Runny-Kielbasa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

112

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$583

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-16 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% $-10

Other

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 11am et	5	$40	58	55	+3	open	—	04-24 16:01
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	13	$18	32	9	+23	open	—	04-24 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	9	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 11:03
btc updown 5m 1776984000	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	6	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+1	open	—	04-25 10:35
btc updown 5m 1776982500	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:37
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1pm et	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 03:18
btc updown 5m 1776986400	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	6	$6	6	5	+0	open	—	04-24 19:46
btc updown 5m 1776981900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 19:49
btc updown 5m 1776983100	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x1e20f5…
05-16 13:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x284cbe…
05-16 13:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda8000…
05-15 07:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf0d82b…
05-15 07:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe708db…
05-15 07:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x1fbe80…
05-15 07:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ceb76…
05-11 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x37e592…
05-11 08:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x009609…
05-11 08:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc6b7c5…
05-11 08:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbee275…
05-10 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x1b03d2…
05-10 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e94c5…
05-10 14:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x011433…
05-10 14:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1d3d98…
05-10 14:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x720a15…
05-10 14:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0dbb25…
05-10 13:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd4eb73…
05-10 13:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb39278…
05-10 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x012135…
05-10 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd50880…
05-10 13:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0ab7e9…
05-10 12:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x031f4d…
05-10 12:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x15aa5f…
05-10 12:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd0d929…
05-10 12:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x211bbc…
05-10 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x770da4…
05-10 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xc90bba…
05-10 12:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x0079a9…
05-10 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x3561da…
05-10 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdaa71a…
05-10 12:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x58cb6b…
05-10 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb166c8…
05-10 12:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe60f31…
05-10 12:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x714330…
05-10 12:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xda66ab…
05-10 12:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x52671d…
05-10 12:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x493988…
05-10 11:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x52e9d0…
05-10 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc4f234…
05-10 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe6fee5…
05-10 11:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x00683e…
05-10 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7aab16…
05-10 11:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaada2a…
05-10 11:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x930294…
05-10 11:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9ecc40…
05-10 11:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x2aec99…
05-10 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xdb029a…
05-10 11:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x8ad19c…
05-10 11:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x618c2e…
05-10 10:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x90e487…
05-10 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xbd4bf4…
05-10 10:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe37ba5…
05-10 10:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a47a8…
05-10 10:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9bb075…
05-10 10:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xd8091f…
05-10 10:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x2fa12f…
05-10 10:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe98c0a…
05-10 10:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xea6bce…
05-10 10:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0ee4ab…
05-10 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x86ba35…
05-10 10:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x842377…
05-10 10:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe98385…
05-10 10:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd8b9bd…
05-10 10:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x16cd48…
05-10 10:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x70ddbd…
05-10 10:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xdedc82…
05-10 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x577af8…
05-10 10:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcf62ea…
05-10 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x2052c2…
05-10 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xa7d40e…
05-10 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x37fdac…
05-10 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x38e62b…
05-10 09:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x85dae0…
05-10 09:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x08df17…
05-10 09:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x06d739…
05-10 09:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd24152…
05-10 09:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf0a86d…
05-10 09:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9e3cd7…
05-10 09:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9063d1…
05-10 09:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7b8701…
05-10 09:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x220938…
05-10 08:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x11b449…
05-10 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b6035…
05-10 06:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0xc3e71b…
05-10 06:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x60284c…
05-10 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x235297…
05-10 06:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2ac7fa…
05-10 05:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x34a293…
05-10 05:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x42cd90…
05-10 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xa2b167…
05-10 03:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x561eee…
05-10 03:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdc0ed2…
05-10 03:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ee0c7…
05-10 03:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd880f9…
05-10 03:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e28a4…
05-10 03:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xc9f162…
05-10 03:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x85b05d…
05-10 03:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6b890e…
05-10 03:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x752b91…