Expensive-Minimalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$387

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,715

lifetime

Volume

$30.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-10 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 25% $-387

Other

14% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	18	$2.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$109	05-10 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	12	$1.7K	1,661	1,661	-0	open	—	04-08 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	26	$1.6K	1,418	1,705	-287	No	$-491	05-11 03:03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	16	$1.3K	2,727	2,727	+0	open	—	05-24 08:58
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	10	$1.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-24 06:55
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	5	$832	800	800	+0	open	—	02-27 12:17
btc updown 15m 1773992700	41	$707	705	499	+206	open	—	03-20 07:59
btc updown 15m 1771908300	16	$496	450	449	+1	open	—	02-24 05:01
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 4am et	10	$474	874	1,200	-326	open	—	03-19 08:48
nba mia phi 2026 02 26 spread home 1pt5	3	$456	300	300	+0	open	—	02-27 02:01
eth updown 15m 1775367000	24	$368	300	298	+2	open	—	04-05 05:45
bitcoin up or down march 7 8am et	5	$342	400	298	+102	open	—	03-07 13:51
eth updown 5m 1775974200	2	$337	311	295	+15	open	—	04-12 06:14
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	5	$329	400	400	+0	open	—	02-27 01:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	40	$299	700	700	+0	open	—	03-23 09:29
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1am et	13	$298	1,011	1,004	+7	open	—	03-26 05:42
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 4am et	14	$290	702	500	+202	open	—	03-26 08:56
btc updown 15m 1774431000	35	$288	294	268	+26	open	—	03-25 09:43
btc updown 15m 1771911900	5	$277	300	300	+0	open	—	02-24 05:47
btc updown 15m 1771922700	15	$269	260	259	+1	open	—	02-24 08:56
btc updown 5m 1775447100	14	$243	200	197	+3	open	—	04-06 03:48
eth updown 15m 1776572100	19	$233	207	200	+7	open	—	04-19 04:20
btc updown 15m 1774251900	28	$227	400	399	+1	open	—	03-23 07:58
btc updown 5m 1776133800	7	$223	231	123	+108	open	—	04-14 02:32
btc updown 5m 1774846500	1	$222	324	0	+324	open	—	03-30 04:58
btc updown 15m 1771915500	9	$204	400	400	+0	open	—	02-24 06:52
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2am et	5	$180	200	197	+3	open	—	03-26 06:03
btc updown 5m 1775451000	8	$180	340	0	+340	open	—	04-06 04:54
btc updown 5m 1775980800	9	$178	130	125	+5	open	—	04-12 08:06
btc updown 5m 1775447700	8	$177	282	244	+38	open	—	04-06 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 13:03:58	wti closes above 73 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	280	19¢	$53	0x5c6994…
07-10 13:00:38	wti closes above 73 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x8cb47a…
07-09 22:48:13	wti closes above 73 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	180	29¢	$52	0xad615c…
07-09 22:45:23	will wti reach 80 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	786	4¢	$31	0xd81e6e…
05-24 08:58:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	894	3¢	$27	0xe2d7d6…
05-24 08:53:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	97	4¢	$4	0x4b6e1c…
05-24 08:43:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x68ccb8…
05-24 08:42:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	726	4¢	$29	0xfca497…
05-24 08:41:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x147f66…
05-24 08:41:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	166	5¢	$8	0xaa1b9b…
05-24 08:41:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	330	5¢	$18	0xba114f…
05-24 08:41:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	163	6¢	$10	0x2ec7a9…
05-24 08:41:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xc6a9a7…
05-24 06:10:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xdadda1…
05-24 05:00:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	202	6¢	$12	0x254ba2…
05-24 04:58:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x85731f…
05-24 04:58:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x94cf6d…
05-24 04:40:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	2,208	43¢	$949	0x99de52…
05-24 04:38:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0xe0d285…
05-24 04:35:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x42a18c…
05-24 04:34:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x7ecd27…
05-24 04:30:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	219	34¢	$75	0xcb49e3…
05-12 06:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xa71e81…
05-12 06:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xa43284…
05-12 06:29:15	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4edda4…
05-11 03:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x2e0261…
05-11 02:58:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0xe0e7f9…
05-11 02:56:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	75	22¢	$16	0x54d195…
05-11 02:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa01394…
05-11 02:34:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	95	21¢	$20	0x0fd5cd…
05-11 02:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1fa4eb…
05-11 02:12:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0c9932…
05-11 02:11:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc42e8a…
05-11 02:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x709677…
05-11 02:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x26943b…
05-11 02:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x4ee3ab…
05-11 02:01:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xa6cbe7…
05-11 00:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x758c66…
05-11 00:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf91a16…
05-11 00:32:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xcea4e4…
05-11 00:32:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x470120…
05-10 23:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	586	37¢	$217	0x1fda1e…
05-10 23:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	495	96¢	$476	0x870cb9…
05-10 23:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x37bf5f…
05-10 23:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	105	96¢	$101	0x99b650…
05-10 15:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	179	79¢	$142	0x94f7fc…
05-10 15:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0xfd5795…
05-10 15:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xa7561e…
05-10 14:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	321	76¢	$244	0x4d66ff…
05-10 14:33:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xa83365…
05-10 14:20:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	388	77¢	$299	0x4f928d…
05-10 14:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xfaec69…
05-10 14:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xfb390e…
05-10 14:16:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x20af44…
05-10 13:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	269	78¢	$210	0x7bf153…
05-10 13:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	713	78¢	$556	0xe8bb17…
05-10 13:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xb7ceb0…
05-10 13:23:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x39605a…
05-10 13:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4de3a4…
05-10 13:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3ad457…
05-10 12:45:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x819904…
05-10 12:43:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x2e4fc0…
05-10 12:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf73b25…
05-10 12:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x6f4f09…
05-10 12:12:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x2572a0…
05-10 12:12:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	94	19¢	$18	0x2572a0…
05-10 12:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	74¢	$111	0xe65e74…
05-10 12:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xe65e74…
05-10 11:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x85b8fa…
05-10 10:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc68b34…
05-10 09:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb280ff…
05-10 09:41:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	95	29¢	$28	0x5ddd36…
05-10 09:38:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x66cca8…
05-10 09:36:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf344a8…
05-02 06:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4fd9ab…
05-02 06:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x63aa1d…
05-02 06:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	21¢	$9	0x190963…
05-02 06:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x00f2a8…
05-02 06:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xc2f86f…
05-02 04:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	17¢	$6	0x90b936…
05-02 04:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x5a1d9a…
05-02 04:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	75	17¢	$13	0x2ae294…
05-02 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x660f32…
05-02 04:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x6c7df7…
05-02 04:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x5e8fe2…
05-02 04:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x0d2454…
05-02 04:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$3	0x0cd404…
05-02 04:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0xb40232…
05-02 04:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xaa2e45…
05-02 04:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xb9d4c3…
05-02 04:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x588769…
05-02 04:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x046340…
05-02 04:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xdae58d…
05-02 04:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x4f88a9…
05-02 04:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0xc66262…
05-02 04:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xf9fd96…
05-02 04:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x8e062c…
05-02 04:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x5861f9…
05-02 04:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x3fd055…
05-02 04:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x1308c3…