Courageous-Affair-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$736

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-05 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 60% +$0

Other

22% 0% $-0

Politics

15% — —

Tech

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	6	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	03-17 12:00
btc updown 5m 1773746400	8	$40	35	35	+1	open	—	03-17 11:24
btc updown 5m 1773747300	4	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 11:37
btc updown 5m 1773746700	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-17 11:29
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	03-17 12:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-26 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$13	0	24	-24	open	—	04-27 08:59
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20 total 157pt5	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-20 18:55
btc updown 5m 1773752100	2	$11	25	25	+0	open	—	03-17 12:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	03-17 13:39
will uae strike iran by march 31	12	$11	31	31	+0	open	—	03-10 17:38
eth updown 5m 1773754800	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-17 13:42
eth updown 5m 1773768600	2	$10	11	10	+0	open	—	03-17 17:30
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 12:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 12:56
btc updown 5m 1773768300	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-17 17:27
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$10	54	54	+0	open	—	03-24 20:55
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$10	42	42	+0	open	—	03-17 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$9	5	14	-10	open	—	04-26 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$8	0	14	-14	open	—	04-27 23:03
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$8	833	833	+0	open	—	03-17 17:31
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	2	$8	54	54	+0	open	—	03-17 18:07
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-20 18:55
btc updown 5m 1775724600	6	$7	13	12	+1	open	—	04-09 08:53
sol updown 5m 1776121200	5	$7	20	13	+8	open	—	04-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$7	0	12	-12	open	—	04-26 22:08
btc updown 5m 1772973300	3	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	03-08 12:36
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	0	12	-12	open	—	04-27 09:42
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 11:35
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	04-28 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 13:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x5946b0…
05-05 13:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xecd2ba…
05-05 13:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x434d91…
05-05 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xc95769…
05-05 08:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xeb890c…
05-05 08:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xdf9d1b…
04-29 12:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdc16f3…
04-29 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x22de32…
04-29 11:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x5ed983…
04-29 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x4e42b8…
04-28 21:31:26	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5c749b…
04-28 20:48:52	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2da1bc…
04-28 20:48:36	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x90e203…
04-28 20:48:24	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xcc5464…
04-28 20:47:56	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3f3cf6…
04-28 20:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7a4720…
04-28 20:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x38f053…
04-28 19:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22d01b…
04-28 19:51:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3bfc91…
04-28 17:54:20	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6b2182…
04-28 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x9497e5…
04-28 14:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd4a1f4…
04-28 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x867df0…
04-28 13:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x64b929…
04-28 13:39:46	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa46c67…
04-28 13:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7e361d…
04-28 13:22:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc10c58…
04-28 13:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x189d65…
04-28 13:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xc4c4fa…
04-28 13:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x071b66…
04-28 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc42927…
04-28 09:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xdecee5…
04-28 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x213ce1…
04-27 23:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x43466c…
04-27 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x93a83a…
04-27 22:59:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91817d…
04-27 22:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2b4963…
04-27 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa9b79b…
04-27 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x8e323f…
04-27 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd62798…
04-27 21:39:48	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x8f5a00…
04-27 21:37:32	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x46fa58…
04-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x37446b…
04-27 19:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x44a54f…
04-27 09:42:02	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x39633c…
04-27 09:41:12	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa6e737…
04-27 09:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1a383a…
04-27 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xcd173e…
04-27 08:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x2545ca…
04-27 08:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xffbc59…
04-27 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1605dd…
04-27 08:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x933a71…
04-27 08:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xb2c08e…
04-26 22:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf3ddbc…
04-26 22:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xef5d9a…
04-26 22:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xd0eecc…
04-26 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x450d0f…
04-26 21:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x2f402e…
04-26 21:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x17aed0…
04-26 21:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x22954c…
04-26 21:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x9af211…
04-26 21:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc0f745…
04-26 21:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2181b1…
04-26 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe9ea0c…
04-26 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3bfd2b…
04-26 21:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94d30e…
04-26 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x5b68d0…
04-26 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x39bc50…
04-26 21:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x8a3b8d…
04-26 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xde33c9…
04-26 20:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4428ea…
04-26 19:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x992748…
04-26 19:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7023f0…
04-26 19:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3faf06…
04-26 19:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa44598…
04-26 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xe3fd4e…
04-26 19:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x96df96…
04-26 19:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x83f19c…
04-25 13:11:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3abf5e…
04-25 13:10:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf0399a…
04-25 13:07:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x67ecbd…
04-25 13:07:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x955c65…
04-25 13:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x82ec7d…
04-25 13:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85c577…
04-25 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xa9b6ca…
04-25 12:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb44b19…
04-25 10:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xc05888…
04-25 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x57e70f…
04-25 10:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb850a9…
04-23 11:47:48	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb28283…
04-23 11:47:18	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9c1168…
04-23 11:46:32	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9de76e…
04-23 11:45:56	btc updown 5m 1776944700	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x19c100…
04-23 10:27:36	btc updown 5m 1776939900	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x7c4e44…
04-23 10:25:26	btc updown 5m 1776939900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3e7adc…
04-16 15:16:12	btc updown 5m 1776352500	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb48ecf…
04-16 15:15:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x601dbb…
04-16 10:11:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x210eb1…
04-16 10:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x510ce4…
04-16 10:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5544b9…