Horrible-Notion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-19 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% $-10

Crypto

49% 20% $-12

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 00:50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	05-18 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:48
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$9	39	13	+26	Thunder	$-5	05-12 02:49
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 10:28
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$6	13	0	+13	Up	$-6	05-13 23:40
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	167	0	+167	Cavaliers	$-5	05-12 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$3	16	0	+16	open	—	05-17 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Down	$-2	05-13 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 12:10
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-12 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-13 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Down	$-2	05-13 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-17 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 00:50:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x09c74a…
05-19 00:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x70173e…
05-19 00:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x2cad8f…
05-18 00:51:09	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1da79a…
05-17 12:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x723d5b…
05-17 12:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xa7b7a3…
05-17 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xf55d26…
05-17 12:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x66cb4c…
05-17 10:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x71a2d0…
05-17 10:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f9bf6…
05-17 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a7e41…
05-17 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf56758…
05-17 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x92d0c2…
05-17 10:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9b7ec4…
05-17 10:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa7be0…
05-17 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdc0015…
05-16 02:33:09	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xbaeaf9…
05-16 02:30:38	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6c388c…
05-16 01:24:56	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x047d77…
05-13 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5a72f4…
05-13 23:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3d0bf9…
05-13 23:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x31a7b2…
05-13 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x801085…
05-13 23:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3247f4…
05-13 04:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x339fb3…
05-13 04:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3cfd7b…
05-13 01:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x53c9a9…
05-12 12:45:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4b7e27…
05-12 02:49:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xd8da35…
05-12 02:48:17	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x8c6b3b…
05-12 02:47:17	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xf3a97d…
05-12 02:14:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xaf09b9…