Unusual-Moonlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-07 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-48

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	9	$426	879	879	+0	open	—	05-07 13:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$408	325	325	+0	open	—	05-07 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$293	256	256	+0	Up	+$53	05-05 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$238	134	134	+0	Up	+$28	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$162	133	133	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 12:12
btc updown 5m 1774592700	9	$127	132	131	+1	open	—	03-27 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$126	148	56	+92	Up	$-15	05-05 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$118	177	98	+78	open	—	05-03 18:19
btc updown 5m 1774593000	5	$110	139	137	+2	open	—	03-27 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	9	$89	154	83	+71	Up	$-29	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$85	127	43	+84	Up	$-30	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$66	43	43	+0	Up	+$6	05-04 20:09
btc updown 5m 1774593900	10	$54	70	70	+0	open	—	03-27 06:49
btc updown 5m 1774592400	5	$51	54	17	+37	open	—	03-27 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	5	$51	36	36	+0	Down	+$11	05-04 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$51	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 18:27
btc updown 5m 1774593300	5	$49	57	40	+17	open	—	03-27 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$49	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$49	63	27	+36	Down	$-1	05-06 07:35
btc updown 5m 1774596900	8	$48	151	26	+125	open	—	03-27 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$47	47	47	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$47	54	42	+12	open	—	05-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$45	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$35	73	0	+73	Up	$-35	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$35	55	0	+55	Up	$-35	05-05 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$35	51	0	+51	open	—	05-03 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$34	78	0	+78	open	—	05-03 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$32	32	32	+0	Down	$-8	05-06 07:44
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-27 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:44:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	94	56¢	$53	0x1c60e5…
05-07 13:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	261	21¢	$55	0xacd4d1…
05-06 07:44:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x1231ee…
05-06 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x866dab…
05-06 07:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x022b26…
05-06 07:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd2877e…
05-06 07:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb79b5f…
05-06 07:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x9ffe2d…
05-06 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7dd431…
05-06 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xb76da1…
05-06 07:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x93ac5e…
05-06 07:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x02b38c…
05-06 07:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7a588e…
05-06 07:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb12e1c…
05-06 07:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x89e16b…
05-06 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xd537b3…
05-06 07:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x2d86b8…
05-06 07:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x34996e…
05-06 07:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xa36e5d…
05-06 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xf4538a…
05-06 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xc5359f…
05-06 07:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x156eb4…
05-06 07:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0ce1e6…
05-06 07:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0x943977…
05-06 07:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x8cf246…
05-06 07:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x33803e…
05-06 07:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7c509f…
05-06 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1c80d0…
05-06 07:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1779f5…
05-06 07:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xbb71b7…
05-06 07:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5912fd…
05-06 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x04d3f3…
05-06 07:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	86¢	$64	0x835cff…
05-06 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x159b71…
05-06 07:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xad8b66…
05-06 07:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf68be2…
05-06 07:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5696c4…
05-06 07:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9ee523…
05-06 07:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1f96c0…
05-06 07:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x31f0ae…
05-06 07:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb4d0bf…
05-06 07:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xadde9e…
05-06 07:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x35ac5f…
05-06 07:03:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x4a8912…
05-06 07:03:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x46ba94…
05-05 22:52:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x6cf3ad…
05-05 22:52:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x04a24e…
05-05 22:52:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6709f0…
05-05 22:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x769011…
05-05 22:51:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x1e0eea…
05-05 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	64¢	$28	0x0d489a…
05-05 22:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xb1e541…
05-05 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xf1242a…
05-05 22:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xbeaded…
05-05 22:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x95ca79…
05-05 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x94a191…
05-05 22:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x717a75…
05-05 22:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x10c18c…
05-05 22:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xbe030a…
05-05 22:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x3661c7…
05-05 22:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1da34d…
05-05 22:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf07548…
05-05 22:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd20d43…
05-05 22:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xade69c…
05-05 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3eb318…
05-05 22:39:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	231	64¢	$148	0xaf50cf…
05-05 12:15:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	231	64¢	$148	0x9d11e8…
05-05 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0xbffdea…
05-05 12:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0x794b43…
05-05 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdbb593…
05-05 12:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf757e1…
05-05 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x417686…
05-05 12:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xb09b4b…
05-05 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x308d47…
05-05 12:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x16674a…
05-05 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x08b364…
05-05 12:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x0b145d…
05-05 12:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xf42d55…
05-05 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x104ab9…
05-05 11:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x16c937…
05-05 11:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xb9dc82…
05-05 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x35a5c5…
05-05 11:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	156	57¢	$89	0xa8cc8f…
05-05 11:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0xe26faf…
05-05 11:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3b445b…
05-05 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x113009…
05-05 11:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb68e95…
05-05 11:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9dfbaf…
05-05 11:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x4381e9…
05-05 11:21:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	617	24¢	$148	0xf6baf4…
05-05 10:47:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xbd07b5…
05-04 23:49:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x099d98…
05-04 23:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	36	84¢	$31	0xb446dc…
05-04 23:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3d1258…
05-04 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf3c27d…
05-04 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7f474a…
05-04 23:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbd0279…
05-04 23:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x99782c…
05-04 20:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0x5c9cc0…
05-04 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x40d7ed…