Truthful-Billboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$348

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-15 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 50% $-3

Politics

10% — —

Other

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770354900	3	$16	18	16	+2	open	—	02-06 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$11	22	5	+17	open	—	04-25 18:13
btc updown 15m 1770337800	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-06 00:36
btc updown 15m 1770354000	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-06 05:06
btc updown 15m 1770336900	3	$10	12	2	+10	open	—	02-06 00:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$9	243	243	+0	open	—	02-06 06:16
btc updown 15m 1770364800	3	$9	10	8	+1	open	—	02-06 08:12
btc updown 15m 1770341400	3	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	02-06 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$8	23	0	+23	open	—	04-25 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 19:37
btc updown 15m 1770357600	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	02-06 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 01:36
btc updown 15m 1770355800	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-06 05:32
btc updown 15m 1770336000	3	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	02-06 00:07
btc updown 15m 1770316200	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 18:46
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-12 02:31
btc updown 15m 1770317100	5	$6	11	8	+3	open	—	02-05 18:55
btc updown 15m 1770359400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-06 06:32
btc updown 15m 1770350400	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-06 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 01:42
btc updown 15m 1770334200	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-05 23:35
btc updown 15m 1770335100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-05 23:53
btc updown 15m 1770318000	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-05 19:12
btc updown 15m 1770353100	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-06 04:56
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 18:08
btc updown 5m 1771289700	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-17 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x46eb6a…
05-14 04:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x532680…
05-14 04:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb895ee…
05-14 03:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf60ad2…
05-14 03:43:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0deeba…
05-08 04:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa006ba…
05-08 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe46fe6…
04-26 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa811f7…
04-26 01:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x235627…
04-26 01:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xff2ed9…
04-26 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x01b7d7…
04-26 00:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16f1c9…
04-26 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd9055e…
04-26 00:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x40bed5…
04-25 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f5f0f…
04-25 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2e1d41…
04-25 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xfe1838…
04-25 22:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x0a192b…
04-25 22:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0xbd60e5…
04-25 22:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf27e6d…
04-25 19:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf803e…
04-25 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xbf966f…
04-25 19:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x161a99…
04-25 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xfe7161…
04-25 18:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3d9120…
04-25 18:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x6af187…
04-25 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x79fbb1…
04-25 18:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x346e39…
04-25 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x864a52…
04-25 18:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3532e4…
04-25 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf728dc…
04-25 18:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x16ffb2…
04-25 18:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x908064…
04-25 18:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6c1dcf…
04-25 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x995194…
04-25 17:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5b97b…
04-25 17:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12553f…
04-25 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4021b…
04-25 04:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe193c1…
04-25 04:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46f80c…
04-24 17:14:08	btc updown 5m 1777050600	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x829ad9…
04-22 21:31:10	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xf1109e…
04-22 21:05:50	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf666ed…
04-19 16:59:42	btc updown 5m 1776617700	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb6cce…
04-18 02:49:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x02ce09…
04-17 15:23:40	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 140 159	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x948577…
04-17 05:59:32	btc updown 5m 1776405300	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x14e8e3…
04-17 04:24:46	btc updown 5m 1776399600	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xea1ab8…
04-13 01:29:47	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 23corhigher	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x3b8d35…
04-13 01:25:53	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x164e54…
04-12 02:31:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xf81a69…
04-10 06:19:17	btc updown 5m 1775801700	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x659186…
04-07 18:08:49	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4aa56b…
04-04 16:39:57	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x753584…
04-03 05:24:07	btc updown 5m 1775193600	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e3349…
03-31 00:44:43	btc updown 5m 1774917600	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x417ca4…
03-31 00:44:07	btc updown 5m 1774917600	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4776d…
03-31 00:39:25	btc updown 5m 1774917300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8612ce…
03-31 00:27:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xaf585d…
03-30 02:14:26	btc updown 5m 1774836600	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5c8b54…
03-30 02:07:18	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x3d6c8b…
03-30 01:56:24	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd555ed…
03-29 04:49:48	btc updown 5m 1774759500	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x283c4b…
03-29 04:39:12	btc updown 5m 1774758900	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3349d9…
03-28 05:40:27	btc updown 5m 1774676100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb23237…
03-28 05:38:35	btc updown 5m 1774676100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfef15b…
03-27 17:55:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x523381…
03-27 17:46:55	btc updown 5m 1774633200	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1258db…
03-27 17:43:23	btc updown 5m 1774633200	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x816d97…
03-27 17:34:43	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x3c211c…
03-27 17:34:01	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3f40b3…
03-27 17:28:51	btc updown 5m 1774632300	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc19abb…
03-27 04:51:29	btc updown 5m 1774586700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a132c…
03-27 04:49:35	btc updown 5m 1774586700	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7c78c5…
03-27 04:43:57	btc updown 15m 1774585800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x775220…
03-27 04:36:35	btc updown 5m 1774585800	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd69879…
03-27 04:34:15	btc updown 5m 1774585800	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07568b…
03-27 04:28:33	btc updown 15m 1774584900	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x48fabb…
03-27 04:28:21	btc updown 15m 1774584900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61d24f…
03-27 04:20:39	btc updown 5m 1774584900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89dc13…
03-27 04:18:11	btc updown 5m 1774584900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa0d56c…
03-27 04:14:27	btc updown 5m 1774584600	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a7dce…
03-27 04:11:37	btc updown 5m 1774584300	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa325bc…
03-27 04:08:27	btc updown 5m 1774584300	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a9024…
03-27 03:59:13	btc updown 5m 1774583700	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x046592…
03-27 03:24:47	btc updown 5m 1774581600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x530d89…
03-26 20:41:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x82b1e8…
03-26 20:33:57	btc updown 5m 1774557000	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c9e52…
03-26 10:43:47	btc updown 5m 1774521600	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5735ee…
03-26 10:33:45	btc updown 5m 1774521000	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8e8e1e…
03-26 10:08:09	btc updown 5m 1774519500	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfaa6f1…
03-26 10:04:07	btc updown 5m 1774519200	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae394e…
03-26 09:52:25	btc updown 5m 1774518600	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a1725…
03-26 09:28:11	btc updown 5m 1774517100	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb921b1…
03-26 09:04:07	btc updown 5m 1774515600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46985d…
03-26 08:58:39	btc updown 5m 1774515300	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7cfd5e…
03-26 08:43:51	btc updown 5m 1774514400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6fed0d…
03-26 07:28:49	btc updown 5m 1774509900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b5940…
03-26 07:14:31	btc updown 5m 1774509000	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad75a6…
03-26 06:30:21	btc updown 15m 1774505700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x996a32…