Real-Nit-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$562

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-562

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$1.1K	745	745	+0	Down	+$293	05-12 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$839	760	760	+0	Down	+$39	05-12 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$695	805	805	+0	Down	$-105	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$600	408	408	+0	Down	+$200	05-12 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$491	464	343	+121	Down	$-109	05-13 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$485	469	469	+0	Down	+$25	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$474	1,808	358	+1,450	Up	$-126	05-12 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$466	507	507	+0	Down	+$66	05-12 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$416	237	237	+0	Down	+$16	05-12 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$388	354	354	+0	Down	$-12	05-12 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$310	345	208	+137	Up	+$60	05-12 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$300	508	0	+508	Up	$-300	05-12 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$289	263	263	+0	Up	+$89	05-12 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$285	187	187	+0	Up	+$75	05-12 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$279	416	416	+0	Up	$-121	05-12 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$269	192	192	+0	Up	+$69	05-12 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$264	205	205	+0	Down	+$64	05-12 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$257	185	185	+0	Up	+$57	05-12 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$251	153	153	+0	Up	+$51	05-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$216	149	149	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$213	153	153	+0	Up	+$80	05-13 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$204	118	118	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$200	382	0	+382	Up	$-200	05-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$200	462	0	+462	Up	$-200	05-12 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$200	429	0	+429	Up	$-200	05-12 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$198	200	200	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$196	174	174	+0	Down	$-4	05-12 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$163	129	129	+0	Up	+$63	05-12 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$162	133	133	+0	Down	+$42	05-13 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$160	1,162	192	+970	Down	$-140	05-12 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x328b33…
05-13 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xeb0cd8…
05-13 18:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8bbee9…
05-13 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x77defe…
05-13 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xa5af49…
05-13 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0x07a82c…
05-13 18:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xc3ddb6…
05-13 17:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	47	61¢	$29	0x7a49a6…
05-13 17:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x74b3d5…
05-13 17:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	61¢	$29	0x3ada66…
05-13 17:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xa1604c…
05-13 17:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x418443…
05-13 17:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x637ddd…
05-13 17:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0x948bcd…
05-13 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0xe0904a…
05-13 17:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x582e86…
05-13 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x3dfae7…
05-13 17:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xb882fc…
05-13 17:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	172	66¢	$114	0x43f797…
05-13 17:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x48e513…
05-13 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	171	45¢	$77	0x63fe20…
05-13 17:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x38d26b…
05-13 17:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x90a922…
05-13 17:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xe4acfa…
05-13 17:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xc80a6f…
05-13 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x715642…
05-13 17:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x31d50f…
05-13 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0x790633…
05-13 05:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x741eba…
05-13 00:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	91	87¢	$79	0x64affc…
05-13 00:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	60¢	$55	0x945437…
05-13 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0xf119cc…
05-13 00:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	175	26¢	$46	0x7d8629…
05-13 00:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	194	36¢	$70	0xeb8d04…
05-13 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	83	87¢	$73	0xd60853…
05-13 00:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xf1d56b…
05-13 00:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	49	60¢	$30	0x5ff509…
05-13 00:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x541273…
05-13 00:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xb7b169…
05-13 00:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x170baf…
05-13 00:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xe21b77…
05-13 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd86c3a…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	419	13¢	$53	0xfdf9be…
05-13 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x12a6d1…
05-13 00:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x0245cb…
05-13 00:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	386	63¢	$241	0x7a1201…
05-13 00:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0x49e5fd…
05-13 00:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	149	78¢	$116	0xcc5626…
05-13 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x710bac…
05-12 23:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	263	72¢	$189	0x87308f…
05-12 23:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xcb0907…
05-12 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x4ba100…
05-12 23:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	65	29¢	$19	0xd8231f…
05-12 23:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	328	17¢	$55	0x8788fc…
05-12 23:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0xbc761b…
05-12 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	507	52¢	$266	0x1bd496…
05-12 23:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	507	39¢	$200	0xa41d1c…
05-12 23:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0xf7603a…
05-12 23:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x42683f…
05-12 23:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	208	67¢	$139	0x32551e…
05-12 23:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x10b47b…
05-12 23:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	411	45¢	$184	0xae6a5f…
05-12 23:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x29482c…
05-12 23:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x732d15…
05-12 23:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	205	80¢	$164	0x54fe52…
05-12 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x3088da…
05-12 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5f6aa9…
05-12 23:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,271	7¢	$86	0x27c19e…
05-12 23:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	179	8¢	$14	0x161cc4…
05-12 23:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	147	93¢	$136	0x8097b1…
05-12 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x61d0c5…
05-12 23:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	211	18¢	$38	0x9ea3f8…
05-12 23:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x9488ba…
05-12 23:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	78	98¢	$77	0xdaab7c…
05-12 23:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x58651a…
05-12 23:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0xf647d3…
05-12 23:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xd4d958…
05-12 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe07791…
05-12 22:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x945f66…
05-12 22:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x4582d6…
05-12 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x132d15…
05-12 22:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0xfc6c8b…
05-12 22:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0c12ec…
05-12 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x036200…
05-12 22:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x0bb494…
05-12 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe9a8b1…
05-12 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x52e6b4…
05-12 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x174d66…
05-12 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x93cbda…
05-12 22:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6209da…
05-12 22:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0e6215…
05-12 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x35635d…
05-12 22:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a36ac…
05-12 22:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0xe3abe7…
05-12 22:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x6b4467…
05-12 22:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x0cd4db…
05-12 22:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x641bf6…
05-12 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x356186…
05-12 22:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb318a8…
05-12 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xc0693e…