Stiff-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$120

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-14 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

34% — —

Other

33% 33% $-5

Sports

28% — —

Crypto

6% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	05-01 03:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-10 14:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	05-12 05:19
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 04:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	05-10 16:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	05-10 16:38
Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-10 09:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$8	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 04:07
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-10 08:36
Utah vs. Golden Knights	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-09 09:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova	1	$5	7	0	+7	Nikola Bartunkova	$-5	05-10 10:15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	2	$3	2	2	+0	Casper Ruud	+$1	05-13 17:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	0	100	-100	open	—	05-12 05:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-10 08:20
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 02:42:29	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x26c7fb…
05-13 17:03:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8a33bb…
05-13 17:01:20	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3dda9e…
05-13 16:40:53	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0ca03d…
05-13 04:07:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x3ea888…
05-12 12:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x02cee8…
05-12 05:19:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x89f3a4…
05-12 05:10:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x438221…
05-10 16:59:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x072390…
05-10 16:55:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa9595e…
05-10 16:38:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x7bd1a7…
05-10 16:17:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x576405…
05-10 16:13:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x999d1c…
05-10 14:44:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x4871cb…
05-10 10:38:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a4e17…
05-10 10:15:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova	Madison Keys	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xddebac…
05-10 09:07:07	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x599057…
05-10 09:01:26	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xee2954…
05-10 08:36:37	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xf70e04…
05-10 08:34:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xf746b6…
05-10 08:20:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf22b55…
05-10 08:13:29	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf07e9f…
05-10 03:15:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7ef787…
05-09 11:42:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf504a6…
05-09 11:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0e92a…
05-09 09:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xdbf659…
05-01 03:57:52	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xd37053…
04-30 04:44:32	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82650d…
04-30 04:00:54	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x04efc9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	11	$56.5K	496	06-01 05:53
(anonymous) 0xccc4…77ca	11	$636	196	05-13 00:25
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	10	$8.80K	2,470	05-31 21:11
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	10	$2.25K	141	05-29 17:08
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	9	$173.3K	2,729	05-31 10:07
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	8	$6.34M	9,864	06-01 04:14
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	8	$59.3K	6,543	06-01 03:24
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	8	$11.4K	158	05-31 22:54