Handsome-Motorboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,483

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-08 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$6

Other

35% 80% +$11

Crypto

14% 100% +$3

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	76¢	$0	+$0	06-08 00:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by April 30?	78	$722	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	04-26 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	59	$579	1,156	1,090	+65	open	—	03-27 17:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	51	$403	584	522	+63	open	—	05-12 07:31
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	46	$385	469	457	+13	open	—	04-06 11:16
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	43	$383	416	416	+0	open	—	04-04 14:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	35	$379	498	428	+71	open	—	03-26 19:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	40	$364	438	438	+0	open	—	03-29 16:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	37	$361	774	774	+0	open	—	03-28 06:36
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	28	$332	707	694	+13	open	—	03-27 18:23
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	36	$321	445	445	+0	open	—	04-28 18:51
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	40	$313	864	864	+0	open	—	03-19 15:19
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	37	$303	359	359	+0	open	—	04-25 23:04
iran leadership change by march 31	26	$299	670	665	+5	open	—	03-25 15:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	27	$290	328	307	+21	open	—	03-27 09:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	24	$289	479	479	+0	open	—	03-26 07:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	39	$285	164	164	+0	open	—	04-22 23:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	23	$266	719	683	+37	open	—	03-27 20:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	35	$263	552	497	+54	open	—	04-25 15:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	28	$261	393	393	+0	open	—	03-18 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	22	$257	575	588	-13	open	—	03-23 17:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	56	$256	334	334	+0	open	—	04-19 13:16
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	23	$252	395	395	+0	open	—	03-16 23:01
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	22	$249	978	949	+29	open	—	03-26 20:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	28	$247	745	745	+0	open	—	03-27 11:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	30	$246	520	520	+0	open	—	04-24 12:20
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	20	$224	119	119	+0	open	—	03-29 02:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	28	$219	114	114	+0	open	—	04-20 22:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	20	$218	276	276	+0	open	—	03-18 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	17	$218	119	109	+9	open	—	03-19 20:16
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	21	$217	296	271	+25	open	—	03-16 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:37:25	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x886567…
06-08 05:33:25	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa1774d…
06-08 04:47:25	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x904c34…
06-08 00:04:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x75cc9c…
06-06 22:42:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xeade0e…
06-01 05:58:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x38b8f0…
05-31 02:08:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x9233a3…
05-30 04:25:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x830653…
05-28 13:57:00	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x3b9c6f…
05-27 21:38:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$0	0xa5799a…
05-27 07:56:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0xd417c4…
05-24 19:35:47	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x644bd0…
05-24 15:42:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xb6376a…
05-24 13:13:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x5fbaa1…
05-24 11:26:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x0ab51d…
05-24 11:20:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5ae6bb…
05-24 09:13:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4e56ee…
05-24 06:52:13	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x43130e…
05-24 06:32:02	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xbfe565…
05-24 01:11:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfcc3cf…
05-23 23:21:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0x87b828…
05-23 21:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x6d81bd…
05-23 21:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf7eea8…
05-23 20:41:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xceb365…
05-23 17:11:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x68b7d5…
05-23 15:36:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x0c30b3…
05-23 14:47:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x3ba2de…
05-23 14:19:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3eacb2…
05-23 07:54:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x645216…
05-23 06:40:29	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xab5d13…
05-22 19:30:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd9bcf0…
05-22 12:22:28	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xba792f…
05-21 22:47:21	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x205389…
05-21 19:51:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8c562b…
05-21 19:00:51	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xab8f21…
05-21 18:49:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x7a885b…
05-21 18:29:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x18eb35…
05-21 17:17:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x9ecad8…
05-21 17:17:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x469dfa…
05-21 10:58:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x67fb3c…
05-21 10:12:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xd762c1…
05-21 03:23:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x63f9c0…
05-21 01:38:29	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0xf307ea…
05-21 01:36:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x23c2b5…
05-21 01:31:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe93f3b…
05-21 01:19:42	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xd96f17…
05-21 01:15:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x8bf42a…
05-21 00:32:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb7d76c…
05-20 22:32:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x4ebfda…
05-20 22:18:19	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x19a7cd…
05-20 22:08:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$10	0xc1ffb9…
05-20 20:48:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xc4f506…
05-20 17:33:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x81a12e…
05-20 17:20:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x8b323c…
05-19 22:33:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x6a20da…
05-19 22:11:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xbe3a4e…
05-18 19:30:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x8ee6b4…
05-18 19:29:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf6c750…
05-18 18:14:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5b0673…
05-18 16:12:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x79b952…
05-18 07:32:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x3650a8…
05-17 06:44:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6516fc…
05-17 05:27:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x5231c6…
05-17 05:19:09	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x19552c…
05-17 04:27:00	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xf4ee45…
05-17 04:05:08	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x13fb09…
05-17 04:03:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x5d5bce…
05-17 00:55:54	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x8560f2…
05-17 00:34:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x259882…
05-16 23:46:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xbd6671…
05-16 23:04:53	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x688b76…
05-16 22:19:28	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x93b2f2…
05-16 18:02:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x1bd498…
05-16 10:38:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc32a58…
05-16 04:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x97774f…
05-16 02:21:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x1f7843…
05-16 01:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x3096ee…
05-15 22:02:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x2bc7b1…
05-15 21:03:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	24	39¢	$10	0xfce6da…
05-15 20:46:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x718b73…
05-15 20:44:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x295839…
05-15 20:18:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x845f56…
05-15 18:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x3aa19c…
05-15 18:18:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x328b89…
05-15 15:51:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	23	42¢	$9	0xd311f2…
05-15 12:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xcfff05…
05-15 10:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xf970b8…
05-15 09:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x7a0eeb…
05-15 08:38:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x1ee408…
05-15 08:36:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xb5772d…
05-15 05:50:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xa735a8…
05-15 03:00:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x0aba45…
05-15 02:59:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xbd4097…
05-15 02:55:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xfc48c1…
05-15 02:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x012dc3…
05-15 02:51:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x3549fc…
05-15 02:07:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x831233…
05-15 01:46:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7a0f71…
05-14 16:37:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x92aa48…
05-14 16:21:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xe55ba1…