Agitated-Pay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

637

lifetime

Volume

$6.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-10 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-0

Crypto

34% 100% +$22

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	144	$1.3K	1,242	1,370	-128	Up	+$22	05-10 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	72	$759	744	662	+81	open	—	04-26 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	33	$542	516	459	+57	open	—	04-26 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	53	$480	453	445	+8	open	—	04-27 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	49	$421	446	411	+34	open	—	04-27 05:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	12	$367	242	242	+0	open	—	04-23 08:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	12	$308	170	169	+1	open	—	04-17 07:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	37	$273	200	200	+0	open	—	04-23 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	8	$271	175	154	+21	open	—	04-27 16:21
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$264	300	0	+300	open	—	04-20 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	4	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-24 18:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	3	$183	184	0	+184	open	—	04-21 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	12	$178	183	186	-3	open	—	04-27 09:38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$149	171	71	+100	open	—	04-26 15:11
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5	4	$117	540	526	+14	open	—	04-25 00:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$110	90	90	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	11	$97	200	117	+83	open	—	04-27 11:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 14c	2	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	04-22 02:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 21c	15	$46	300	0	+300	open	—	04-23 04:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	04-14 05:23
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c	26	$42	200	0	+200	open	—	04-22 07:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-13 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	51	$39	265	65	+200	open	—	04-22 06:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-11 15:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 16c	12	$15	246	246	+0	open	—	04-20 05:49
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5	2	$11	30	30	+0	open	—	04-25 00:44
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	2	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	04-25 01:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 19c	9	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-14 08:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	12	$8	200	0	+200	open	—	04-22 06:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 24corhigher	1	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	04-14 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xfc8c65…
05-10 12:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x74a54d…
05-10 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xacbced…
05-10 11:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc0e66b…
05-10 11:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x69109f…
05-10 11:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x28af7e…
05-10 11:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe027e4…
05-10 11:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xe027e4…
05-10 11:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc6746c…
05-10 11:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	59	79¢	$46	0xbc0b22…
05-10 11:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xbc0b22…
05-10 11:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xb9ab6a…
05-10 11:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5ad050…
05-10 11:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x2a8994…
05-10 11:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x64b315…
05-10 11:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x2959e2…
05-10 11:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x2959e2…
05-10 11:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xef823a…
05-10 11:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x2c19b5…
05-10 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xede468…
05-10 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x195e0e…
05-10 11:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcd41e5…
05-10 11:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x0e536c…
05-10 11:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7d515f…
05-10 11:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x9048ff…
05-10 11:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9048ff…
05-10 11:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4bae6e…
05-10 11:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xa9fb3f…
05-10 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb77650…
05-10 11:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xb77650…
05-10 10:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x33eac1…
05-10 10:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x33eac1…
05-10 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xcdb810…
05-10 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xcdb810…
05-10 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x5c7c39…
05-10 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x5c7c39…
05-10 10:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x72d88f…
05-10 10:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x2417d8…
05-10 10:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x9f36cc…
05-10 10:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x078968…
05-10 10:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xacd1e9…
05-10 10:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9ae291…
05-10 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xa7958a…
05-10 10:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x48f979…
05-10 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x19a583…
05-10 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0xf9ace0…
05-10 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf9ace0…
05-10 10:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1f3c43…
05-10 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfb5690…
05-10 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	99	25¢	$25	0xfb5690…
05-10 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x77ea5e…
05-10 10:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x7c2407…
05-10 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x51c1f7…
05-10 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6c40ae…
05-10 10:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8a6b9d…
05-10 10:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x936dea…
05-10 10:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7dd754…
05-10 10:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x60cf75…
05-10 10:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa45708…
05-10 10:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x9a125c…
05-10 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	24	70¢	$16	0x2cff7e…
05-10 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2cff7e…
05-10 10:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x7fa192…
05-10 10:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x622165…
05-10 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x5e6eca…
05-10 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5e6eca…
05-10 10:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x92e474…
05-10 10:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x92e474…
05-10 10:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xb6152c…
05-10 10:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9a9df8…
05-10 10:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf258d0…
05-10 10:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xc0ec86…
05-10 10:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xc0ec86…
05-10 10:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8a5bb2…
05-10 10:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x55fe4d…
05-10 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5a0daa…
05-10 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x24d067…
05-10 09:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd87be9…
05-10 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xf1cacb…
05-10 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf1cacb…
05-10 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x76bdb7…
05-10 09:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc55c5c…
05-10 09:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc55c5c…
05-10 09:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe7a544…
05-10 09:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xc032de…
05-10 09:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc032de…
05-10 09:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x91ba4d…
05-10 09:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x91ba4d…
05-10 09:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	43	73¢	$32	0x421179…
05-10 09:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x421179…
05-10 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa075fd…
05-10 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x3f8225…
05-10 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3f8225…
05-10 09:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x169ae7…
05-10 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x0e7398…
05-10 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x0e7398…
05-10 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf4640c…
05-10 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0xf4640c…
05-10 09:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x1c064f…
05-10 09:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x1c064f…