Accurate-Weekend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$212

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-23 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 68% +$285

Politics

17% 0% $-73

Other

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$491	421	421	+0	Down	+$41	05-12 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$419	485	485	+0	Down	+$19	05-13 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$334	276	276	+0	Down	+$184	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$247	165	165	+0	Down	+$47	05-12 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$235	146	146	+0	Down	+$35	05-13 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$227	142	142	+0	Down	+$27	05-13 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$227	139	139	+0	Down	+$27	05-13 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$224	160	160	+0	Up	+$74	05-12 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$212	147	147	+0	Down	+$62	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$185	121	121	+0	Up	+$35	05-12 21:05
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	03-27 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$170	117	117	+0	Down	+$60	05-12 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$158	110	110	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$153	113	113	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 21:26
btc updown 15m 1770215400	7	$145	163	161	+1	open	—	02-04 14:44
btc updown 15m 1770323400	2	$138	93	91	+1	open	—	02-05 20:44
btc updown 5m 1783535700	2	$137	88	88	+0	open	—	07-08 18:39
btc updown 5m 1783679100	3	$134	406	64	+342	open	—	07-10 10:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$118	133	0	+133	open	—	02-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$109	312	312	+0	Up	$-91	05-13 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Up	$-100	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	216	0	+216	Down	+$116	05-12 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	Down	$-100	05-13 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$100	175	0	+175	Up	$-100	05-13 07:32
btc updown 15m 1770226200	3	$99	148	86	+61	open	—	02-04 17:42
btc updown 15m 1770217200	3	$99	168	90	+78	open	—	02-04 15:07
btc updown 5m 1771187100	2	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$94	100	40	+60	open	—	05-01 09:14
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	03-25 04:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	05-21 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 13:47:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x2fa90c…
07-10 10:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783679100	Down	BUY	342	7¢	$25	0x0c3b3c…
07-10 10:29:11	btc updown 5m 1783679100	Down	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x549a94…
07-10 10:28:32	btc updown 5m 1783679100	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x30cd0d…
07-08 19:41:50	btc updown 5m 1783539600	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xb36d5d…
07-08 19:34:10	btc updown 5m 1783539000	Down	SELL	125	28¢	$34	0x091ea2…
07-08 19:32:07	btc updown 5m 1783539000	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x1e77cc…
07-08 19:27:07	btc updown 5m 1783538700	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x6042de…
07-08 18:39:59	btc updown 5m 1783535700	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x4e313c…
07-08 18:37:32	btc updown 5m 1783535700	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x43bd6f…
07-06 13:48:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5ea4d8…
07-02 08:54:13	btc updown 5m 1782982200	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdd3ab9…
06-09 13:16:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x2e6342…
06-09 12:10:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x9d820a…
06-04 19:19:01	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xc48fdb…
06-04 09:55:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x43a71e…
06-03 19:19:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x7460fc…
06-03 18:59:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x3c31c5…
06-03 18:52:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xeea4b4…
06-03 18:50:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x4c106a…
06-03 17:03:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x0e6770…
06-02 17:11:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xbdd816…
06-02 16:43:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x374d2a…
06-02 16:09:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x768723…
05-25 09:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x859cd1…
05-25 08:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5d9862…
05-25 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xfb8447…
05-25 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb5ad62…
05-25 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xed5db5…
05-25 05:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1b668e…
05-25 04:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd5f0ff…
05-25 03:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x29f835…
05-25 02:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xec9e09…
05-25 02:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa550fe…
05-25 00:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x22a1d6…
05-25 00:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcdffbc…
05-25 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1abf4a…
05-24 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcaadbb…
05-24 21:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6fcb4e…
05-24 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5d4f41…
05-24 21:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x286c46…
05-24 21:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1dbe85…
05-24 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x179546…
05-24 20:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6efb16…
05-24 20:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6354a0…
05-24 19:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x920f99…
05-24 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x73387c…
05-24 18:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2e28ad…
05-24 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x15d8f0…
05-24 17:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa90ab3…
05-24 17:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x243643…
05-24 17:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb9b1c4…
05-24 17:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc46c29…
05-24 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf891d2…
05-24 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x959c48…
05-24 16:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcd31a9…
05-24 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x280e90…
05-24 16:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x4e17ff…
05-24 16:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb2722c…
05-24 15:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x358aed…
05-24 15:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc8a678…
05-24 15:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0190e5…
05-24 14:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8971db…
05-24 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x211a59…
05-24 14:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6d1e76…
05-24 14:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x025fa2…
05-24 14:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x397064…
05-24 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x235837…
05-24 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6e648…
05-24 14:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9c19b2…
05-24 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa02cc9…
05-24 13:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0xaf05c5…
05-24 13:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc67cd4…
05-24 13:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xada1c2…
05-24 13:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb7cad4…
05-24 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x297a69…
05-24 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7aab21…
05-24 13:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdb5a54…
05-24 12:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd171bf…
05-24 12:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x049756…
05-24 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9439e5…
05-21 18:22:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xc1f959…
05-13 07:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	142	90¢	$127	0xb82ed7…
05-13 07:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xb570a1…
05-13 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x4c9176…
05-13 07:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	343	32¢	$111	0x101832…
05-13 07:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0x3e5dab…
05-13 07:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	142	76¢	$108	0xd1a216…
05-13 07:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xae8b7e…
05-13 07:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xeb342b…
05-13 07:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	312	3¢	$9	0x97379e…
05-13 07:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x854b49…
05-13 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	139	91¢	$127	0x91ba60…
05-13 06:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x090403…
05-13 06:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	146	93¢	$135	0xdc4906…
05-13 06:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x3a7fd1…
05-12 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xc8d85b…
05-12 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x4e8b41…
05-12 21:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xbc8be0…
05-12 21:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	182	93¢	$168	0x156021…