Mature-Pulley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-08 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$5

Politics

30% — —

Other

13% 100% +$13

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781856900	3	$236	1,812	1,812	+0	open	—	06-19 08:18
btc updown 5m 1782263400	3	$193	155	125	+30	open	—	06-24 01:13
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	03-05 18:18
btc updown 5m 1782263100	1	$100	150	0	+150	open	—	06-24 01:09
btc updown 5m 1772735100	2	$81	63	62	+1	open	—	03-05 18:30
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	2	$79	59	59	+0	open	—	02-28 07:37
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$74	45	45	+0	open	—	06-08 15:33
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$73	44	44	+0	Yes	+$13	05-12 09:59
btc updown 5m 1782022200	2	$66	41	41	+0	open	—	06-21 06:15
btc updown 5m 1782265800	2	$64	83	83	+0	open	—	06-24 01:52
btc updown 5m 1772899200	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	03-07 16:05
btc updown 5m 1782297900	3	$58	36	36	+0	open	—	06-24 10:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$58	48	48	+0	open	—	03-02 01:07
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	2	$56	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 19:45
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	2	$47	37	37	+0	open	—	02-24 18:39
btc updown 5m 1772030100	3	$43	122	22	+100	open	—	02-25 14:39
btc updown 5m 1782257100	2	$32	68	68	+0	open	—	06-23 23:28
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	2	$30	93	0	+93	open	—	03-17 15:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$30	80	80	+0	open	—	04-19 14:21
btc updown 5m 1776608100	2	$29	22	21	+1	open	—	04-19 14:18
btc updown 5m 1782149700	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	06-22 17:38
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$25	197	0	+197	open	—	03-07 07:51
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$24	190	190	+0	open	—	03-05 09:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$23	71	0	+71	open	—	03-03 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 09:50
will israel strike lebanon on february 24 2026	2	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	02-24 13:10
will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-24 10:04
btc updown 5m 1772122200	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	02-26 16:15
btc updown 5m 1773334200	2	$15	45	45	+0	open	—	03-12 16:54
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$14	38	38	+0	open	—	03-04 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 13:16:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x7c73f7…
07-03 12:23:26	btc updown 5m 1783081200	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa5065b…
07-03 12:20:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	428	1¢	$5	0x71e15a…
06-29 00:22:41	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x26ac43…
06-26 07:18:04	btc updown 5m 1782458100	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x206753…
06-26 07:16:25	btc updown 5m 1782458100	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x912c0a…
06-24 10:48:16	btc updown 5m 1782297900	Down	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0xcdc221…
06-24 10:48:16	btc updown 5m 1782297900	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x830d53…
06-24 10:46:19	btc updown 5m 1782297900	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x7a15f4…
06-24 10:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782297600	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xaf5e92…
06-24 01:52:47	btc updown 5m 1782265800	Down	SELL	83	46¢	$39	0xbef2c3…
06-24 01:52:07	btc updown 5m 1782265800	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xbf3da2…
06-24 01:16:46	btc updown 5m 1782263700	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5ed34a…
06-24 01:13:59	btc updown 5m 1782263400	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x0dbb07…
06-24 01:13:31	btc updown 5m 1782263400	Up	SELL	125	66¢	$82	0x1eaf8e…
06-24 01:12:32	btc updown 5m 1782263400	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xb73b5e…
06-24 01:09:10	btc updown 5m 1782263100	Down	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x0d3bbc…
06-24 00:42:01	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 2pt5	Croatia	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x7bd616…
06-24 00:41:29	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 2pt5	Croatia	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9aeeb8…
06-23 23:28:56	btc updown 5m 1782257100	Down	SELL	68	11¢	$7	0x9e56b6…
06-23 23:27:52	btc updown 5m 1782257100	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x6b65a1…
06-23 23:22:25	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 2pt5	Croatia	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc7220f…
06-22 17:38:04	btc updown 5m 1782149700	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x1e9fa2…
06-21 06:15:20	btc updown 5m 1782022200	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0b2312…
06-21 06:13:47	btc updown 5m 1782022200	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x10eca5…
06-19 08:18:22	btc updown 5m 1781856900	Up	SELL	1,545	8¢	$117	0x71c7ad…
06-19 08:18:22	btc updown 5m 1781856900	Up	SELL	267	7¢	$19	0x082d6b…
06-19 08:18:11	btc updown 5m 1781856900	Up	BUY	1,812	6¢	$100	0xc520dc…
06-18 05:27:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x1ee55d…
06-16 18:54:32	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb8ec70…
06-16 18:53:49	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x829117…
06-15 21:11:18	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe06186…
06-11 17:18:30	btc updown 5m 1781198100	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x94a191…
06-11 11:12:55	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x555572…
06-08 15:33:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0xaa52cc…
06-08 15:28:18	will ghana reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134514	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x24d012…
06-08 06:05:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8f9d16…
06-08 06:03:31	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x4b1591…
05-24 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf638d2…
05-24 17:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x33974a…
05-24 17:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x009386…
05-24 17:17:54	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x7a5fdd…
05-23 08:50:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x28352b…
05-22 15:45:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x7783a4…
05-14 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0xc2a7c6…
05-14 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc09927…
05-12 09:59:57	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xf42c65…
05-12 05:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x6e2d2a…
05-12 05:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xadbcac…
05-07 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x630f7d…
05-07 09:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x46085d…
04-22 06:26:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x58b325…
04-19 14:21:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x60fd50…
04-19 14:19:54	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x1afc76…
04-19 14:18:54	btc updown 5m 1776608100	Up	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x2f4abf…
04-19 14:16:08	btc updown 5m 1776608100	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa8e9fc…
04-19 14:14:14	btc updown 5m 1776607800	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x261349…
04-19 14:12:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xf7168c…
04-18 11:08:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x7d234e…
04-12 12:19:35	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x67de5a…
04-12 12:17:31	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x15972a…
03-27 06:37:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf17f6a…
03-23 21:52:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0a1074…
03-20 19:07:15	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93e16b…
03-20 19:07:11	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 40 64	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x957a13…
03-17 15:07:15	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xbef836…
03-12 16:54:45	btc updown 5m 1773334200	Up	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x1c5a56…
03-12 16:52:51	btc updown 5m 1773334200	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4a2059…
03-10 15:57:39	btc updown 5m 1773158100	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x34ff9b…
03-10 15:01:47	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe44b9d…
03-10 08:42:09	btc updown 5m 1773132000	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1be74d…
03-09 17:10:05	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc02b1d…
03-07 17:59:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x0c4f12…
03-07 17:44:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	242	2¢	$5	0x37d066…
03-07 16:05:17	btc updown 5m 1772899200	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x08bbc4…
03-07 16:02:01	btc updown 5m 1772899200	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2d113d…
03-07 07:51:23	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xefcb28…
03-05 18:32:59	btc updown 5m 1772735400	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe2606c…
03-05 18:30:41	btc updown 5m 1772735100	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xee8f32…
03-05 18:28:27	btc updown 5m 1772735100	Down	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x717a14…
03-05 18:18:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	82¢	$51	0xc8edfb…
03-05 12:26:55	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0xcc015d…
03-05 12:20:59	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x735b3c…
03-05 09:13:27	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	190	10¢	$19	0xaa29f4…
03-05 08:45:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd9958d…
03-05 08:40:25	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9e060d…
03-05 07:04:35	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0x0b1c80…
03-04 14:42:53	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	38	24¢	$9	0xcde05d…
03-03 21:12:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x0aa7e7…
03-03 14:13:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xe47fcb…
03-02 08:43:25	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdd2dde…
03-02 08:41:59	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x843d64…
03-02 01:07:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc38f94…
03-02 01:04:45	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	SELL	114	3¢	$3	0x77b824…
03-02 01:03:17	will israel strike gaza on march 1 2026	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x2eeeca…
03-01 22:02:53	btc updown 5m 1772402400	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x39dfd1…
03-01 21:51:55	btc updown 5m 1772401800	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7aada7…
03-01 21:30:21	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8392a6…
02-28 22:06:07	houthi strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xc2e17c…
02-28 20:36:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8916b6…