Waterlogged-Repayment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 15% $-9

Other

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	7	$8	17	11	+6	Down	$-0	05-12 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	4	$4	45	3	+42	Down	$-3	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-15 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$3	6	4	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 14:44
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	2	$2	2	1	+1	Team Nemesis	+$1	05-06 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$1	33	33	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-12 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	$-1	05-11 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-11 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 14:24
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb98c0…
05-15 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6bbf7c…
05-15 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4ec8b7…
05-15 09:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbb52a3…
05-12 14:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb47f5b…
05-12 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xaf99fd…
05-12 14:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3081bf…
05-12 14:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd43f5d…
05-12 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7eb6d0…
05-12 09:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x64219b…
05-12 09:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x3f18da…
05-12 09:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x026716…
05-12 09:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x353a0e…
05-12 09:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x237126…
05-12 09:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5af8a7…
05-12 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6689b6…
05-12 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd83c05…
05-11 21:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3406c0…
05-11 16:41:21	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9c82c8…
05-11 14:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x805102…
05-11 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x45a04b…
05-11 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0a0238…
05-11 14:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x76c3ed…
05-11 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x06f881…
05-11 05:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe5244e…
05-06 14:52:55	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Team Nemesis	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x0e6b0d…
05-06 14:52:27	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x353e01…
05-06 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x824054…
05-06 07:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7ef445…
05-06 07:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x3d86f7…
05-06 07:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5ddf8…
05-06 05:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6fa0a…
05-06 05:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca52e6…