Extra-Large-Chairman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$518

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-09 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 74% +$518

Tech

20% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$1.3K	630	630	+0	open	—	03-30 12:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	04-22 08:18
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	8	$692	347	347	+0	open	—	03-25 06:53
btc updown 5m 1774739400	5	$683	345	345	+0	open	—	03-28 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	18	$681	644	644	+0	Down	+$152	05-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	3	$579	300	300	+0	Down	+$15	05-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	24	$534	613	613	+0	Up	+$133	05-09 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	21	$521	479	545	-66	Down	+$97	05-08 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	37	$476	400	400	+0	Up	$-8	05-09 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774754100	2	$448	225	225	+0	open	—	03-29 03:19
btc updown 15m 1774785600	4	$301	173	173	+0	open	—	03-29 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$287	400	400	+0	Down	+$103	05-09 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$285	500	0	+500	Down	+$215	05-08 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	1	$270	270	0	+270	Up	+$0	05-08 15:58
btc updown 5m 1774078800	3	$251	335	0	+335	open	—	03-21 07:44
btc updown 5m 1774115700	6	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	03-21 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	14	$230	200	200	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$206	175	175	+0	Down	+$59	05-08 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	35	$198	300	300	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	14	$180	200	0	+200	Up	+$20	05-08 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	3	$161	700	200	+500	Up	+$43	05-09 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	7	$151	188	100	+88	Up	+$9	05-08 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	21	$137	300	300	+0	Down	$-65	05-09 04:25
ethereum up or down on march 6	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	03-06 16:08
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-25 10:34
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$135	136	0	+136	open	—	02-08 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	12	$127	296	296	+0	Down	$-109	05-08 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	27	$123	326	300	+26	Down	$-73	05-09 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	13	$114	300	300	+0	Up	$-90	05-09 12:53
btc updown 5m 1774786500	1	$96	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x4fa9b7…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe96891…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdcbeef…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xc749d5…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xc1a72b…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xabd7b6…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x7384ec…
05-09 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x25b44a…
05-09 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf380e9…
05-09 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcd0c4b…
05-09 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	220	34¢	$75	0xbd42fe…
05-09 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x86dcbd…
05-09 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x1d0911…
05-09 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xf675d2…
05-09 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5e6b70…
05-09 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0x548272…
05-09 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	54¢	$13	0x51e8f9…
05-09 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2ae9cd…
05-09 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x05cca4…
05-09 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4f9b7e…
05-09 12:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xaf65f9…
05-09 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6ad228…
05-09 12:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xa94bee…
05-09 12:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfda572…
05-09 12:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x0a4c28…
05-09 12:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa47f90…
05-09 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xbd9c2e…
05-09 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xf82080…
05-09 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x71b24d…
05-09 12:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6095da…
05-09 12:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x646d7d…
05-09 12:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x24bf7b…
05-09 12:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	420	55¢	$229	0xfed32b…
05-09 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	364	39¢	$143	0xcda389…
05-09 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x184866…
05-09 12:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	21¢	$12	0x61b199…
05-09 12:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	188	23¢	$43	0xdc5519…
05-09 12:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xa08ae4…
05-09 12:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x4af3e0…
05-09 12:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0xdda273…
05-09 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	317	68¢	$215	0x6b5b92…
05-09 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xd72c1c…
05-09 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	48¢	$55	0xde0118…
05-09 11:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x417912…
05-09 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	297	64¢	$188	0x2a245f…
05-09 11:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa76526…
05-09 11:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x9d795e…
05-09 11:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd46bba…
05-09 11:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x9a4baf…
05-09 11:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xe61219…
05-09 11:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xffe401…
05-09 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xfc4df7…
05-09 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x745ae3…
05-09 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x3d5313…
05-09 11:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x64ecc2…
05-09 11:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x089e60…
05-09 11:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x5eab46…
05-09 11:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	173	38¢	$66	0xbc805e…
05-09 11:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	400	49¢	$195	0xfac1e1…
05-09 11:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x9a13aa…
05-09 11:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	286	23¢	$66	0x5b3e63…
05-09 11:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x44f947…
05-09 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcb8527…
05-09 08:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0c6276…
05-09 08:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x26cc6a…
05-09 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd209b5…
05-09 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbe022a…
05-09 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x8b6097…
05-09 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x7c2949…
05-09 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x631fa9…
05-09 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x44feea…
05-09 08:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4e82a6…
05-09 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xabe281…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf7238b…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb37fa8…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xb351c8…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xae525e…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x380430…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x2609cd…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x206663…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x17c643…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x13746d…
05-09 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x12dfd7…
05-09 08:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x560edb…
05-09 08:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x1d1e8e…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd5639c…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xd299df…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xa997c3…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6f976c…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	46	19¢	$9	0x6e9c45…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x573463…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x300289…
05-09 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x278ac3…
05-09 08:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xcb4c80…
05-09 08:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb7c5c9…
05-09 08:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	76¢	$41	0xad8995…
05-09 08:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xffe055…
05-09 08:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6e1d36…
05-09 08:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	188	45¢	$85	0x6c656d…
05-09 07:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xe7f558…