Handsome-Motorboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,984

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-05 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$6

Other

35% 80% +$11

Crypto

14% 100% +$3

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by April 30?	78	$722	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	04-26 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	59	$579	1,156	1,090	+65	open	—	03-27 17:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	51	$403	584	522	+63	open	—	05-12 07:31
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	46	$385	469	457	+13	open	—	04-06 11:16
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	43	$383	416	416	+0	open	—	04-04 14:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	35	$379	498	428	+71	open	—	03-26 19:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	40	$364	438	438	+0	open	—	03-29 16:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	37	$361	774	774	+0	open	—	03-28 06:36
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	28	$332	707	694	+13	open	—	03-27 18:23
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	36	$321	445	445	+0	open	—	04-28 18:51
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	40	$313	864	864	+0	open	—	03-19 15:19
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	37	$303	359	359	+0	open	—	04-25 23:04
iran leadership change by march 31	26	$299	670	665	+5	open	—	03-25 15:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	27	$290	328	307	+21	open	—	03-27 09:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	24	$289	479	479	+0	open	—	03-26 07:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	39	$285	164	164	+0	open	—	04-22 23:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	23	$266	719	683	+37	open	—	03-27 20:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	35	$263	552	497	+54	open	—	04-25 15:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	28	$261	393	393	+0	open	—	03-18 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	22	$257	575	588	-13	open	—	03-23 17:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	56	$256	334	334	+0	open	—	04-19 13:16
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	23	$252	395	395	+0	open	—	03-16 23:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	26	$251	270	224	+46	open	—	07-25 04:49
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	22	$249	978	949	+29	open	—	03-26 20:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	28	$247	745	745	+0	open	—	03-27 11:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	30	$246	520	520	+0	open	—	04-24 12:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	29	$245	304	284	+20	open	—	08-02 02:20
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	20	$224	119	119	+0	open	—	03-29 02:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	28	$219	114	114	+0	open	—	04-20 22:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	20	$218	276	276	+0	open	—	03-18 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 19:24:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe77d33…
08-05 18:04:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	79	12¢	$9	0xcaa52d…
08-05 17:54:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x13963a…
08-05 07:18:41	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	66¢	$10	0xd1737b…
08-04 21:30:47	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x3d6be0…
08-04 19:20:03	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0xddd93c…
08-04 15:29:54	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xfb5a9f…
08-04 15:18:42	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x973bdb…
08-04 14:53:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xf0ef49…
08-04 14:04:08	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x766d4c…
08-04 13:24:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x5cda12…
08-04 11:47:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x69f291…
08-04 09:43:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	96	12¢	$12	0xc2d6b8…
08-04 09:12:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xdc7cad…
08-04 08:35:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xfac180…
08-04 07:26:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xae22a3…
08-04 02:42:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xd4025a…
08-04 02:09:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x640ad6…
08-04 01:08:59	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xa8e9e9…
08-04 00:54:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x07a16c…
08-04 00:50:50	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xd6b79f…
08-04 00:12:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x1cf8c6…
08-04 00:02:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x38f4f9…
08-03 20:29:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	10	77¢	$7	0x83834d…
08-03 20:26:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x15829e…
08-03 14:48:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x07ffeb…
08-03 10:59:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x4379d8…
08-03 10:56:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x505ee4…
08-02 23:54:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x170345…
08-02 23:23:26	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x292c45…
08-02 22:28:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xf0df01…
08-02 22:08:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4ac5f4…
08-02 20:27:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x5e78d2…
08-02 19:56:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0xa50e1f…
08-02 19:09:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x788ee6…
08-02 10:17:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x680ffd…
08-02 07:43:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x478de4…
08-02 07:33:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xc2105b…
08-02 07:28:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xfcb437…
08-02 07:28:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x94fb67…
08-02 06:20:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x770f40…
08-02 05:16:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xa71846…
08-02 04:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb40725…
08-02 04:23:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	31	34¢	$10	0xa4c91b…
08-02 04:00:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x05f6f3…
08-02 04:00:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x35c630…
08-02 03:56:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xa3d470…
08-02 03:16:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x015530…
08-02 03:07:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xc33f9c…
08-02 03:00:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x9bec86…
08-02 02:57:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe079f8…
08-02 02:46:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x0232ef…
08-02 02:46:48	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xa80e8d…
08-02 02:46:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0x53bb37…
08-02 02:22:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x1d9561…
08-02 02:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x8397b2…
08-02 02:18:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x93ab7b…
08-02 01:27:41	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfd75ca…
08-02 00:10:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0x2aab6e…
08-01 23:54:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x576f36…
08-01 22:18:39	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xbd2435…
08-01 22:05:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x2b7128…
08-01 21:49:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xac24c6…
08-01 21:34:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf35f06…
08-01 21:33:41	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x30560d…
08-01 21:31:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x5f1c9f…
08-01 19:31:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x68d738…
08-01 17:42:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x90f6c8…
08-01 17:22:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x516748…
08-01 17:17:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x637167…
08-01 17:05:02	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x843339…
08-01 03:50:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xd72cbd…
08-01 03:15:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x159474…
08-01 00:20:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x0e9263…
07-31 22:42:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x5c58e4…
07-31 22:37:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x277f57…
07-31 22:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x4980ca…
07-31 20:59:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x9eb232…
07-31 14:36:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xedfd88…
07-31 12:37:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xe75a0a…
07-31 07:37:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x943945…
07-31 05:41:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0xb3da1b…
07-31 03:14:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xcfd2d3…
07-30 18:19:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x6bf15f…
07-29 23:56:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x09d936…
07-29 23:15:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x1dae58…
07-29 19:14:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0xaba700…
07-29 16:21:50	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x4da1e9…
07-29 15:13:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x48bf93…
07-29 14:10:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x68b5bf…
07-28 23:07:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xb4345c…
07-28 22:41:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xe90b0e…
07-28 22:33:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x51d626…
07-28 22:33:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xae22b4…
07-28 22:33:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x7a48b2…
07-27 15:29:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x80b185…
07-27 15:29:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xe74fb1…
07-27 15:26:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0x7bf835…
07-27 15:10:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xae8fb3…
07-27 15:07:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xf2a60f…