30 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x9f1099…
05-30 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6cf287…
05-30 12:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xcfc549…
05-30 12:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa4b0ca…
05-30 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x53a86e…
05-30 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x537274…
05-30 11:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xbe83de…
05-30 11:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdd1964…
05-30 11:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xafa470…
05-30 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x1fbfd1…
05-30 11:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x503afe…
05-30 11:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	123	45¢	$55	0xbcd55b…
05-30 11:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	104	47¢	$49	0xd1c88e…
05-30 11:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x30bb2c…
05-30 11:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd39cea…
05-30 11:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x437285…
05-30 11:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0xfb6a06…
05-30 11:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x3d3e85…
05-30 11:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xe46a75…
05-30 11:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	156	80¢	$125	0x9417a7…
05-30 11:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x1c426c…
05-30 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	230	31¢	$71	0x2673b8…
05-30 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	230	30¢	$70	0x095269…
05-30 11:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x6aa33b…
05-30 11:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x9a080a…
05-30 11:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xe48d74…
05-30 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x921f78…
05-30 10:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7f6a06…
05-30 10:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xa06d1a…
05-30 10:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbddf57…
05-30 10:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xd277ec…
05-30 10:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xf7809a…
05-30 10:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x75380e…
05-30 10:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8d42c0…
05-30 10:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x26cf73…
05-30 10:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x3a61ad…
05-30 10:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf5af57…
05-30 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x99b2ad…
05-30 10:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	61	58¢	$35	0xed27ef…
05-30 10:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x80314e…
05-30 10:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xfd80a0…
05-30 10:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	56	77¢	$43	0xe6f19a…
05-30 10:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2d406e…
05-30 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5bef5f…
05-30 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0b348a…
05-30 10:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0xec3c8f…
05-30 10:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xbb3f30…
05-30 10:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x9c5ce3…
05-30 10:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0xdad6fc…
05-30 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa7cc9d…
05-30 10:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x04aef3…
05-30 10:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb086e6…
05-30 10:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	56¢	$23	0x2caa78…
05-30 10:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xba337b…
05-30 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa8b982…
05-30 10:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x42e9df…
05-30 10:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xef24df…
05-30 10:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x7e1301…
05-30 10:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x32fdc4…
05-30 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x53b20c…
05-30 10:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x276dc3…
05-30 09:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x2e9f07…
05-30 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x506f33…
05-30 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x76400c…
05-30 09:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb640ef…
05-30 09:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x585733…
05-30 09:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x86a5f6…
05-30 09:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	69	41¢	$28	0x7175ff…
05-30 09:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb6ca70…
05-30 09:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb5dac1…
05-30 09:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x01ae5d…
05-30 09:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x3632f7…
05-30 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfe598a…
05-30 08:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x28e4b7…
05-30 08:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b2a46…
05-30 08:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x816ab7…
05-30 08:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb14eef…
05-30 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1ebc7b…
05-30 08:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeff43e…
05-30 08:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x9fb8eb…
05-30 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfc0b18…
05-30 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x800d9e…
05-30 08:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x33eba0…
05-30 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x80e7ed…
05-30 08:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd069f0…
05-30 08:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x6d60e6…
05-30 08:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x16a99e…
05-30 08:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x9a3414…
05-30 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3f9ee9…
05-30 08:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x98bc39…
05-30 02:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe1dfd7…
05-30 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xa41775…
05-30 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0b87e9…
05-30 01:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x28babb…
05-30 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd0f571…
05-30 01:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x23ee7d…
05-30 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x774286…
05-30 01:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0d27c6…
05-30 01:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x59de4b…