Doting-Fledgling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-10 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 71% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$7	7	4	+3	open	—	05-03 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	open	—	05-04 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 15:34
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-03 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0efe5…
05-10 13:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc4f145…
05-10 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x55c19a…
05-10 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xba691b…
05-10 10:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54e5e5…
05-10 10:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x8de37c…
05-10 10:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcd299d…
05-09 18:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaa3292…
05-09 17:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x85854d…
05-09 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb4e694…
05-09 17:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xadef06…
05-09 17:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x899272…
05-09 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3c23f…
05-09 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1b21e0…
05-09 17:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe4b426…
05-09 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd70ce0…
05-09 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4ba09e…
05-09 17:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x89c669…
05-09 17:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8fd18a…
05-09 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x120cd0…
05-09 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5aa335…
05-09 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x467471…
05-09 17:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcf0d79…
05-09 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa23369…
05-09 16:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x1adb94…
05-09 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe7ce0d…
05-09 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x452e1e…
05-09 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfbef6e…
05-09 16:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xba9dab…
05-09 16:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4469db…
05-09 16:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf304d2…
05-09 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xecaf0f…
05-09 14:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9f200c…
05-09 14:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x09a8ca…
05-09 06:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe9547b…
05-09 06:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ab8f3…
05-09 06:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcea8be…
05-09 06:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x86e143…
05-09 06:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x272a5f…
05-04 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x38acd0…
05-04 16:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x042720…
05-04 15:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x2ea703…
05-04 15:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2732f2…
05-04 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x208196…
05-04 15:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x145a70…
05-04 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xefbb99…
05-04 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdebe7c…
05-04 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfe915c…
05-04 15:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa3eb3a…
05-04 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xa91835…
05-04 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x34a88f…
05-04 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x550b67…
05-04 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x102604…
05-04 15:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x2d4295…
05-03 14:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xec967c…
05-03 14:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa10617…
05-03 12:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x55b1f7…
05-03 12:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x0003e0…
05-03 12:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf14d21…
05-03 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xcbb470…
05-03 12:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1c388c…
05-03 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbdceb9…
05-03 12:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaea626…
05-03 11:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe2ef90…
05-03 11:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c10b0…
05-03 11:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3b507c…
05-03 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb3e5f8…
05-03 10:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa5ea00…
05-03 10:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x47ffb2…
05-03 10:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x373ce2…
05-03 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6aa752…
05-03 09:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc90840…
05-03 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7b79b8…
05-03 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xa08a4e…
05-03 09:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc09559…
05-03 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x100ce5…
05-03 09:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8bb419…
05-03 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2407b3…
05-03 09:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1ed37a…
05-03 09:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea8436…
05-03 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x9cfd8e…
05-03 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x547410…
05-03 08:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x396d07…
05-03 07:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x62be96…
05-03 07:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xb3e66f…
05-03 07:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2cb400…
05-03 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x2d40fd…
05-03 07:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x066e2c…
05-03 06:52:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc0bd1…
04-16 13:14:54	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa7f86a…
04-16 07:30:04	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa4150f…
04-16 07:30:04	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x481044…
04-16 07:12:48	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x413a2c…
04-16 07:05:38	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x72ad5a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	46	$5.91K	1,615	05-10 15:08
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	45	$91.3K	2,200	06-01 04:51
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	45	$34.7K	2,344	05-10 15:09
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	45	$13.4K	2,500	05-10 15:08
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	45	$13.1K	576	05-10 15:06
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	45	$12.9K	3,169	05-10 15:08
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	45	$11.3K	692	05-10 15:08
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	45	$10.7K	692	05-10 15:08