Strange-Hovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-10 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 33% $-13

Politics

8% 0% $-2

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-08 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$2	108	0	+108	Up	$-2	05-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	102	0	+102	Down	$-2	05-09 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-08 23:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-09 12:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-09 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-09 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	$-1	05-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1	28	0	+28	No	$-1	05-10 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:04:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xe921ba…
05-09 23:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe09fe1…
05-09 13:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a516c…
05-09 12:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8d3a4…
05-09 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x934fdf…
05-09 12:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x631d8e…
05-09 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x863575…
05-09 12:41:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa40baa…
05-09 08:17:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x5de99b…
05-09 08:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x48a7f4…
05-09 08:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4860ad…
05-09 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x424e7d…
05-09 08:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8dbdf9…
05-09 08:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x999ed5…
05-09 07:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe0cb5e…
05-09 01:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdbba5d…
05-09 00:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x59e4b8…
05-09 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x994b65…
05-08 23:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb3e0da…
05-08 23:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe3a0f0…
05-08 23:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x512c5c…