Bad-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 04-26 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 20% $-0

Sports

34% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	04-11 17:51
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$234	117	117	+0	No	$-0	04-01 19:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	03-24 07:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-14 02:12
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-25 16:03
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-18 01:17
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-20 13:57
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	04-26 07:17
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$168	84	84	+0	open	—	04-12 03:48
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$168	84	84	+0	No	$-0	04-03 00:22
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$162	81	81	+0	No	$-0	04-02 19:39
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	04-03 14:52
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	03-12 04:50
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	03-17 06:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 16:17
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 04:35
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-05 00:53
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-27 02:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	04-21 17:57
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-27 18:18
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	04-07 16:28
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-05 08:44
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	03-26 10:15
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	$-0	03-29 17:56
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	03-18 20:06
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	03-31 05:20
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	03-29 13:57
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-24 01:41
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-08 22:39
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	03-19 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 07:17:00	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x5a22e8…
04-24 12:46:42	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5e4a5e…
04-21 17:57:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x21d9b5…
04-21 14:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xbda829…
04-20 13:57:36	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x078dc5…
04-20 11:23:10	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xbf340a…
04-18 07:07:26	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdd616d…
04-18 01:48:32	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7797e3…
04-13 22:24:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1879b1…
04-13 16:23:23	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xb0afb9…
04-12 03:48:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa77420…
04-11 22:54:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3697cb…
04-11 17:51:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x09bfbd…
04-10 13:30:13	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x281fcd…
04-08 22:39:03	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x7173ee…
04-08 18:21:07	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x18ffeb…
04-07 16:28:55	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x546b2e…
04-07 11:25:45	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd027e3…
04-03 17:34:01	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6d1c06…
04-03 14:53:11	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1a9898…
04-03 14:52:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc27866…
04-03 08:59:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xede7ba…
04-03 00:22:25	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xbf9497…
04-02 23:17:19	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xd79326…
04-02 19:39:01	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xcb59a1…
04-02 12:33:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xce7392…
04-01 19:59:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1ed06e…
04-01 16:02:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x741dce…
04-01 12:04:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xfd987d…
04-01 08:02:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf5cfe4…
03-31 05:20:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xca892d…
03-31 01:14:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xdaf2bc…
03-30 21:13:49	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7d3dbb…
03-30 17:26:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x0ceae1…
03-30 05:42:26	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x18ffe2…
03-30 01:46:16	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd504ca…
03-29 17:56:14	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x548f5a…
03-29 13:57:56	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x8c70d6…
03-29 13:57:32	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x7cefd6…
03-29 10:03:38	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd91361…
03-27 18:18:55	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xdace79…
03-27 11:58:59	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4d0f60…
03-27 02:18:17	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xf55ac0…
03-26 23:20:11	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6ad679…
03-26 10:15:43	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x91a2ee…
03-26 04:54:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x870afa…
03-25 22:32:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x9f887f…
03-25 16:04:13	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x67768e…
03-25 16:03:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb3755a…
03-25 09:37:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xc0ae0e…
03-25 03:14:05	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x899384…
03-24 20:46:23	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xef4a36…
03-24 07:59:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xa3d202…
03-24 01:41:35	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xd55094…
03-24 01:41:17	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xddde3c…
03-23 19:18:47	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x188999…
03-22 11:31:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x6cb07d…
03-22 05:11:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcf2db6…
03-20 11:51:45	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x526754…
03-19 22:32:41	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xca5f25…
03-19 16:07:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x2e44a2…
03-19 09:39:45	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd31be7…
03-18 20:06:25	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x27f162…
03-18 14:12:05	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x035427…
03-18 01:17:03	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb77e21…
03-17 18:52:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x1ff411…
03-17 12:30:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfba90e…
03-17 06:11:53	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xe4560e…
03-17 06:11:35	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb56b40…
03-16 23:49:47	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x3883ad…
03-16 17:23:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xc14af3…
03-16 10:56:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x0a1630…
03-16 04:35:11	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa8b889…
03-15 22:11:03	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6d9adc…
03-15 09:39:55	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x7027fd…
03-15 03:25:23	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x303c8a…
03-14 02:12:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xac1f8c…
03-13 20:03:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xea9dc6…
03-12 19:22:05	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xb53c9b…
03-12 04:50:55	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc4f276…
03-11 22:28:57	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x42f66b…
03-11 22:28:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x5ff893…
03-11 09:49:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x53ff3e…
03-10 15:43:37	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x25afd5…
03-10 15:43:05	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Kings	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0xa5b1e0…
03-08 19:12:45	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xffd918…
03-07 10:38:25	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0x5e980f…
03-07 10:37:57	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	76ers	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x03cb71…
03-05 15:14:27	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xb68a73…
03-05 15:13:55	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Jazz	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x43ec28…
03-05 08:44:59	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x85b709…
03-05 08:01:07	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xdcebf5…
03-05 00:53:27	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x03bd61…
03-04 16:46:55	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57dd2e…
03-04 16:17:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9dd102…
03-04 09:50:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a9ff6…
03-03 22:58:43	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x9b6e14…
03-03 13:57:11	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x31c669…
03-03 13:56:39	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc3d520…
03-02 22:09:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xd24b7a…