Deadly-Viscose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-21 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 33% $-28

Politics

19% — —

Other

9% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	10	$109	304	152	+151	open	—	05-04 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$85	271	271	+0	open	—	05-04 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$79	155	99	+56	open	—	05-04 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$62	53	53	+0	open	—	05-04 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$57	51	51	+0	open	—	05-04 02:22
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$56	33	33	+0	open	—	04-23 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$51	53	53	+0	open	—	05-04 02:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 02:40
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$43	27	27	+0	open	—	04-27 23:49
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	4	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$41	34	34	+0	open	—	05-04 02:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	04-25 20:10
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$39	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$38	74	74	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$35	95	59	+36	Down	$-5	05-08 00:27
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	4	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$30	161	0	+161	Up	$-30	05-08 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$30	37	37	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 00:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 13:56
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$24	19	19	+1	open	—	04-28 01:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$23	19	19	+1	open	—	04-28 01:57
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 01:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 21:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 21:06
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 00:22
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	2	$21	92	0	+92	open	—	04-19 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 19:10:38	btc updown 5m 1782069000	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x935993…
06-21 19:10:32	btc updown 5m 1782069000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb5ef3…
06-21 19:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782069000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaaac7b…
05-08 00:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xdb4d02…
05-08 00:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xc5a527…
05-08 00:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x31453a…
05-08 00:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	59	25¢	$15	0xe3680e…
05-08 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd9fd53…
05-08 00:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	74	24¢	$18	0x6d81ad…
05-08 00:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x1a339a…
05-08 00:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x283918…
05-08 00:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3b68c3…
05-06 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xe8e858…
05-06 23:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9df93c…
05-06 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x8c3aaa…
05-06 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb1808d…
05-04 15:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xb3205b…
05-04 15:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x17cd9b…
05-04 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0xd7744e…
05-04 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x6e57ac…
05-04 13:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0xf9abd1…
05-04 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8ee974…
05-04 03:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x4e5823…
05-04 03:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	99	29¢	$29	0x5a4fe0…
05-04 03:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x18ac72…
05-04 03:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	143	8¢	$11	0xcbb3b0…
05-04 03:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x246fb7…
05-04 03:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	128	26¢	$33	0x4fcfd1…
05-04 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf7a243…
05-04 03:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7d60ca…
05-04 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0x2ea698…
05-04 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	77	19¢	$14	0x7cac4c…
05-04 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x53caa0…
05-04 03:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2c318f…
05-04 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x4198db…
05-04 03:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x274b71…
05-04 03:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xdef48c…
05-04 03:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa0d06b…
05-04 03:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x82c9b6…
05-04 03:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xa9fe0f…
05-04 02:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	56¢	$19	0x59ef85…
05-04 02:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf4a02c…
05-04 02:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	65¢	$13	0x86ff8b…
05-04 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9f4c22…
05-04 02:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x2f5d59…
05-04 02:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x34b985…
05-04 02:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0xe57603…
05-04 02:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xde6f92…
05-04 02:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x136eb5…
05-04 02:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x3813ce…
05-04 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x45560d…
05-04 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9474c0…
05-04 02:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb91d3c…
05-04 02:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x8fb009…
05-04 02:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb4223b…
05-04 02:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x7d39c8…
05-04 02:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x71f154…
05-04 02:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x4528ca…
05-04 00:39:14	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x92b5b5…
04-30 01:58:38	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x0d1e87…
04-30 01:50:54	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2d5a66…
04-30 01:46:46	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xe47ffa…
04-30 01:45:26	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc1b3b7…
04-30 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x9af330…
04-30 01:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfe047c…
04-30 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x60f8d6…
04-30 01:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x241bf2…
04-30 00:27:22	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x91a88a…
04-30 00:26:32	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf1b4c3…
04-30 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x570f56…
04-30 00:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0a1721…
04-30 00:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x9c527c…
04-30 00:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb8cf22…
04-30 00:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28d6b3…
04-30 00:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc5278a…
04-30 00:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x35300f…
04-30 00:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x50edb7…
04-30 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x8f5916…
04-30 00:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8b7753…
04-29 21:06:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb2755c…
04-29 21:06:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x25044c…
04-29 21:06:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xfc2dec…
04-29 21:05:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x6d1b16…
04-28 01:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x49ff46…
04-28 01:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd483ba…
04-28 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	78¢	$14	0xe3067d…
04-28 01:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbd6ddb…
04-28 01:28:22	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xc1bc9e…
04-28 00:22:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x36ed42…
04-27 23:50:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x76c709…
04-27 23:49:52	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x712972…
04-26 18:11:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2a0283…
04-25 20:10:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x7b859c…
04-25 16:34:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x32cfac…
04-24 22:53:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xcd9a74…
04-23 21:29:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x725f66…
04-23 19:09:38	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa0b2c7…
04-23 18:08:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xbad2f8…
04-23 18:02:36	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb21b2c…
04-23 17:35:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xb4646f…