Positive-Affiliate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$210

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-04 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 45% $-3

Politics

6% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$7	11	2	+9	Up	+$4	05-07 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-07 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-07 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$7	9	4	+5	Up	+$1	05-07 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$6	110	0	+110	open	—	06-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	19	0	+19	Down	$-6	05-07 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$6	18	0	+18	Down	$-6	05-07 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-07 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-07 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 20:51
Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-07 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$4	5	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 18:56
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	06-04 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-07 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	+$5	05-07 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-2	05-07 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$3	5	1	+3	Down	$-1	05-08 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$3	4	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Down	$-0	05-08 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$3	52	52	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-07 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:35:13	btc updown 5m 1780576500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x703c92…
06-04 12:32:18	btc updown 5m 1780576200	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x572a28…
06-04 12:30:39	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xcb2cff…
06-02 23:20:59	Will Dr. Oz say "Supreme Court" during the press briefing?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4615ae…
06-02 23:20:07	Will Dr. Oz say "President" 30+ times during the press briefing?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa27440…
06-02 13:28:00	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xe13b9b…
06-02 13:22:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xce76c5…
06-01 20:12:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc7e47…
06-01 19:05:37	Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3ede28…
06-01 18:28:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd63338…
06-01 18:28:12	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xfbd2c5…
06-01 18:28:03	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe063ac…
06-01 18:27:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd852b3…
06-01 18:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8064be…
06-01 17:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcef97d…
06-01 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xee58d9…
06-01 17:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x898467…
06-01 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x238ff5…
06-01 17:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd210ac…
06-01 17:41:34	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfb3bbb…
05-12 21:37:07	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x159d3c…
05-08 18:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4e4c9f…
05-08 17:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1ec28f…
05-08 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6cecda…
05-08 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdae737…
05-08 17:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe838db…
05-08 17:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7184e2…
05-08 17:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x09357a…
05-08 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x167bfa…
05-08 17:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x88da8b…
05-08 17:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x26de9d…
05-08 17:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb12cbf…
05-08 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9bf10d…
05-08 17:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa09857…
05-08 17:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xf4c4a4…
05-08 17:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x894b72…
05-08 04:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xdac3bb…
05-08 04:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c1d1c…
05-08 04:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6214f1…
05-08 04:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x01e50b…
05-08 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa5f284…
05-08 04:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff21f7…
05-08 04:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x44a76f…
05-08 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd3b2d4…
05-08 04:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x126bd5…
05-08 04:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaa581a…
05-08 04:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2687fb…
05-08 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x385203…
05-08 01:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7bb348…
05-08 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x459fbd…
05-08 01:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf37f56…
05-08 01:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4d15ac…
05-08 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0fea9e…
05-08 01:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc0d779…
05-07 22:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x579088…
05-07 22:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8a0f93…
05-07 22:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3496f7…
05-07 22:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8e2dbf…
05-07 22:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xda9ec1…
05-07 21:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xebfab0…
05-07 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8865ab…
05-07 21:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xae1cae…
05-07 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4f7783…
05-07 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xfc9694…
05-07 21:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbbdbd8…
05-07 21:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2477b6…
05-07 21:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67b7de…
05-07 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8170e7…
05-07 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa054c2…
05-07 21:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32df03…
05-07 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbc8584…
05-07 21:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7ac14a…
05-07 21:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa4ed56…
05-07 21:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x238766…
05-07 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf11b7b…
05-07 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xacd678…
05-07 20:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd6cff9…
05-07 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4f503f…
05-07 20:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6a1d14…
05-07 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5364f2…
05-07 20:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x5ccc05…
05-07 20:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb653ac…
05-07 20:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0d3291…
05-07 20:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7eca68…
05-07 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf836a5…
05-07 20:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb7135…
05-07 20:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5eb811…
05-07 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc60ebf…
05-07 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x30d2e3…
05-07 20:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb2ab66…
05-07 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfccfab…
05-07 20:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x770d52…
05-07 20:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x16658e…
05-07 20:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x77c19e…
05-07 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0ea20a…
05-07 19:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd29e84…
05-07 19:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x396937…
05-07 19:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xb35df8…
05-07 19:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x78dd86…
05-07 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf6cef5…