Lighthearted-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$314

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-14 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

99% — —

Crypto

1% 4% $-220

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$31.8K	206,825	51,706	+155,119	open	—	04-07 22:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	2	$10	110	0	+110	open	—	04-23 20:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 20:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 20:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	1	$10	49	0	+49	open	—	05-14 17:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$8	135	0	+135	Yes	$-8	05-04 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	1	$8	301	0	+301	No	$-8	05-13 11:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?	1	$7	247	0	+247	open	—	04-27 15:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	1	$7	114	0	+114	open	—	05-01 23:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$7	358	0	+358	No	$-7	05-08 04:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$7	189	0	+189	No	$-7	05-04 03:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$6	150	0	+150	No	$-6	05-06 11:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	1	$6	105	0	+105	No	$-6	05-04 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$6	69	0	+69	Yes	$-6	05-04 13:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	1	$6	110	0	+110	open	—	04-27 13:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	1	$6	178	0	+178	open	—	05-01 21:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	1	$6	49	0	+49	No	$-6	05-04 04:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$6	70	0	+70	No	$-6	05-08 03:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$6	81	0	+81	No	$-6	05-05 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	1	$6	76	0	+76	Yes	$-6	05-09 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	1	$6	99	0	+99	No	$-6	05-02 09:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	1	$6	159	0	+159	open	—	05-01 21:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	1	$6	51	0	+51	open	—	04-27 12:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$6	67	0	+67	No	$-6	05-08 01:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	1	$5	41	0	+41	open	—	04-23 20:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	1	$5	118	0	+118	No	$-5	05-04 03:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$5	44	0	+44	Yes	$-5	05-04 05:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	1	$5	139	0	+139	No	$-5	05-09 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	04-27 05:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	$-5	05-09 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x6a439d…
05-14 14:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x107383…
05-13 11:49:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	301	3¢	$8	0xf5f37a…
05-09 17:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x3535c2…
05-09 17:11:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x9365a5…
05-09 10:16:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x8f8acb…
05-09 10:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xde8662…
05-09 09:20:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x531d40…
05-09 09:08:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xd39cd6…
05-09 09:08:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xf93608…
05-09 09:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	76	7¢	$6	0x4105b3…
05-08 05:00:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xdbd501…
05-08 04:58:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	358	2¢	$7	0x2ed433…
05-08 04:58:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x5b4fd1…
05-08 03:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0xeb905b…
05-08 01:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	67	8¢	$6	0x414b4d…
05-08 01:27:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7b2b41…
05-06 11:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xc46899…
05-05 21:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbfc598…
05-05 13:21:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe2e225…
05-05 07:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0xa601b0…
05-05 02:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9f7ec6…
05-04 17:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x3f7780…
05-04 17:25:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe28139…
05-04 17:07:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x795729…
05-04 17:07:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x8510b4…
05-04 14:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0b10a4…
05-04 13:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0x3aa80f…
05-04 11:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xc16ca2…
05-04 10:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	135	6¢	$8	0xa6104e…
05-04 06:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xad7bc1…
05-04 05:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x5dfaca…
05-04 04:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x4f8de3…
05-04 04:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0xe12f30…
05-04 03:51:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	189	4¢	$7	0x201e79…
05-04 03:05:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$5	0xd5f09a…
05-04 02:51:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$4	0xe4db2d…
05-04 02:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa4266e…
05-04 02:20:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0x7a53d9…
05-04 02:10:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x71fba5…
05-04 02:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x5dfc68…
05-04 01:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x7ba24e…
05-04 01:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x675a23…
05-03 03:07:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x4b8210…
05-02 20:48:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x99f9bb…
05-02 16:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x52ea95…
05-02 11:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x897468…
05-02 09:44:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xa2f908…
05-02 08:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xbdc87c…
05-01 23:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	114	6¢	$7	0x9e7ca3…
05-01 22:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x7e01bb…
05-01 21:32:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$6	0x2efd6d…
05-01 21:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcabd1f…
05-01 21:09:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	159	3¢	$6	0xe535b9…
05-01 21:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xdbb8c4…
05-01 21:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0xa2c2ec…
05-01 21:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xa7aa5a…
04-28 04:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x98ecff…
04-28 02:49:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4c1d05…
04-28 01:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7777b3…
04-28 00:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x3d1fd8…
04-28 00:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x861ae8…
04-27 15:24:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	247	3¢	$7	0x1f6e62…
04-27 14:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbcf13f…
04-27 13:37:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0xe1ba37…
04-27 12:36:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	271	2¢	$4	0xf7e576…
04-27 12:03:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0x876222…
04-27 12:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8d02d7…
04-27 12:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x14cf28…
04-27 05:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0xb792e8…
04-27 04:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1445c5…
04-27 03:25:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x75721c…
04-27 03:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xb21e33…
04-27 03:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x13ec28…
04-27 01:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xa554b6…
04-26 07:57:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x492d58…
04-26 07:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xb1fb9b…
04-26 07:41:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x05f006…
04-25 22:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xd195c1…
04-25 22:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x1d9f9e…
04-25 22:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x7df18b…
04-23 20:33:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x53d043…
04-23 20:18:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xd556ec…
04-23 20:18:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	Yes	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0x201476…
04-23 20:18:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	No	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x257011…
04-23 20:18:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	275	2¢	$4	0x8820a8…
04-23 20:18:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0x65f5d7…
04-23 20:18:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe53684…
04-23 20:18:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb4c60d…
04-23 20:13:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xc7bdcd…
04-23 20:13:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x25a7ba…
04-23 20:13:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb3dfc6…
04-07 22:17:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	51,706	35¢	$17,920	0xce5877…
04-07 21:16:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	10,818	25¢	$2,699	0x19469b…
04-07 19:22:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,688	6¢	$100	0xc9af50…
04-07 19:03:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,128	5¢	$100	0x037f9b…
04-07 19:02:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,185	5¢	$100	0x66cd96…
04-07 19:01:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,129	5¢	$100	0xdc9648…
04-07 16:48:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,852	5¢	$100	0x36a100…
04-07 16:44:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,672	6¢	$100	0x22a2ae…