Mean-Theism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

111

Trades

667

lifetime

Volume

$643

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-16 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776845400	3	$11	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	04-22 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	15	$10	11	9	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	26	$9	70	16	+54	Down	$-8	05-06 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$8	18	0	+18	Down	$-8	05-06 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	12	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:01
btc updown 15m 1776839400	2	$8	788	0	+788	open	—	04-22 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	7	$6	9	1	+8	Up	$-4	05-06 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	8	$5	6	3	+2	Up	$-0	05-06 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 06:09
btc updown 5m 1780538100	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$3	18	18	+0	open	—	05-29 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 01:04
btc updown 5m 1780582800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 22:14
btc updown 5m 1780978500	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-09 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 02:19
btc updown 5m 1775924700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 02:39
btc updown 5m 1781016000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 20:39:55	btc updown 5m 1781728500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc73549…
06-17 20:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781728500	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0b033a…
06-16 12:14:06	btc updown 5m 1781611800	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x5c8289…
06-16 12:14:03	btc updown 5m 1781611800	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2aa188…
06-15 13:14:06	btc updown 5m 1781529000	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x926607…
06-15 13:14:03	btc updown 5m 1781529000	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x339c07…
06-09 14:44:37	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x356abf…
06-09 14:44:10	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4a78c5…
06-09 14:34:31	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x702a20…
06-09 14:34:09	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6ae6c4…
06-09 14:24:51	btc updown 5m 1781014800	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x604d7e…
06-09 14:24:16	btc updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x36107a…
06-09 10:54:16	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf43a56…
06-09 10:54:12	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbeffca…
06-09 04:19:54	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x88268b…
06-09 04:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xff9e8d…
06-08 04:25:34	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd56612…
06-08 04:25:15	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb11acd…
06-08 01:19:55	btc updown 5m 1780881300	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8cbd83…
06-08 01:19:15	btc updown 5m 1780881300	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaff790…
06-07 11:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780832400	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x46a6b2…
06-07 11:44:04	btc updown 5m 1780832400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcf82f5…
06-07 05:54:34	btc updown 5m 1780811400	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xa1b7d1…
06-07 05:54:10	btc updown 5m 1780811400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0b26e4…
06-07 02:54:54	btc updown 5m 1780800600	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa9870a…
06-07 02:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780800600	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9b0aa4…
06-06 04:04:31	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xb8034b…
06-06 04:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5f8099…
06-05 00:19:31	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xc5b7f2…
06-05 00:19:12	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53bb4d…
06-04 22:34:52	btc updown 5m 1780612200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x657cb9…
06-04 22:34:07	btc updown 5m 1780612200	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x75c6e8…
06-04 18:29:27	btc updown 5m 1780597500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x856cfb…
06-04 18:29:16	btc updown 5m 1780597500	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe4986b…
06-04 16:49:31	btc updown 5m 1780591500	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x86c5d5…
06-04 16:49:12	btc updown 5m 1780591500	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b76d3…
06-04 14:34:54	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad7ef3…
06-04 14:34:15	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42838e…
06-04 14:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780582800	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x647e53…
06-04 14:24:04	btc updown 5m 1780582800	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x852afd…
06-04 14:04:37	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6b3378…
06-04 14:04:06	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1e211d…
06-04 13:54:52	btc updown 5m 1780581000	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x1b3c58…
06-04 13:54:12	btc updown 5m 1780581000	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x23f4a3…
06-04 03:19:42	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd42f20…
06-04 03:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xec9f24…
06-04 03:14:28	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf68f54…
06-04 03:14:03	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5167d5…
06-04 01:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xacd863…
06-04 01:59:10	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8719c3…
06-04 00:19:51	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaad3be…
06-04 00:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x16db70…
06-03 00:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xa90c86…
06-03 00:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0939a4…
06-02 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xee2cf1…
06-02 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcf3ae5…
06-01 00:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xaa2f1b…
06-01 00:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe3bdf1…
05-29 20:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xd7ce80…
05-29 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xe939a3…
05-29 15:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x985df3…
05-29 15:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf23b9a…
05-29 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xb83080…
05-29 08:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0ce8c4…
05-29 01:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc3f306…
05-29 01:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x983e40…
05-29 00:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60161f…
05-29 00:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x499222…
05-28 00:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x30f0bb…
05-28 00:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x130cfb…
05-27 22:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xc95a8e…
05-27 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a6eff…
05-27 21:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x06fbf3…
05-27 21:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x16fdad…
05-27 21:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x3e5215…
05-27 21:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb19025…
05-27 18:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x5e89f2…
05-27 18:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6732c4…
05-27 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x035fb5…
05-27 17:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x466281…
05-27 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x38e11c…
05-27 17:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa83bdc…
05-27 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x762ae3…
05-27 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b1d23…
05-27 13:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x98b355…
05-27 13:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x01b893…
05-27 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x3cbfbe…
05-27 13:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xda5d2a…
05-27 12:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xbb6e8d…
05-27 12:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7b3ddf…
05-27 11:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x75399f…
05-27 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfb7d7a…
05-27 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x3386d0…
05-27 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8f43e5…
05-27 10:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xfcde29…
05-27 10:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3e193c…
05-27 09:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x142eaa…
05-27 07:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x003eb6…
05-27 07:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6bbeb9…
05-27 06:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xd32e34…