Actual-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

151

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 52% +$102

Other

2% 20% $-36

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 400 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	17	$198	250	96	+154	Down	+$82	05-07 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	13	$192	159	159	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	10	$157	127	127	+0	Up	+$17	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	8	$144	354	343	+12	Down	+$24	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	8	$121	99	81	+18	Up	+$1	05-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$115	92	92	+0	Up	+$15	05-07 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$114	151	150	+0	Up	+$14	05-07 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	10	$106	99	99	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$93	94	77	+17	Up	+$10	05-07 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$91	1,081	54	+1,028	Up	$-29	05-07 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$87	83	83	+0	Up	+$78	05-06 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	7	$87	101	101	+0	Down	$-13	05-07 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$79	97	51	+45	Up	+$24	05-07 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$68	64	64	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$68	74	74	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	8	$67	108	103	+5	Down	+$22	05-07 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$65	127	50	+77	Up	$-41	05-09 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$62	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$57	54	54	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$57	57	42	+15	Down	$-5	05-07 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$55	112	0	+112	Down	+$57	05-07 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$53	50	33	+17	Down	$-7	05-07 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$48	41	41	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$47	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$47	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$46	34	34	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 18:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$46	232	232	+0	open	—	05-07 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$45	125	0	+125	Up	$-45	05-07 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$43	41	41	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$43	35	35	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xee2b58…
05-13 17:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7c6bc4…
05-13 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2e09a3…
05-13 17:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9f4398…
05-13 17:13:45	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x21727b…
05-13 17:08:01	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x9f834d…
05-13 16:37:20	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x722245…
05-13 16:37:18	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x6674cd…
05-13 16:36:43	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xd6397c…
05-12 19:09:09	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc9de63…
05-12 18:53:28	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x944fc8…
05-09 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x58690d…
05-09 06:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0xfab92c…
05-09 06:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x9b4fb7…
05-09 06:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0xd6502f…
05-09 06:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd4b5fa…
05-09 06:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x6a7013…
05-09 06:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x210a0f…
05-09 06:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xdf73c4…
05-09 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x4a4473…
05-07 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb2fc7…
05-07 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x58c8e7…
05-07 21:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xecf51d…
05-07 21:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf09cae…
05-07 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdc4723…
05-07 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa45e33…
05-07 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x89c1f6…
05-07 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2987e7…
05-07 21:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x762d05…
05-07 21:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x89d4b9…
05-07 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	67	64¢	$43	0x2d4f5c…
05-07 21:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x673af0…
05-07 21:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf79d11…
05-07 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x966239…
05-07 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xc21565…
05-07 21:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb6596d…
05-07 21:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5da28d…
05-07 21:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xf97654…
05-07 21:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9dd067…
05-07 21:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x61d1aa…
05-07 21:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	49	74¢	$36	0x9d579f…
05-07 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x833c11…
05-07 21:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa469bf…
05-07 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa377c4…
05-07 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	92	70¢	$65	0xabc85f…
05-07 21:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5d5fea…
05-07 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2515f5…
05-07 21:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x564029…
05-07 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x54f5ff…
05-07 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1fa86e…
05-07 21:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa8edcc…
05-07 21:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x5e0d1c…
05-07 21:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8bec52…
05-07 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd0bffe…
05-07 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x81c490…
05-07 21:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x447533…
05-07 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5881f0…
05-07 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x520e1a…
05-07 21:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xe8642a…
05-07 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3c327b…
05-07 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf6838b…
05-07 21:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xe46ada…
05-07 21:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd71006…
05-07 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd5f738…
05-07 21:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0xad7e07…
05-07 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc405f5…
05-07 21:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xec6b4c…
05-07 21:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x27420a…
05-07 21:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x58a265…
05-07 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3dc543…
05-07 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0xbda935…
05-07 21:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa8dc2…
05-07 21:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa41523…
05-07 21:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x45efb2…
05-07 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xe806e7…
05-07 21:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x903cc6…
05-07 21:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x83b7c7…
05-07 21:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x3cc70e…
05-07 21:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x046736…
05-07 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x04ea65…
05-07 21:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x790c33…
05-07 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xf6f5a2…
05-07 20:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xe201f3…
05-07 20:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x692741…
05-07 20:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7a658d…
05-07 20:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xb3fad9…
05-07 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x67fea2…
05-07 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x56cc39…
05-07 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7e25ac…
05-07 20:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x616e2e…
05-07 20:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7195d2…
05-07 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8c8aee…
05-07 20:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xea79c6…
05-07 20:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2d4933…
05-07 20:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	49¢	$18	0xfe4fd6…
05-07 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x77876c…
05-07 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbfd604…
05-07 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x6c1400…
05-07 20:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x236b73…
05-07 20:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1ca9da…