Puzzling-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$339

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-11 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$16	23	7	+16	Down	$-14	05-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$10	15	10	+5	open	—	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Up	$-4	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-06 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-05 19:58
btc updown 5m 1777021800	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-24 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0379b5…
05-10 15:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb09472…
05-09 16:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe97837…
05-09 13:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb8478c…
05-09 07:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1c2dce…
05-09 07:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x71c63b…
05-06 05:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x1d3b46…
05-06 05:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x60bc30…
05-06 05:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x706608…
05-06 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x007f82…
05-06 04:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8494dc…
05-06 04:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x07b49a…
05-06 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf96f5d…
05-06 04:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ff041…
05-06 04:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3616aa…
05-06 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xebc0a1…
05-06 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x370581…
05-06 03:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xed45a1…
05-06 03:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x476b97…
05-06 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x80f145…
05-06 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x134399…
05-06 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xb265d0…
05-06 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x45fdef…
05-05 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x89c38e…
05-05 20:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x135de2…
05-05 19:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x926806…
05-05 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xc7c15b…
05-05 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x02d82d…
05-05 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xc8a6ae…
05-05 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa812d9…
05-05 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x4bc89f…
05-05 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x377f25…
05-05 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x01a1d2…
05-05 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x97233a…
05-05 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe2985d…
05-05 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xb808ad…
05-05 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x052f42…
05-05 14:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xa6c636…
05-05 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x800402…
05-05 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4c15e7…
05-05 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xfb26f6…
05-05 05:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x81dcef…
05-04 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbbf5f1…
05-04 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5ea7c6…
05-04 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x73a7c0…
05-04 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe64c03…
05-04 16:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xad7463…
05-04 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe47c8b…
05-04 15:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe3d35b…
05-04 15:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x9480b1…
05-04 15:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x979416…
05-04 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x3e56ba…
05-04 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x19a7f4…
05-04 11:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x022696…
05-04 11:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd6fb70…
05-04 10:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x4831dc…
05-04 10:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1ab92e…
05-04 10:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcb490b…
05-04 10:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x08a945…
05-04 10:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x004cdc…
05-04 08:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf9d02b…
05-04 08:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2760ac…
05-04 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xab2253…
05-04 03:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x54c9b7…
05-04 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf1ad1…
05-03 14:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa9070a…
05-03 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcbd44f…
05-03 14:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xaf1674…
05-03 14:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7b8231…
05-03 14:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbbab23…
05-03 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa40e41…
05-03 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x07f928…
05-03 14:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x3e1224…
05-03 14:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb732d0…
05-03 13:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa83cfc…
05-03 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x27d588…
05-03 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfbc9f7…
05-03 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa32270…
05-03 12:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x11fcef…
05-03 12:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe2de83…
05-03 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xba1b78…
04-28 08:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe85e0e…
04-28 07:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x79afe2…
04-28 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b1a9f…
04-27 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x846a36…
04-27 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3a2aa7…
04-27 06:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5ed061…
04-27 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x64092d…
04-27 05:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10ef25…
04-26 06:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x57979e…
04-25 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8ef4f0…
04-25 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc18227…
04-25 11:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x868505…
04-25 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x226f35…
04-24 10:39:22	btc updown 5m 1777026900	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a42cd…
04-24 10:14:42	btc updown 5m 1777025400	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd1e1a8…
04-24 10:14:42	btc updown 5m 1777025400	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc39dfd…
04-24 10:09:22	btc updown 5m 1777025100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa653a3…
04-24 09:29:22	btc updown 5m 1777022700	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x286aa6…
04-24 09:14:34	btc updown 5m 1777021800	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57bbd7…