Lighthearted-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-05 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

79% — —

Crypto

19% 4% $-220

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$31.8K	206,825	51,706	+155,119	open	—	04-07 22:17
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	21	$1.0K	861	806	+55	open	—	07-05 17:56
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 11am et	13	$967	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	07-05 15:40
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12pm et	12	$625	1,309	188	+1,121	open	—	07-05 16:37
btc updown 15m 1783269000	11	$499	699	470	+229	open	—	07-05 16:43
eth updown 4h 1783267200	8	$441	345	345	+0	open	—	07-05 17:54
btc updown 15m 1783269900	9	$247	255	230	+25	open	—	07-05 16:59
btc updown 15m 1783273500	4	$241	231	230	+1	open	—	07-05 17:56
eth updown 15m 1783269900	11	$225	277	235	+42	open	—	07-05 16:50
btc updown 15m 1783266300	4	$214	633	0	+633	open	—	07-05 15:50
eth updown 15m 1783266300	3	$202	401	0	+401	open	—	07-05 15:45
btc updown 15m 1783264500	2	$188	216	0	+216	open	—	07-05 15:25
btc updown 15m 1783272600	12	$176	216	191	+25	open	—	07-05 17:41
btc updown 15m 1783270800	3	$166	148	98	+50	open	—	07-05 17:02
btc updown 15m 1783267200	5	$139	315	0	+315	open	—	07-05 16:09
btc updown 15m 1783265400	5	$124	254	0	+254	open	—	07-05 15:41
btc updown 15m 1783271700	4	$123	175	150	+25	open	—	07-05 17:20
xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	7	$121	116	30	+86	open	—	07-05 17:26
sol updown 4h 1783267200	3	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 17:23
btc updown 15m 1783274400	2	$101	98	98	+0	open	—	07-05 17:57
sol updown 15m 1783270800	4	$85	81	80	+1	open	—	07-05 17:09
eth updown 15m 1783267200	6	$82	172	0	+172	open	—	07-05 16:07
eth updown 15m 1783265400	3	$73	188	0	+188	open	—	07-05 15:40
ethereum up or down july 5 2026 12pm et	3	$63	178	36	+142	open	—	07-05 16:37
eth updown 15m 1783272600	2	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	07-05 17:30
btc updown 15m 1783262700	2	$50	325	0	+325	open	—	07-05 14:57
eth updown 15m 1783271700	2	$45	44	44	+0	open	—	07-05 17:15
eth updown 15m 1783273500	4	$43	119	117	+2	open	—	07-05 17:53
sol updown 15m 1783271700	1	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	07-05 17:27
btc updown 4h 1783267200	5	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	07-05 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 17:57:41	btc updown 15m 1783274400	Up	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x2e86a3…
07-05 17:57:37	btc updown 15m 1783274400	Up	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0x863184…
07-05 17:56:11	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x32047c…
07-05 17:56:04	btc updown 15m 1783273500	Down	SELL	67	34¢	$23	0xe47bd8…
07-05 17:56:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0xad549f…
07-05 17:56:01	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0xb45734…
07-05 17:55:59	btc updown 15m 1783273500	Down	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0xfea5c7…
07-05 17:54:20	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Down	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0xfeabc7…
07-05 17:54:17	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Down	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x198e04…
07-05 17:53:14	eth updown 15m 1783273500	Down	SELL	48	22¢	$11	0x438ab0…
07-05 17:53:11	eth updown 15m 1783273500	Down	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x4005bb…
07-05 17:52:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x31d568…
07-05 17:52:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x089f2a…
07-05 17:51:29	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x5ca1dc…
07-05 17:51:20	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xb1fce1…
07-05 17:48:22	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	102	22¢	$22	0xb24714…
07-05 17:48:17	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	107	24¢	$26	0xa2f8e3…
07-05 17:48:17	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x24040b…
07-05 17:48:10	eth updown 15m 1783273500	Down	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0x9cc4cf…
07-05 17:48:01	eth updown 15m 1783273500	Down	BUY	69	16¢	$11	0xac6823…
07-05 17:46:52	btc updown 15m 1783273500	Up	SELL	163	58¢	$95	0xde47f4…
07-05 17:46:43	btc updown 15m 1783273500	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$99	0xd9b261…
07-05 17:46:35	sol updown 15m 1783273500	Up	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0xf0f9f3…
07-05 17:46:32	sol updown 15m 1783273500	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9ea8cf…
07-05 17:44:28	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	158	46¢	$72	0xe2fa44…
07-05 17:43:56	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x73f150…
07-05 17:43:53	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x9ee628…
07-05 17:43:41	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xa6e0b8…
07-05 17:41:40	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x42fa02…
07-05 17:41:37	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x291c79…
07-05 17:39:50	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	SELL	85	34¢	$29	0x42d5ce…
07-05 17:39:19	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	85	32¢	$27	0xbaa432…
07-05 17:39:02	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	128	77¢	$99	0x3be90c…
07-05 17:38:59	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf4866f…
07-05 17:32:41	btc updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xcc5bdd…
07-05 17:32:35	btc updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xd60b14…
07-05 17:32:34	btc updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xa06e07…
07-05 17:32:34	btc updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x3aa2de…
07-05 17:32:29	btc updown 4h 1783267200	Up	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xab7aa2…
07-05 17:32:26	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90b89f…
07-05 17:32:26	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x0deea1…
07-05 17:32:22	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7a1dc9…
07-05 17:30:55	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	SELL	53	44¢	$23	0x163b76…
07-05 17:30:50	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x2e0265…
07-05 17:30:34	eth updown 15m 1783272600	Down	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x548031…
07-05 17:30:29	eth updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0c68a1…
07-05 17:30:02	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe672f7…
07-05 17:30:02	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e3712…
07-05 17:29:59	btc updown 15m 1783272600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0aad28…
07-05 17:27:58	sol updown 15m 1783271700	Up	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x5f276b…
07-05 17:26:40	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa1bf15…
07-05 17:26:38	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x0594f5…
07-05 17:26:02	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	123	80¢	$98	0x60a106…
07-05 17:25:59	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5b7386…
07-05 17:25:58	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xbae09c…
07-05 17:25:58	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x222cd0…
07-05 17:25:56	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xbedf72…
07-05 17:25:55	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x49a593…
07-05 17:25:07	xrp up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd80e32…
07-05 17:23:20	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x7fce8c…
07-05 17:23:17	eth updown 4h 1783267200	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x42964e…
07-05 17:23:01	sol updown 4h 1783267200	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x97ff9a…
07-05 17:23:01	sol updown 4h 1783267200	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x45eaea…
07-05 17:22:56	sol updown 4h 1783267200	Down	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xb5374a…
07-05 17:20:19	btc updown 15m 1783271700	Up	SELL	150	41¢	$61	0xb80a37…
07-05 17:19:47	btc updown 15m 1783271700	Up	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x6820ed…
07-05 17:18:34	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	75	75¢	$56	0xfe8721…
07-05 17:18:17	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xbb3417…
07-05 17:18:16	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x008d1e…
07-05 17:18:13	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	115	79¢	$91	0xaa0a27…
07-05 17:15:38	eth updown 15m 1783271700	Down	SELL	44	52¢	$23	0x7a594b…
07-05 17:15:35	eth updown 15m 1783271700	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x8c88d9…
07-05 17:15:22	btc updown 15m 1783271700	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x69f181…
07-05 17:14:55	btc updown 15m 1783271700	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x51c2c1…
07-05 17:12:46	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0x675a03…
07-05 17:12:41	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	61	73¢	$45	0xb9ef90…
07-05 17:09:07	sol updown 15m 1783270800	Up	SELL	44	74¢	$32	0xcc9715…
07-05 17:09:04	sol updown 15m 1783270800	Up	BUY	44	74¢	$33	0x685066…
07-05 17:03:25	sol updown 15m 1783270800	Down	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x4f2769…
07-05 17:03:22	sol updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0xafc394…
07-05 17:02:44	btc updown 15m 1783270800	Up	SELL	98	74¢	$73	0xf13bd1…
07-05 17:02:44	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0x94a0ea…
07-05 17:02:40	btc updown 15m 1783270800	Up	BUY	98	75¢	$74	0x508498…
07-05 17:00:31	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x747029…
07-05 17:00:26	btc updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x8cedae…
07-05 17:00:20	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfbfa22…
07-05 17:00:19	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x71e4c0…
07-05 17:00:14	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1fa754…
07-05 17:00:11	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc18cc7…
07-05 17:00:10	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x98c7ac…
07-05 17:00:07	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5a8c04…
07-05 17:00:04	eth updown 15m 1783270800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8b5d0e…
07-05 16:59:13	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Up	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x883043…
07-05 16:58:52	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Up	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x999455…
07-05 16:53:49	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Down	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x94eab5…
07-05 16:53:46	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x8d4668…
07-05 16:50:50	eth updown 15m 1783269900	Down	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0xf2ca89…
07-05 16:50:47	eth updown 15m 1783269900	Down	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0xd53ad8…
07-05 16:50:11	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Down	SELL	156	51¢	$79	0xff5d0b…
07-05 16:50:02	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Down	BUY	157	47¢	$73	0xb3e6b0…